UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C.

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) April 18, 2007

The Allstate Corporation

(Exact name of registrant as specified in charter)

Delaware

 

1-11840

 

36-3871531

(State or other jurisdiction of

 

(Commission

 

(IRS employer

incorporation)

 

file number)

 

identification number)

 

2775 Sanders Road, Northbrook, Illinois

 

60062

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

(Zip code)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code  (847) 402-5000

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2.below):

o                     Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

o                     Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

o                     Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

o                     Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 




Section 2. — Financial Information

Item 2.02.       Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On April 18, 2007 the registrant issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter of 2007. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this report.

Section 9. — Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01.       Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)      Exhibits

99       Registrant’s press release dated April 18, 2007

2




SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

 

 

(registrant)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

By

/s/  Samuel H. Pilch

 

 

Name: Samuel H. Pilch

 

 

Title: Controller

 

 

 

 

 

Dated: April 18, 2007

 

 

 

 

 

3



Exhibit 99

For Immediate Release

Allstate Reports 2007 First Quarter 9% Increase in Net Income EPS

First Quarter Operating Income EPS of $1.93

NORTHBROOK, Ill., April 18, 2007 — The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported for the first quarter of 2007:

Consolidated Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change

 

 

(in millions, except per share amounts and ratios)

 

 

Est.
2007

 

 

2006

 

 

$

 

 

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated revenues

 

 

$

9,331

 

 

$

9,081

 

 

$

250

 

 

2.8

 

Net income

 

 

1,486

 

 

1,415

 

 

71

 

 

5.0

 

Net income per diluted share

 

 

2.39

 

 

2.19

 

 

0.20

 

 

9.1

 

Operating income1

 

 

1,197

 

 

1,304

 

 

(107

)

 

(8.2

)

Operating income per diluted share1

 

 

1.93

 

 

2.01

 

 

(0.08

)

 

(4.0

)

Return on equity

 

 

23.5

 

 

9.8

 

 

 

 

13.7 pts.

 

Operating income return on equity1

 

 

24.3

 

 

9.2

 

 

 

 

15.1 pts.

 

Book value per share

 

 

36.54

 

 

31.98

 

 

4.56

 

 

14.3

 

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities1

 

 

34.93

 

 

30.90

 

 

4.03

 

 

13.0

 

Catastrophe losses

 

 

161

 

 

107

 

 

54

 

 

50.5

 

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

 

84.6

 

 

81.9

 

 

 

 

2.7 pts.

 

 

“Allstate is off to a strong start in 2007,” said Thomas J. Wilson, president and chief executive officer, The Allstate Corporation. “Our property-casualty, financial and investment operations delivered solid results, generating net income of $1.49 billion for the first quarter of 2007. Our return on equity for shareholders remained strong at 23.5 percent and book value increased 14.3 percent compared to first quarter 2006.

Consumer Focus

“Our highly successful marketing programs continue to distinguish us from our competitors and deliver quantifiable results for our auto insurance business. Allstate brand standard auto policies in force grew 2.6 percent in the first quarter of 2007 compared to the prior year and new issued applications increased 7.3 percent. Customer loyalty also remains a top priority and is the focus of several new initiatives.

Profitability

“Profitability remained strong in the first quarter of 2007,” added Wilson. Operating income in the quarter was $1.2 billion compared to $1.3 billion for last year’s first quarter. The Property-Liability combined ratio for the quarter was 84.6, an increase of 2.7 points compared with the first quarter of 2006, partly because of higher claim frequencies. “Winter weather in the central and northeast sections of the country partially contributed to the increase in claim frequency in standard auto property damage and in our homeowners line during the quarter. Property damage severity results in the quarter were moderate and better than we expected at the beginning of the year,” continued Wilson. Catastrophe losses for the quarter were $161 million,


(1) Measures used in this release that are not based on accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“non-GAAP”) are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and operating measures are defined in the “Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures” section of this document.

 

1




compared to $107 million in the first quarter of 2006. Allstate Financial generated $156 million of operating income for the quarter and is making progress in raising returns on new business.

Our investment portfolios generated strong results for both Property-Liability and Allstate Financial. Both business units benefited from growth in assets under management.  Allstate Financial’s portfolio yield, in particular, also benefited from a rise in yield on its floating rate investments. Realized capital gain activity also outpaced last year’s results and was primarily driven by non-recurring gains related to the disposition of certain limited partnership interests.

Capital Management

During the first quarter we repurchased $700 million of common stock, bringing the cumulative repurchases under the $3 billion repurchase program announced in October 2006 to $907 million. Allstate’s board of directors has also authorized the issuance of up to $1 billion of junior subordinated securities with the proceeds to be used to repurchase up to $1 billion of our common stock by March 31, 2008, in addition to the current $3 billion authorization. We plan to complete the hybrid offering during the second quarter (market conditions permitting). “We also will continue to focus on reducing our exposure to mega-catastrophes through a variety of initiatives while seeking alternative solutions for our customers,” added Wilson.

People

“The depth and strength of our management team across the company allowed us to seamlessly continue the leadership transitions we announced beginning in September 2006. In the quarter, we made some key executive appointments in Allstate Protection due to retirements and created a new organization with responsibility for emerging businesses. This new team will improve focus on lines of business that offer Allstate additional opportunities for profitable growth,” said Wilson.

Outlook

“Overall, we are pleased with our performance during the quarter. We remain focused on executing our multifaceted competitive strategy to continue generating strong returns for shareholders and delivering market-leading products and services to our customers. We continue to expect that the Property-Liability combined ratio, excluding the effect of catastrophes and assuming no prior year reserve reestimates, will be between 84.0 and 86.0 in 2007,” concluded Wilson.

BUSINESS SEGMENT HIGHLIGHTS

Property-Liability

·                           Property-Liability premiums written1 declined 1.7% from the first quarter of 2006, reflecting the increased cost of the Allstate Protection catastrophe reinsurance program.  The cost of the catastrophe reinsurance program was $216 million in the first quarter of 2007 compared to $73 million in the first quarter of last year.  Excluding this cost, premiums written grew 0.4% in the first quarter of 2007 when compared to the prior year quarter.

·                           Allstate brand standard auto premiums written grew 2.5% in the first quarter of 2007 compared to the prior year quarter.  Contributing to the overall change were the following:

—       2.6% increase in policies in force (“PIF”)

—       7.3% increase in new issued applications

2




 

(in thousands)

 

For the three months ended March 31,

 

 

 

2007

 

2006

 

% Change

 

Hurricane Exposure States2

 

269

 

255

 

5.5

 

California

 

86

 

81

 

6.2

 

All other states

 

171

 

154

 

11.0

 

Standard auto new issued applications

 

526

 

490

 

7.3

 

 

(2) Hurricane exposure states are Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia and Washington D.C.

       0.2 point decline in the renewal ratio to 89.7% due to competitive pressures

       0.2% increase in six month average premium to $420

 

·                  Allstate brand homeowners premiums written declined 5.8% in the first quarter of 2007 compared to the prior year quarter due to our catastrophe risk management actions.  Contributing to the overall change were the following:

       0.5% decrease in PIF

       11.8% decrease in new issued applications

 

(in thousands)

 

For the three months ended March 31,

 

 

 

2007

 

2006

 

% Change

 

Hurricane Exposure States 2

 

97

 

114

 

(14.9

)

California

 

11

 

16

 

(31.3

)

All other states

 

101

 

107

 

(5.6

)

Homeowners new issued applications

 

209

 

237

 

(11.8

)

 

       0.6 point decline in the renewal ratio to 86.4%

       1.9% increase in twelve month average premium to $847.  Average premium is calculated using premiums written before reinsurance.

 

·                  We continue to aggressively seek to cover our reinsurance cost in premium rates.  Rates currently effective related to our reinsurance programs reflect approximately 45% of the ceded cost of our reinsurance programs, and will be included in premiums written during 2007.  We expect rates will be in effect which will reflect over 50% of the ceded cost of our reinsurance programs by the end of 2007, and be included in premiums written during 2008.

·                  Standard auto property damage gross claim frequency increased 4.8% compared to the first quarter of 2006, partially due to weather-related frequency across the central and northeastern sections of the country, while bodily injury gross claim frequency decreased 1.1%.  Auto property damage and bodily injury paid severities increased 1.2% and 1.1% respectively, slightly better than we expected at the beginning of the year.  The Allstate brand standard auto loss ratio increased 5.6 points compared to the first quarter of last year to 63.6 in the first quarter of 2007.

·                  Homeowner gross claim frequency excluding catastrophes increased 14.7% compared to first quarter of 2006, primarily in weather-related perils.  Homeowners severity increased 8.6% compared to first quarter of 2006.  The Allstate brand homeowners loss ratio increased 3.4 points to 55.2 in the first quarter of 2007.

·                  The Property-Liability expense ratio declined 1.5 points to 24.1 in the first quarter of 2007 compared to the prior year quarter primarily reflecting lower restructuring charges.

·                  Property-Liability prior year favorable reserve reestimates for the quarter totaled $129 million, compared to $211 million in the prior year first quarter.  The current year favorable reserve reestimates resulted primarily from claim severity development that was better than anticipated in previous estimates in Allstate Protection and a reduction in the reinsurance recoverable valuation allowance for Discontinued Lines and Coverages

3




related to Equitas Limited’s (“Equitas”) improved financial position as a result of its reinsurance coverage with National Indemnity Company.

·                  Underwriting income was $1.05 billion during the first quarter of 2007 compared to $1.24 billion in the same period of 2006.  The decrease was due to the higher cost of the expanded catastrophe reinsurance program, higher catastrophe losses, increases in auto and homeowners claim frequency excluding catastrophes, increased current year severity, and lower favorable reserve estimates related to prior years, partially offset by increased premiums earned before the cost of the catastrophe reinsurance program, lower restructuring and related charges and operating costs and expenses.

·                  The Property-Liability combined ratio was impacted by catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.  The impacts for the three months ended March 31, are shown in the table below.

 

 

2007

 

2006

 

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and
prior year reserve reestimates
1

 

84.1

 

82.5

 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

2.4

 

1.6

 

Effect of prior year reserve reestimates

 

(1.9

)

(3.1

)

Catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates

 

 

0.9

 

Combined ratio (GAAP)

 

84.6

 

81.9

 

 

Allstate Financial

·                  Operating income for the first quarter of 2007 was $156 million compared to $144 million in the prior year quarter, driven by the following:

       $9 million, after-tax, favorable impact related to the annual review of assumptions related to DAC amortization (commonly referred to as “unlocking”) and reserves for certain annuity guarantees

—   $10 million, after-tax, reduction in restructuring charges

—   Partially offset by $9 million, after-tax, of litigation-related expenses

·                  Deferred fixed annuity deposits in the first quarter of 2007 were $621 million (including indexed annuities), a decrease of 43.2% from the prior year quarter and 26.8% below the fourth quarter of 2006.  The decrease is indicative of lower industry-wide fixed annuity sales and our strategy to raise returns on capital for these products.

·                  Deposits on institutional products during the first quarter of 2007 were $1.20 billion compared to $350 million in deposits in the first quarter of 2006.  Allstate Financial generally prioritizes the allocation of fixed income investments to support sales of those retail products with the best sustainable growth and contribution margins, and to maintain our retail market presence. As a result, sales of our institutional products vary from period to period.

·                  Investments as of March 31, 2007 increased 3.2% from March 31, 2006 levels primarily due to growth in customer account values and higher unrealized capital gains, partially offset by the transfer of assets to Prudential Financial, Inc. upon the closing of the variable annuity disposition through reinsurance and dividends paid.

·                  The cumulative effect of change in accounting principle related to our adoption of Statement of Position 05-1, “Accounting by Insurance Enterprises for Deferred Acquisition Costs in Connection with Modifications or Exchanges of Insurance Contracts” reduced net income by $9 million, after-tax, during the first quarter of 2007.

4




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED AND SEGMENT HIGHLIGHTS

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions, except per share amounts,

 

Est.

 

 

 

 

 

Percent

 

 

 

return data and ratios)

 

2007

 

2006

 

Change

 

Change

 

 

 

Consolidated Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

9,331

 

$

9,081

 

$

250

 

2.8

 

 

 

Net income

 

1,486

 

1,415

 

71

 

5.0

 

 

 

Operating income

 

1,197

 

1,304

 

(107

)

(8.2

)

 

 

Income per diluted share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net

 

2.39

 

2.19

 

0.20

 

9.1

 

 

 

Operating

 

1.93

 

2.01

 

(0.08

)

(4.0

)

 

 

Net shares outstanding

 

610.9

 

638.3

 

(27.4

)

(4.3

)

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding (diluted)

 

621.6

 

647.4

 

(25.8

)

(4.0

)

 

 

Return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

23.5

 

9.8

 

 

13.7

 

pts.

 

Operating income

 

24.3

 

9.2

 

 

15.1

 

pts.

 

Book value per diluted share

 

36.54

 

31.98

 

4.56

 

14.3

 

 

 

Book value per diluted share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

34.93

 

30.90

 

4.03

 

13.0

 

 

 

Property-Liability Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability premiums written

 

$

6,609

 

$

6,725

 

$

(116

)

(1.7

)

 

 

Property-Liability revenues

 

7,741

 

7,566

 

175

 

2.3

 

 

 

Net income

 

1,349

 

1,321

 

28

 

2.1

 

 

 

Underwriting income

 

1,046

 

1,242

 

(196

)

(15.8

)

 

 

Net investment income

 

491

 

466

 

25

 

5.4

 

 

 

Operating income

 

1,062

 

1,176

 

(114

)

(9.7

)

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

161

 

107

 

54

 

50.5

 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection loss ratio

 

61.1

 

56.2

 

 

4.9

 

pts.

 

Allstate Protection expense ratio

 

24.1

 

25.6

 

 

(1.5

)

pts.

 

Allstate Protection combined ratio

 

85.2

 

81.8

 

 

3.4

 

pts.

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

(0.6

)

0.1

 

 

(0.7

)

pts.

 

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

84.6

 

81.9

 

 

2.7

 

pts.

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

2.4

 

1.6

 

 

0.8

 

pts.

 

Property-Liability combined ratio excluding effect of catastrophes

 

82.2

 

80.3

 

 

1.9

 

pts.

 

Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio

 

(1.9

)

(3.1

)

 

1.2

 

pts.

 

Catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates

 

 

0.9

 

 

(0.9

)

pts.

 

Property-Liability combined ratio excluding effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates

 

84.1

 

82.5

 

 

1.6

 

pts.

 

Allstate Financial Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and deposits

 

$

2,628

 

$

2,676

 

$

(48

)

(1.8

)

 

 

Allstate Financial revenues

 

1,556

 

1,471

 

85

 

5.8

 

 

 

Net income

 

155

 

108

 

47

 

43.5

 

 

 

Operating income

 

156

 

144

 

12

 

8.3

 

 

 

Gross margin analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment margin

 

$

286

 

$

275

 

$

11

 

4.0

 

 

 

Benefit margin

 

110

 

115

 

(5

)

(4.3

)

 

 

Contract charges and fees

 

82

 

139

 

(57

)

(41.0

)

 

 

Gross margin

 

$

478

 

$

529

 

$

(51

)

(9.6

)

 

 

 

5




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

March 31,

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

2007

 

2006

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance premiums

 

$

6,806

 

$

6,876

 

(1.0

)

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

 

483

 

495

 

(2.4

)

Net investment income

 

1,571

 

1,511

 

4.0

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

471

 

199

 

136.7

 

Total revenues

 

9,331

 

9,081

 

2.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

4,117

 

3,873

 

6.3

 

Life and annuity contract benefits

 

428

 

373

 

14.7

 

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

649

 

620

 

4.7

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,153

 

1,139

 

1.2

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

727

 

779

 

(6.7

)

Restructuring and related charges

 

(1

)

107

 

(100.9

)

Interest expense

 

72

 

81

 

(11.1

)

Total costs and expenses

 

7,145

 

6,972

 

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss on disposition of operations

 

 

(53

)

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income from operations before income tax expense and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

2,186

 

2,056

 

6.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax expense

 

691

 

641

 

7.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

1,495

 

1,415

 

5.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

(9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

1,486

 

$

1,415

 

5.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income per share - Basic

 

$

2.41

 

$

2.20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares - Basic

 

616.8

 

643.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income per share - Diluted

 

$

2.39

 

$

2.19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares - Diluted

 

621.6

 

647.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends declared per share

 

$

0.38

 

$

0.35

 

 

 

 

6




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONTRIBUTION TO INCOME

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

2007

 

2006

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contribution to income

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income before the impact of
restructuring and related charges

 

$

1,196

 

$

1,374

 

(13.0

)

Restructuring and related charges,
after-tax

 

(1

)

70

 

(101.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

1,197

 

1,304

 

(8.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

305

 

129

 

136.4

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital
gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

27

 

(100.0

)

Reclassification of periodic settlements
and accruals on non-hedge derivative
instruments, after-tax

 

(8

)

(10

)

20.0

 

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

1

 

(35

)

102.9

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting
principle, after-tax

 

(9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

1,486

 

$

1,415

 

5.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income per share - Diluted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income before the impact of
restructuring and related charges

 

$

1.93

 

$

2.12

 

(9.0

)

Restructuring and related charges,
after-tax

 

 

0.11

 

(100.0

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

1.93

 

2.01

 

(4.0

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

0.49

 

0.20

 

145.0

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital
gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

0.04

 

(100.0

)

Reclassification of periodic settlements
and accruals on non-hedge derivative
instruments, after-tax

 

(0.01

)

(0.01

)

 

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

 

(0.05

)

100.0

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting
principle, after-tax

 

(0.02

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

2.39

 

$

2.19

 

9.1

 

 

7




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRETAX)

 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2007 (Est.)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

 

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment write-downs

 

$

(4

)

$

(1

)

$

 

$

(5

)

Dispositions (1) (2)

 

411

 

35

 

4

 

450

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

8

 

(20

)

 

(12

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

29

 

9

 

 

38

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

444

 

$

23

 

$

4

 

$

471

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

 

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment write-downs

 

$

(4

)

$

(5

)

$

 

$

(9

)

Dispositions

 

194

 

(76

)

3

 

121

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

32

 

36

 

 

68

 

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

2

 

17

 

 

19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

224

 

$

(28

)

$

3

 

$

199

 

 

(1)

In the first quarter of 2007, the Company recognized $27 million of losses related to a change in our intent to hold certain securities with unrealized losses until they recover in value. The change in our intent was due to liquidity strategies and ongoing comprehensive reviews of the Allstate Protection and Allstate Financial portfolios. The Company identified $1.24 billion of securities for which we did not have the intent to hold until recovery to achieve these objectives.

 

 

(2)

In the first quarter of 2007, Property-Liability Dispositions included $387 million of equity securities, of which $188 million related to the liquidation of limited partnership interests accounted for in accordance with the equity method of accounting. Allstate Financial Dispositions included $34 million of equity securities related to the liquidation of limited partnership interests.

 

8




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

SEGMENT RESULTS

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


($ in millions)

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

6,609

 

$

6,725

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,806

 

$

6,876

 

Claims and claims expense

 

4,117

 

3,873

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,024

 

1,019

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

620

 

652

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

(1

)

90

 

Underwriting income

 

1,046

 

1,242

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

491

 

466

 

Income tax expense on operations

 

475

 

532

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

1,062

 

1,176

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

287

 

145

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

1,349

 

$

1,321

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

$

161

 

$

107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating ratios

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio

 

60.5

 

56.3

 

Expense ratio

 

24.1

 

25.6

 

Combined ratio

 

84.6

 

81.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

2.4

 

1.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio

 

(1.9

)

(3.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio

 

 

1.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

(0.6

)

0.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Financial

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and deposits

 

$

2,628

 

$

2,676

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investments

 

$

77,727

 

$

75,342

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and contract charges

 

$

483

 

$

495

 

Net investment income

 

1,050

 

1,004

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

12

 

16

 

Contract benefits

 

428

 

373

 

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

649

 

623

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

129

 

159

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

105

 

128

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

 

16

 

Income tax expense on operations

 

78

 

72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

156

 

144

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

15

 

(18

)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

27

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge

 

 

 

 

 

derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(8

)

(10

)

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

1

 

(35

)

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

(9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

155

 

$

108

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate and Other

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

$

30

 

$

41

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

74

 

80

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

 

1

 

Income tax benefit on operations

 

(23

)

(24

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating loss

 

(21

)

(16

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

3

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net loss

 

$

(18

)

$

(14

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated net income

 

$

1,486

 

$

1,415

 

 

9




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

UNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA OF BUSINESS

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Percent
Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

1,006

 

$

1,249

 

(19.5

)

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

40

 

(7

)

 

Underwriting income

 

$

1,046

 

$

1,242

 

(15.8

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

6,609

 

$

6,725

 

(1.7

)

Premiums earned

 

$

6,806

 

$

6,875

 

(1.0

)

Claims and claims expense

 

4,159

 

3,868

 

7.5

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,024

 

1,019

 

0.5

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

618

 

649

 

(4.8

)

Restructuring and related charges

 

(1

)

90

 

(101.1

)

Underwriting income

 

$

1,006

 

$

1,249

 

(19.5

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

161

 

$

107

 

50.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating ratios

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio

 

61.1

 

56.2

 

 

 

Expense ratio

 

24.1

 

25.6

 

 

 

Combined ratio

 

85.2

 

81.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses
on combined ratio

 

2.4

 

1.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of restructuring and related
charges on combined ratio

 

 

1.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

 

$

 

 

Premiums earned

 

$

 

$

1

 

(100.0

)

Claims and claims expense (1)

 

(42

)

5

 

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

2

 

3

 

(33.3

)

Underwriting income (loss) (1)

 

$

40

 

$

(7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages
on the Property-Liability combined ratio

 

(0.6

)

0.1

 

 

 

 

(1) Includes a $46 million reduction in the reinsurance recoverable valuation allowance related to Equitas’ improved financial position as a result of its reinsurance coverage with National Indemnity Company.

10




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

March 31,

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2007

 

2006

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

4,051

 

$

3,952

 

2.5

 

Non-standard auto

 

321

 

375

 

(14.4

)

Auto

 

4,372

 

4,327

 

1.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

22

 

37

 

(40.5

)

Commercial lines

 

194

 

219

 

(11.4

)

Homeowners

 

1,213

 

1,288

 

(5.8

)

Other personal lines

 

365

 

381

 

(4.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6,166

 

6,252

 

(1.4

)

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

266

 

273

 

(2.6

)

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

21

 

25

 

(16.0

)

Auto

 

287

 

298

 

(3.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

6

 

8

 

(25.0

)

Homeowners

 

123

 

139

 

(11.5

)

Other personal lines

 

27

 

28

 

(3.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

443

 

473

 

(6.3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

6,609

 

6,725

 

(1.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

6,609

 

$

6,725

 

(1.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

4,317

 

$

4,225

 

2.2

 

Non-standard auto

 

342

 

400

 

(14.5

)

Auto

 

4,659

 

4,625

 

0.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

28

 

45

 

(37.8

)

Commercial lines

 

194

 

219

 

(11.4

)

Homeowners

 

1,336

 

1,427

 

(6.4

)

Other personal lines

 

392

 

409

 

(4.2

)

 

 

$

6,609

 

$

6,725

 

(1.7

)

 

11




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY

ANNUAL IMPACT OF NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED ON PREMIUMS WRITTEN (1)

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

March 31, 2007 (Est.)

 

 

 

Number of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

States

 

Countrywide (%) (2)

 

State Specific (%) (3)

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

9

 

0.4

 

2.8

 

Non-standard auto

 

4

 

1.2

 

8.0

 

Auto

 

11

 

0.4

 

3.3

 

Homeowners

 

4

 

1.6

 

9.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

2

 

0.2

 

5.9

 

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

 

 

 

Auto

 

2

 

0.2

 

5.9

 

Homeowners

 

5

 

2.2

 

7.2

 


(1)             Rate increases that are indicated based on a loss trend analysis to achieve a targeted return will continue to be pursued in all locations and for all products.  Rate changes include changes approved based on our net cost of reinsurance.  These rate changes do not reflect initial rates filed for insurance subsidiaries initially writing new business.

(2)             Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during 2007 as a percentage of total countrywide prior year-end premiums written.

(3)             Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during 2007 as a percentage of total prior year-end premiums written in those states.

12




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
ALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET SEGMENT ANALYSIS

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2007

 

2006

 

Est. 2007

 

2006

 

Est. 2007

 

2006

 

Est. 2007

 

2006

 

 

 

 

Premiums Earned

 

Loss Ratio (2)

 

Effect of
Catastrophe Losses
on the Loss Ratio

 

Expense Ratio

 

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Standard auto

 

$

3,951

 

$

3,838

 

63.6

 

58.0

 

0.3

 

 

23.4

 

25.6

 

 

 Non-standard auto

 

322

 

378

 

60.3

 

58.7

 

 

(0.3

)

21.7

 

22.8

 

 

Auto

 

4,273

 

4,216

 

63.4

 

58.1

 

0.3

 

 

23.3

 

25.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Homeowners

 

1,438

 

1,491

 

55.2

 

51.8

 

8.3

 

7.2

 

24.8

 

24.6

 

 

 Other (1)

 

611

 

656

 

60.1

 

48.6

 

3.6

 

(2.3

)

26.0

 

27.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Allstate brand

 

6,322

 

6,363

 

61.2

 

55.7

 

2.4

 

1.4

 

23.9

 

25.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Standard auto

 

284

 

291

 

64.8

 

65.3

 

0.4

 

0.3

 

26.4

 

27.8

 

 

 Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

22

 

27

 

77.3

 

74.1

 

 

 

22.7

 

33.3

 

 

Auto

 

306

 

318

 

65.7

 

66.0

 

0.3

 

0.3

 

26.1

 

28.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Homeowners

 

142

 

153

 

49.3

 

56.2

 

4.9

 

9.2

 

28.9

 

29.4

 

 

 Other (1)

 

36

 

41

 

52.8

 

75.6

 

2.8

 

4.9

 

25.0

 

29.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Encompass brand

 

484

 

512

 

59.9

 

63.9

 

1.9

 

3.3

 

26.9

 

28.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

6,806

 

$

6,875

 

61.1

 

56.2

 

2.4

 

1.6

 

24.1

 

25.6

 

 

 

(1)             Other includes involuntary auto, commercial lines, condominium, renters and other personal lines.

(2)             Loss Ratio comparisons are impacted by the relative level of prior year reserve reestimates.  Please refer to the “Effect of Pretax Prior Year Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio” table for detailed reserve reestimate information.

13




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY

EFFECT OF PRETAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED RATIO

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pretax
Reserve Reestimates (1)

 

Effect of Pretax Reserve
Reestimates on the
Combined Ratio

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Auto

 

$

(66

)

$

(163

)

(1.0

)

(2.4

)

 

Homeowners

 

(3

)

(30

)

 

(0.4

)

 

Other

 

(18

)

(24

)

(0.3

)

(0.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection (2)

 

(87

)

(217

)

(1.3

)

(3.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages (3)

 

(42

)

6

 

(0.6

)

0.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

(129

)

$

(211

)

(1.9

)

(3.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

$

(79

)

$

(220

)

(1.2

)

(3.2

)

 

Encompass brand

 

(8

)

3

 

(0.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection (2)

 

$

(87

)

$

(217

)

(1.3

)

(3.2

)

 

 

(1) Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.                            

(2) Favorable reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses totaled $6 million and $64 million in the three months ended      March 31, 2007 and March 31, 2006, respectively. 

(3) Includes a $46 million reduction in the reinsurance recoverable valuation allowance related to Equitas’ improved financial      position as a result of its reinsurance coverage with National Indemnity Company.

14




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2007

 

2006

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life Products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest-sensitive life

 

$

362

 

$

362

 

 

Traditional

 

92

 

72

 

27.8

 

Other

 

89

 

84

 

6.0

 

 

 

543

 

518

 

4.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annuities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indexed annuities

 

141

 

187

 

(24.6

)

Fixed deferred annuities

 

480

 

906

 

(47.0

)

Fixed immediate annuities

 

152

 

156

 

(2.6

)

Variable annuities

 

 

435

 

(100.0

)

 

 

773

 

1,684

 

(54.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Institutional Products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funding agreements backing medium-term notes

 

1,200

 

350

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bank Deposits

 

112

 

124

 

(9.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

2,628

 

$

2,676

 

(1.8

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total excluding variable annuities

 

$

2,628

 

$

2,241

 

17.3

 

 

15




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

 

`

 

March 31,

 

December 31,

 

($ in millions, except par value data)

 

2007 (Est.)

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Investments

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $97,424 and $95,780)

 

$

100,033

 

$

98,320

 

Equity securities, at fair value (cost $6,263 and $6,026)

 

7,924

 

7,777

 

Mortgage loans

 

9,544

 

9,467

 

Short-term

 

3,197

 

2,430

 

Other

 

1,684

 

1,763

 

Total investments (1)

 

122,382

 

119,757

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

 

471

 

443

 

Premium installment receivables, net

 

4,796

 

4,789

 

Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

5,191

 

5,332

 

Reinsurance recoverables, net

 

5,826

 

5,827

 

Accrued investment income

 

1,125

 

1,062

 

Deferred income taxes

 

268

 

224

 

Property and equipment, net

 

1,033

 

1,010

 

Goodwill

 

825

 

825

 

Other assets

 

2,142

 

2,111

 

Separate Accounts

 

16,030

 

16,174

 

Total assets

 

$

160,089

 

$

157,554

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

$

18,667

 

$

18,866

 

Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits

 

12,806

 

12,786

 

Contractholder funds

 

62,472

 

62,031

 

Unearned premiums

 

10,221

 

10,427

 

Claim payments outstanding

 

741

 

717

 

Other liabilities and accrued expenses

 

12,021

 

10,045

 

Short-term debt

 

 

12

 

Long-term debt

 

4,640

 

4,650

 

Separate Accounts

 

16,030

 

16,174

 

Total liabilities

 

137,598

 

135,708

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued

 

 

 

Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 611 million and 622 million shares outstanding

 

9

 

9

 

Additional capital paid-in

 

2,985

 

2,939

 

Retained income

 

30,322

 

29,070

 

Deferred ESOP expense

 

(68

)

(72

)

Treasury stock, at cost (289 million and 278 million shares)

 

(11,775

)

(11,091

)

Accumulated other comprehensive income:

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

2,058

 

2,074

 

Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments

 

28

 

26

 

Net funded status of pension and other postretirement benefit obligation

 

(1,068

)

(1,109

)

Total accumulated other comprehensive income

 

1,018

 

991

 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

22,491

 

21,846

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

 

$

160,089

 

$

157,554

 


(1)             Total investments includes $42,524 for Property-Liability, $77,727 for Allstate Financial and $2,131 for Corporate and Other investments at March 31, 2007.  Total investments includes $41,663 for Property-Liability, $75,951 for Allstate Financial and $2,143 for Corporate and Other investments at December 31, 2006.

16




Definitions of GAAP Operating Ratios

Claims and claims expense (“loss”) ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense to premiums earned.  Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses.

Expense ratio is the ratio of amortization of deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”), operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.

Combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense, amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.  The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.  The difference between 100% and the combined ratio represents underwriting income (loss)1 as a percentage of premiums earned.

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense and other costs and expenses in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment to Property-Liability premiums earned.  The sum of the effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the combined ratio and the Allstate Protection combined ratio is equal to the Property-Liability combined ratio.

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio is the percentage of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expenses to premiums earned.

Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio is the percentage of pretax reserve reestimates included in claims and claims expense to premiums earned.

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio is the percentage of restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.

Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measures.  Our methods of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax, excluding:

·      realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income,

·      amortization of DAC and deferred sales inducements (“DSI”), to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses,

·      (loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax, and

·      adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate our results of operations.  It reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, (loss) gain on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items.  Realized capital gains and losses and (loss) gain on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process.  Consistent with our intent

17




to protect results or earn additional income, operating income includes periodic settlements and accruals on certain derivative instruments that are reported in realized capital gains and losses because they do not qualify for hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for accounting purposes.  These instruments are used for economic hedges and to replicate fixed income securities, and by including them in operating income, we are appropriately reflecting their trends in our performance and in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) or replicated investments.  Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends.  Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance.  We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator.  We use adjusted measures of operating income and operating income per diluted share in incentive compensation.  Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile operating income and net income for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006.

 

For the three months ended March 31,

 

Property-Liability

 

Allstate Financial

 

Consolidated

 

Per diluted share

 

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Est.
 2007

 

2006

 

Est. 
2007

 

2006

 

Est. 
2007

 

2006

 

Operating income

 

1,062

 

$

1,176

 

$

156

 

$

144

 

$

1,197

 

$

1,304

 

$

1.93

 

$

2.01

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

444

 

224

 

23

 

(28

)

471

 

199

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax (expense) benefit

 

(157

)

(79

)

(8

)

10

 

(166

)

(70

)

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses,after-tax

 

287

 

145

 

15

 

(18

)

305

 

129

 

0.49

 

0.20

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized
capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

 

 

27

 

 

27

 

 

0.04

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and
accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments,
after-tax

 

 

 

(8

)

(10

)

(8

)

(10

)

(0.01

)

(0.01

)

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

 

 

1

 

(35

)

1

 

(35

)

 

(0.05

)

Income before cumulative effect of change in
accounting principle, after-tax

 

1,349

 

1,321

 

164

 

108

 

1,495

 

1,415

 

2.41

 

2.19

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting
principle, after-tax

 

 

 

(9

)

 

(9

)

 

(0.02

)

 

Net income

 

1,349

 

$

1,321

 

$

155

 

$

108

 

$

1,486

 

$

1,415

 

$

2.39

 

$

2.19

 

 

Underwriting income (loss) is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP.  Management uses this measure in its evaluation of results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results.  It is also an integral component of incentive compensation.  It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting income (loss) should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting income (loss) to net income is provided in the Segment Results table.

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between the two operating ratios, combined ratio (a GAAP measure) and the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio.  The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio.  We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our property-liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses, which cause our loss trends to vary significantly

18




between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude and which have a significant impact on the combined ratio.  We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance.  The combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes to combined ratio is provided in the Property-Liability Highlights section of the Consolidated and Segments Highlights table.

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between three operating ratios: the combined ratio (a GAAP measure), the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio and the effect of prior year reserve reestimates on the combined ratio.  The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio.  We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our property-liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses, which cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude and which have a significant impact on the combined ratio, and prior year reserve reestimates, which are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves.  We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance.  We also provide it to facilitate a comparison to our outlook on the 2007 combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophe losses and assuming no prior year reserve reestimates.  The combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates to combined ratio is provided in the Property-Liability Highlights section of the Consolidated and Segments Highlights table.

In this press release, we provide our outlook on the 2007 combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophe losses and assuming no prior year reserve reestimates.  A reconciliation of this measure to the combined ratio is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of catastrophes.  Prior year reserve reestimates are expected to be zero because reserves are determined based on our best estimate of ultimate loss reserves as of the reporting date.

Operating income return on equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of shareholders’ equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-month period, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity. We believe that this measure is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management:  the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized capital gains and losses and the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, and non-recurring items that are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Return on equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.  The following table shows the reconciliation.

 

19




 

For the twelve months ended

 

($ in millions)

 

March 31,

 

 

 

Est. 2007

 

2006

 

Return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

5,064

 

$

2,057

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning shareholders’ equity

 

20,545

 

21,325

 

Ending shareholders’ equity 3

 

22,491

 

20,545

 

Average shareholders’ equity

 

$

21,518

 

$

20,935

 

Return on equity 3

 

23.5

%

9.8

%

 

 

 

For the twelve months ended

 

 

 

March 31,

 

 

Est. 2007

 

2006

 

Operating income return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

$

4,781

 

$

1,746

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning shareholders’ equity

 

20,545

 

21,325

 

Unrealized net capital gains

 

1,634

 

2,111

 

Adjusted beginning shareholders’ equity

 

18,911

 

19,214

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ending shareholders’ equity

 

22,491

 

20,545

 

Unrealized net capital gains

 

2,058

 

1,634

 

Adjusted ending shareholders’ equity

 

20,433

 

18,911

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average adjusted shareholders’ equity

 

$

19,672

 

$

19,063

 

Operating income return on equity

 

24.3

%

9.2

%


(3)             The net funded status of our pension and other postretirement benefit plans recognized upon adoption of FASB Statement No. 158 increased return on equity by 0.5 points in the twelve months ended March 31, 2007.

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities, is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure.  It is calculated by dividing shareholders’ equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities and related DAC and life insurance reserves by total shares outstanding plus dilutive potential shares outstanding.  Book value per share is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

We use the trend in book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities, in conjunction with book value per share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods.  We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily capital market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers.  We note that book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities, is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique.  Book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains on

20




fixed income securities, should not be considered as a substitute for book value per share, and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business.  The following table shows the reconciliation.

 

As of

 

 

 

March 31,

 

(in millions, except per share data)

 

Est. 2007

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity 4

 

$

22,491

 

$

20,545

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding

 

615.5

 

642.5

 

Book value per share 4

 

$

36.54

 

$

31.98

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

$

22,491

 

$

20,545

 

Unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

991

 

689

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

 

$

21,500

 

$

19,856

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding

 

615.5

 

642.5

 

Book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

$

34.93

 

$

30.90

 


(4)             The net funded status of our pension and other postretirement benefit plans recognized upon adoption of FASB Statement No. 158 reduced book value per share by $1.74 as of March 31, 2007.

Gross margin1 is comprised primarily of life and annuity premiums and contract charges and net investment income, less contract benefits and interest credited to contractholder funds excluding amortization of DSI.  Gross margin also includes periodic settlements and accruals on certain non-hedge derivative instruments (see additional discussion below under “investment margin”). We use gross margin as a component of our evaluation of the profitability of Allstate Financial’s life insurance and financial product portfolio.  Additionally, for many of our products, including fixed annuities, variable life and annuities, and interest-sensitive life insurance, the amortization of DAC and DSI is determined based on actual and expected gross margin. Gross margin is comprised of three components that are utilized to further analyze the business; they include the investment margin1, benefit margin1, and contract charges and fees. We believe gross margin and its components are useful to investors because they allow for the evaluation of income components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance.  Gross margin, investment margin and benefit margin should not be considered as a substitute for net income and do not reflect the overall profitability of the business. Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to these margins.  Gross margin is reconciled to Allstate Financial’s GAAP net income in the following table.

 

21




 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2007

 

2006

 

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

 

$

483

 

$

495

 

Net investment income

 

1,050

 

1,004

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

12

 

16

 

Contract benefits

 

(428

)

(373

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds 5

 

(639

)

(613

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross margin

 

478

 

529

 

Amortization of DAC and DSI

 

(139

)

(169

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

(105

)

(128

)

Restructuring and related charges

 

 

(16

)

Income tax expense

 

(78

)

(72

)

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

15

 

(18

)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

27

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(8

)

(10

)

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

1

 

(35

)

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

(9

)

 

Allstate Financial net income

 

$

155

 

$

108

 

 

5        Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin.  Amortization of DSI totaled est. $10 million in the first quarter of 2007 and $7 million in the first quarter of 2006.

Investment margin is a component of gross margin.  Investment margin represents the excess of net investment income and periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments over interest credited to contractholder funds and the implied interest on life-contingent immediate annuities included in Allstate Financial’s reserve for life-contingent contract benefits.  We utilize certain derivative instruments as economic hedges of investments or contractholder funds and to replicate fixed income securities.  These instruments do not qualify for hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for accounting purposes.  Such derivatives are accounted for at fair value, and reported in realized capital gains and losses.  Periodic settlements and accruals on these derivative instruments are included as a component of gross margin, consistent with their intended use to enhance or maintain investment income and margin, and together with the economically hedged investments or product attributes (e.g. net investment income or interest credited to contractholder funds) or replicated investments, to appropriately reflect trends in product performance.  Amortization of DSI is excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating investment margin.  We use investment margin to evaluate Allstate Financial’s profitability related to the difference between investment returns on assets supporting certain products and the amounts credited to customers (“spread”) during a fiscal period.

Benefit margin is a component of gross margin.  Benefit margin represents life and life-contingent immediate annuity premiums, cost of insurance contract charges and variable annuity fees for contract guarantees less contract benefits.  Benefit margin excludes the implied interest on life-contingent immediate annuities, which is included in the calculation of investment margin.  We use benefit margin to evaluate Allstate Financial’s underwriting performance, as it reflects the profitability of our products with respect to mortality or morbidity risk during a fiscal period.

22




 

The components of gross margin are reconciled to the corresponding financial statement line items in the following tables.

 

Three Months Ended March 31,

 

 

 

Investment
Margin

 

Benefit
Margin

 

Contract Charges
and Fees

 

Gross
Margin

 

(in millions)

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life and annuity premiums

 

$

 

$

 

$

242

 

$

195

 

$

 

$

 

$

242

 

$

195

 

Contract charges

 

 

 

159

 

161

 

82

 

139

 

241

 

300

 

Net investment Income

 

1,050

 

1,004

 

 

 

 

 

1,050

 

1,004

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

12

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

16

 

Contract benefits

 

(137

)

(132

)

(291

)

(241

)

 

 

(428

)

(373

)

Interest credited to contractholder
funds
6

 

(639

)

(613

)

 

 

 

 

(639

)

(613

)

 

 

$

286

 

$

275

 

$

110

 

$

115

 

$

82

 

$

139

 

$

478

 

$

529

 

 

6    Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin.  Amortization of DSI totaled est. $10 million in the first quarter of 2007 and $7 million in the first quarter of 2006.

Operating Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following operating financial measures.  Our method of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period.  Premiums earned is a GAAP measure.  Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period.  The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following table.

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Premiums written

 

$

6,609

 

$

6,725

 

Decrease (increase) in Property-Liability unearned premiums

 

203

 

(13

)

Other

 

(6

)

164

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,806

 

$

6,876

 

 

Premiums and deposits1 is an operating measure that we use to analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales.  It includes premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all deposits and other funds received from customers on deposit-type products including the net new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we account for under GAAP as increases to liabilities rather than as revenue.

 

23




The following table illustrates where premiums and deposits are reflected in the consolidated financial statements.

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Premiums and deposits excluding variable annuities

 

$

2,628

 

$

2,241

 

Variable annuity deposits 8

 

 

435

 

Total premiums and deposits

 

2,628

 

2,676

 

Deposits to contractholder funds

 

(2,363

)

(2,084

)

Deposits to separate accounts

 

(33

)

(405

)

Change in unearned premiums and other adjustments

 

10

 

8

 

Life and annuity premiums 7

 

$

242

 

$

195

 

 

7    Life and annuity contract charges in the amount of est. $241 million and $300 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component of the Consolidated Statements of Operations line item life and annuity premiums and contract charges.

8    Disposed through reinsurance effective June 1, 2006.

New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of financial products by the Allstate Agency proprietary distribution channel.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies includes sales of Allstate Financial products such as annual premiums on new life insurance policies, annual premiums on Allstate Workplace Division products, premiums and deposits on fixed annuities, net new deposits in the Allstate Bank and sales of Allstate Financial-issued variable annuities, and sales of products by non-affiliated issuers such as mutual funds and Prudential-issued variable annuities.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies exclude renewal premiums on life insurance policies.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2006 are presented in the following table.

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2007

 

2006

 

Allstate Financial products (excluding variable annuities)

 

$

205

 

$

273

 

Allstate Financial variable annuities 9

 

11

 

96

 

Non-affiliated products

 

379

 

170

 

Total

 

$

595

 

$

539

 

9       Disposed through reinsurance effective June 1, 2006.  Allstate Financial variable annuities continue to be issued during the transition period of this reinsurance agreement, which is expected to be 24 months or less.

Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors

This press release contains forward-looking statements about our combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and assuming no prior year reserve reestimates for 2007 and the completion of our share repurchase program.  These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management’s estimates, assumptions and projections.  Actual results may differ materially from those projected based on the risk factors described below.

·                  Adjustments to our business structure, size and underwriting practices in markets with significant catastrophe risk exposure may impact homeowners premium growth rates and retention more adversely than we expect.  In addition, due to the diminished potential for cross-selling opportunities, new business growth in our auto lines could be lower than expected.  Efforts to recover the costs of our catastrophe reinsurance program through rate increases may not be entirely successful due to resistance by regulators or non-renewal decisions by policyholders resulting in a lower amount of insurance in force.

 

24




 

·                  Auto and homeowners frequencies or severities may be higher than anticipated levels due to unexpected trends or events such as severe weather.

·                  Actual placement of the remainder of our reinsurance program in the state of Florida and any other risk transfers and related premium impacts may differ from our expectations due to not yet placing the remainder of our program in the reinsurance market and state legislative actions.

·                  The completion of our share repurchase program is subject to the risks identified above and their impact on net income and cash flows, as well as management discretion and assessment of alternative uses of funds and the market price of Allstate’s common stock from time to time.

We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements.  This press release contains unaudited financial information.

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation’s largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the “You’re In Good Hands With Allstate®” slogan, Allstate helps individuals in approximately 17 million households protect what they have today and better prepare for tomorrow through approximately 14,800 exclusive agencies and financial professionals in the U.S. and Canada. Customers can access Allstate products and services such as auto insurance and homeowners insurance through Allstate agencies, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800 Allstate®. Encompass® and Deerbrook® Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agents. The Allstate Financial Group provides life insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, annuity, banking and retirement products designed for individual, institutional and worksite customers that are distributed through Allstate agencies, independent agencies, financial institutions and broker-dealers.

We post an investor supplement on our web site. You can access it by going to allstate.com and clicking on “Investor Relations.” From there, go to the “Quarterly Investor Info” button.  We will post additional information to the supplement over the next 30 days as it becomes available.

Contact:

 

 

Michael Trevino

Robert Block, Larry Moews, Phil Dorn

 

Media Relations

Investor Relations

 

(847) 402-5600

(847) 402-2800

 

 

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