UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C.
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d) OF
THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) October 19, 2005
The Allstate Corporation
(Exact name of registrant as specified in charter)
Delaware |
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1-11840 |
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36-3871531 |
(State or other |
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(Commission |
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(IRS employer |
jurisdiction of |
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file number) |
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identification |
incorporation) |
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number) |
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2775 Sanders Road, Northbrook, Illinois |
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60062 |
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(Address of principal executive offices) |
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(Zip code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code (847) 402-5000
o Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
o Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Section 2 Financial Information
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On October 19, 2005, the registrant issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter of 2005. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this report.
Section 9. Financial Statements and Exhibits
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(c) Exhibits
99 Registrants press release dated October 19, 2005
2
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
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THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION |
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(registrant) |
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By |
/s/ Samuel H. Pilch |
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Name: Samuel H. Pilch |
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Title: Controller |
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October 19, 2005 |
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3
Exhibit 99
For Immediate Release
NORTHBROOK, Ill., October 19, 2005 The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported for the third quarter of 2005:
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Consolidated Highlights(1) |
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Three Months Ended September 30, |
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(in millions, except per share
amounts |
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Est. |
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2004 |
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Change |
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Consolidated revenues |
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$ |
8,942 |
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$ |
8,442 |
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$ |
500 |
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Net (loss) income |
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(1,548 |
) |
56 |
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$ |
(1,604 |
) |
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Net (loss) income per diluted share |
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(2.36 |
) |
0.09 |
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$ |
(2.45 |
) |
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Operating (loss) income(1) |
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(1,650 |
) |
49 |
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$ |
(1,699 |
) |
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Operating (loss) income per diluted share(1) |
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(2.52 |
) |
0.08 |
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$ |
(2.60 |
) |
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Property-Liability combined ratio |
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149.6 |
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110.5 |
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39.1 |
pts. |
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Effect of catastrophes on combined ratio |
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69.4 |
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26.0 |
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43.4 |
pts. |
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Effect of catastrophes on Net (loss) income per diluted share |
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(4.67 |
) |
(1.59 |
) |
$ |
3.08 |
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Book value per diluted share |
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29.66 |
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30.33 |
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$ |
(0.67 |
) |
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Return on equity |
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9.2 |
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13.9 |
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(4.7 |
)pts. |
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Operating income return on equity(1) |
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9.0 |
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16.5 |
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(7.5 |
)pts. |
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After-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, totaled $3.06 billion in the third quarter of 2005 compared to $1.11 billion in the third quarter of 2004. The effect of catastrophes on net (loss) income per diluted share was $4.67 in the third quarter of 2005 compared to $1.59 in the third quarter of 2004. Catastrophe losses in the quarter included the impacts of Hurricanes Katrina ($3.68 billion pre-tax or $2.39 billion after-tax), Rita ($850 million pre-tax or $553 million after-tax, net of reinsurance), Dennis and Ophelia. For further information, see the Impacts of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita section.
Property-Liability premiums written(1) grew 2.9% over the third quarter of 2004, driven by an increase in Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners premiums written, which grew 4.7% and 6.0%, respectively. Premiums written grew 3.7%, excluding the cost of catastrophe reinsurance programs purchased in 2005, impacts of Hurricane Katrina and business ceded to Universal Insurance Company of North America (Universal). Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners policies in force (PIF) increased 3.6% and 4.4%, respectively, from September 30, 2004 levels.
Property-Liability underwriting loss was $3.36 billion compared to an underwriting loss of $685 million in the third quarter of 2004, due to higher catastrophes, partially offset by increased premiums earned, continued favorable auto and homeowners loss frequencies, excluding catastrophes, and net favorable prior year reserve reestimates.
Allstate Financial operating income for the quarter was $156 million, an increase of 3.3% over the third quarter of 2004. Premiums and deposits(1) were $2.38 billion, a decrease of 40.8% over the third quarter of 2004 due to lower institutional product deposits and pricing actions taken to ensure adequate returns.
Allstates annual operating income per diluted share guidance for 2005 (assuming the level of average expected catastrophe losses used in pricing for the remainder of the year) is in the range of $2.35 to $2.50, compared to the previously announced range of $6.00 to $6.40, due to the level of catastrophe losses in the third quarter of 2005.
(1) Measures used in this release that are not based on generally accepted accounting principles (non-GAAP) are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and operating measures are defined in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document.
The destructive and devastating effects of Hurricane Katrina significantly overshadowed Allstates strong underlying performance trends in the quarter, said Edward M. Liddy, chairman and CEO of The Allstate Corporation. This unprecedented hurricane is the United States costliest catastrophe in history, surpassing Hurricane Andrew by a wide margin.
For Allstate, pre-tax catastrophe losses, including claims from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, Dennis and Ophelia, were more than $4.7 billion net of reinsurance in the quarter. This represents nearly a ten-fold increase from what we would normally expect in catastrophe losses in a quarter. For Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, the company expects to handle more than 300,000 claims from customers primarily in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida and Texas.
Allstate has nearly 4,000 claim professionals along the gulf coast working as fast and as hard as possible to bring aid to the many thousands of people impacted by the terrible hurricane season. We remain absolutely committed to helping our affected customers return to some semblance of a normal way of life as soon as possible.
We continue working on our homeowners catastrophe management strategy through a variety of strong proactive risk management actions to better address significant potential hurricane and earthquake losses. We have made progress to reduce our exposure to catastrophe losses, but we will do much more and do it on an accelerated basis.
In addition, it is also clear to Allstate that how this country prepares for and offers protection against mega-catastrophes must be re-thought and changed. We have all seen on our television screens that the current system is inadequate. America cannot continue to look into the rear-view mirror to manage catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes.
We believe its time to develop a new system to plan ahead and become better prepared for catastrophes. Allstate is aggressively pursuing a broadened dialogue and stands ready to help develop a solution that more effectively protects people, families, communities and our national economy from these horrific catastrophes.
Absent the impact of the hurricanes, it was a strong quarter for Allstate Protection. Net written premiums were up 2.9 percent with Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners premiums written growing 4.7 percent and 6.0 percent, respectively. Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners policies in force grew 3.6 and 4.4 percent, respectively. And the retention ratio for Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners remained strong.
Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners loss costs, excluding catastrophes, continued to trend favorably as compared to prior quarters. Frequencies continue to improve and severities remain manageable with modest levels of increase, well within our pricing assumptions. The impact of catastrophes on the third quarter accounted for 69.4 points of the total combined ratio of 149.6, indicating the outstanding underlying profitability performance of the business.
Allstate Financial generated operating income in the quarter of $156 million, an increase of $5 million or 3.3 percent compared to the third quarter of 2004. Non-deferred operating expenses were held flat compared to the third quarter of 2004. Total premiums and deposits were down $1.6 billion in the quarter compared to the third quarter of 2004, primarily due to declines in sales of traditional fixed annuities and the absence of opportunistic sales of institutional products. The reduced retail sales reflect our strategy to focus on improving returns.
We continued to make significant progress on our share repurchase program in the quarter, buying back 12.1 million shares for $717 million. We have now bought back a total of 39.5 million shares this year at a total cost of $2.22 billion toward the current $4.0 billion share repurchase program to be completed in 2006.
The effects of the 2005 hurricane season will likely be with us for some time to come as we work to settle claims and help restore our customers lives.
2
Consolidated Highlights
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Three Months Ended |
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Nine Months Ended |
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Discussion of Results for the |
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($ in millions, except per
share |
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Est. |
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2004 |
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Est. |
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2004 |
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Consolidated revenues |
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$ |
8,942 |
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$ |
8,442 |
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$ |
26,438 |
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$ |
25,057 |
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Growth of Property-Liability premiums earned, higher net investment income and higher net realized capital gains, partially offset by lower life and annuity premiums and contract charges. |
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Operating (loss) income |
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(1,650 |
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49 |
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607 |
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2,105 |
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Decrease in Property-Liability operating income of $1,710 and an increase in Allstate Financial operating income of $5. |
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Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
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121 |
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37 |
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288 |
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180 |
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See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table. |
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DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
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(2 |
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(15 |
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(106 |
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(28 |
) |
Amortization related to certain realized capital gains. |
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Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
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(175 |
) |
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Net (loss) income |
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(1,548 |
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56 |
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724 |
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2,039 |
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Decrease in Property-Liability and increase in Allstate Financial net income. |
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Net
(loss) income per diluted |
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(2.36 |
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0.09 |
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1.08 |
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2.90 |
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Operating (loss) income per diluted share (1) |
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(2.52 |
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0.08 |
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0.90 |
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2.99 |
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Net shares outstanding |
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650.4 |
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689.1 |
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650.4 |
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689.1 |
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During the third quarter of 2005, Allstate purchased 12.1 million shares of its stock for $717 million, leaving $1.78 billion remaining in the current $4 billion authorization. |
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Weighted average shares outstanding (diluted) (1) |
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654.8 |
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696.8 |
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671.9 |
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703.5 |
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Return on equity |
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9.2 |
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13.9 |
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9.2 |
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13.9 |
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See the return on equity calculation in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document. |
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Operating income return on equity |
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9.0 |
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16.5 |
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9.0 |
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16.5 |
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See the return on equity calculation in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document. |
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Book value per diluted share |
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29.66 |
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30.33 |
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29.66 |
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30.33 |
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At September 30, 2005 and 2004, net unrealized gains on fixed income securities totaling $1,447 and $2,164, respectively, represented $2.21 and $3.12, respectively, of book value per diluted share. |
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(1) As prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares-diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss. Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount.
Book value per diluted share decreased 2.2% compared to September 30, 2004. Book value per diluted share excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities(1) was $27.45 at September 30, 2005, reflecting an increase of 0.9% and a decrease of 4.1% compared to September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2004, respectively.
3
Property-Liability Highlights
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Three Months Ended |
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Nine Months Ended |
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Discussion of Results for the |
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($ in millions, except ratios) |
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Est. |
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Est. |
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2004 |
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Property-Liability net premiums written |
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$ |
7,158 |
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$ |
6,958 |
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$ |
20,733 |
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$ |
20,032 |
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See the Property-Liability Premiums Written by Market Segment table. |
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Property-Liability revenues |
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7,398 |
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7,094 |
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21,919 |
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21,092 |
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Premiums earned increased $230 or 3.5%. |
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Underwriting (loss) income |
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(3,363 |
) |
(685 |
) |
(1,388 |
) |
1,068 |
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Higher catastrophe losses partially offset by higher premiums earned, continued favorable auto and homeowners loss frequencies, excluding catastrophes, and net favorable prior year reserve reestimates. See the Allstate Protection Market Segment Analysis table. |
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Net investment income |
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454 |
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443 |
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1,333 |
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1,310 |
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Higher portfolio balances due to positive cash flows from operations and higher partnership income, partially offset by lower yields. |
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Operating (loss) income |
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(1,785 |
) |
(75 |
) |
236 |
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1,773 |
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Decrease of $1,741 in underwriting results, after-tax. |
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Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
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99 |
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69 |
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248 |
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272 |
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See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table. |
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Net (loss) income |
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(1,686 |
) |
(6 |
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484 |
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2,045 |
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Higher operating loss. |
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Catastrophe losses |
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4,707 |
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1,706 |
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5,017 |
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2,056 |
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Ratios: |
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Property-Liability combined ratio |
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149.6 |
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110.5 |
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106.9 |
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94.5 |
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Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio |
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2.0 |
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4.9 |
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0.9 |
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3.3 |
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Allstate Protection combined ratio |
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147.6 |
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105.6 |
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106.0 |
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91.2 |
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Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio |
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69.4 |
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26.0 |
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24.8 |
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10.6 |
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Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners PIF increased 3.6% and 4.4%, respectively, from September 30, 2004 levels, compared to increases of 4.2% and 5.4%, respectively, in the second quarter of 2005 over the second quarter of 2004. PIF results exclude Allstate Canada.
The retention ratios for Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners were 90.5 and 88.5, respectively, compared to 90.9 and 88.6 in the prior year third quarter. Retention ratios exclude Allstate Canada.
New business premiums written for the Allstate brand standard auto increased 2.0% while homeowners declined 6.5%, as compared to the third quarter of 2004. The decline in homeowners new business premiums is primarily due to our proactive catastrophe risk management actions and competitive pressures in certain states.
Standard auto new business premiums grew 3.3%, excluding New Jersey. In New Jersey, we continue to experience a decline due to new entrants in the market. New business premiums written, which represented 9.2% of the total standard auto premiums written, increased in approximately 65% of the states.
Homeowners new business premiums grew 2.8%, excluding Florida, California and New York. Declines in these markets are due to our proactive catastrophe risk management actions. New business premiums written, which represented 12.8% of the total homeowners premiums written, increased in approximately 60% of the states.
We will continue our disciplined risk and pricing approach, seeking profitable growth on a market-by-market basis. For further information, see the Homeowners Catastrophe Management Strategy section.
Prior year net favorable reserve re-estimates totaled $150 million, resulting from a $284 million favorable re-estimate for Allstate Protection, partially offset by a $134 million unfavorable re-estimate for Discontinued Lines and Coverages. The Allstate Protection net reserve reestimate reflects lower actual claim severity trends and late reported loss development than anticipated in previous estimates. For further information, see the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section.
4
Allstate Financial Highlights
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Three Months Ended |
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Nine Months Ended |
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Discussion of Results for the |
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($ in millions) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
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2004 |
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Premiums and deposits |
|
$ |
2,377 |
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$ |
4,017 |
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$ |
10,388 |
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$ |
11,756 |
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See the Allstate Financial Premiums and Deposits table. |
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Allstate Financial revenues |
|
1,506 |
|
1,323 |
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4,415 |
|
3,893 |
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Higher investment income and realized net capital gains, partially offset by lower life and annuity premiums and contract charges. |
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Operating income |
|
156 |
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151 |
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442 |
|
409 |
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Primarily due to lower income taxes. |
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Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
17 |
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(33 |
) |
33 |
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(90 |
) |
See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table. |
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DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
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(2 |
) |
(15 |
) |
(106 |
) |
(28 |
) |
Amortization related to certain realized capital gains. |
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|
|
|
|
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|
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Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(175 |
) |
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Net income |
|
154 |
|
88 |
|
304 |
|
73 |
|
Higher realized net capital gains, after-tax, and higher operating income, partially offset by higher DAC and DSI amortization related to higher realized net capital gains. |
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Investments including Separate Account assets as of September 30, 2005 increased 7.8% over September 30, 2004 primarily due to sales of fixed annuities and funding agreements.
As of September 30, 2005, 73% of our interest-sensitive life and fixed annuity contracts, excluding market value adjusted annuities, have a guaranteed crediting rate of 3% or higher. Of these contracts, 80% have crediting rates that are at the minimum as of September 30, 2005. For all interest-sensitive life and fixed annuity contracts, excluding market value adjusted annuities, the approximate difference between the weighted average crediting rate and the average guaranteed crediting rate is 48 basis points as of September 30, 2005 compared to 49 basis points as of June 30, 2005.
New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies increased 5.0% over the third quarter of 2004 to $546 million.
Total fixed annuity deposits were $1.23 billion, a decrease of 43.6% from the third quarter of 2004 and 22.2% below the second quarter of 2005. Due primarily to our strategy focused on achieving higher returns, deposits of traditional fixed annuities were $875 million, a decrease of 53.1% from the third quarter of 2004. This decrease was partially offset by deposits of equity indexed annuities of $187 million, a 27.2% increase over the third quarter of 2004.
Variable annuity deposits were $452 million in the quarter, an increase of 37.0% over the third quarter of 2004 and 1.5% lower than the second quarter of 2005.
Allstate Financial prioritizes the allocation of fixed income investments to support sales of retail products with the best sustainable growth and contribution margins and to maintain our retail market presence. There were no sales of institutional products during the quarter. Our institutional business remains opportunistic.
5
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
|
|
Three Months Ended |
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|
|
Nine Months Ended |
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|
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
September 30, |
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||||||||
|
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Est. |
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Percent |
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Est. |
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Percent |
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||||
($ in millions, except per share data) |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
||||
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|
|
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|
||||
Revenues |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Property-liability insurance premiums |
|
$ |
6,781 |
|
$ |
6,551 |
|
3.5 |
|
$ |
20,201 |
|
$ |
19,382 |
|
4.2 |
|
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges |
|
505 |
|
508 |
|
(0.6 |
) |
1,525 |
|
1,508 |
|
1.1 |
|
||||
Net investment income |
|
1,457 |
|
1,333 |
|
9.3 |
|
4,264 |
|
3,906 |
|
9.2 |
|
||||
Realized capital gains and losses |
|
199 |
|
50 |
|
|
|
448 |
|
261 |
|
71.6 |
|
||||
Total revenues |
|
8,942 |
|
8,442 |
|
5.9 |
|
26,438 |
|
25,057 |
|
5.5 |
|
||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Costs and expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense |
|
8,529 |
|
5,661 |
|
50.7 |
|
16,706 |
|
13,668 |
|
22.2 |
|
||||
Life and annuity contract benefits |
|
395 |
|
401 |
|
(1.5 |
) |
1,209 |
|
1,174 |
|
3.0 |
|
||||
Interest credited to contractholder funds |
|
608 |
|
505 |
|
20.4 |
|
1,784 |
|
1,455 |
|
22.6 |
|
||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
|
1,160 |
|
1,124 |
|
3.2 |
|
3,557 |
|
3,251 |
|
9.4 |
|
||||
Operating costs and expenses |
|
713 |
|
738 |
|
(3.4 |
) |
2,266 |
|
2,241 |
|
1.1 |
|
||||
Restructuring and related charges |
|
10 |
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
36 |
|
26 |
|
38.5 |
|
||||
Interest expense |
|
85 |
|
76 |
|
11.8 |
|
251 |
|
223 |
|
12.6 |
|
||||
Total costs and expenses |
|
11,500 |
|
8,504 |
|
35.2 |
|
25,809 |
|
22,038 |
|
17.1 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Loss on disposition of operations |
|
(4 |
) |
(6 |
) |
33.3 |
|
(12 |
) |
(17 |
) |
29.4 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
(Loss) income from operations before income tax (benefit) expense and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
(2,562 |
) |
(68 |
) |
|
|
617 |
|
3,002 |
|
(79.4 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Income tax (benefit) expense |
|
(1,014 |
) |
(124 |
) |
|
|
(107 |
) |
788 |
|
(113.6 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
(Loss) income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
(1,548 |
) |
56 |
|
|
|
724 |
|
2,214 |
|
(67.3 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(175 |
) |
100.0 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(1,548 |
) |
$ |
56 |
|
|
|
$ |
724 |
|
$ |
2,039 |
|
(64.5 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net (loss) income per share - Basic |
|
$ |
(2.36 |
) |
$ |
0.10 |
|
|
|
$ |
1.09 |
|
$ |
2.92 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average shares - Basic |
|
654.8 |
|
692.1 |
|
|
|
666.3 |
|
698.8 |
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net (loss) income per share - Diluted (1) |
|
$ |
(2.36 |
) |
$ |
0.09 |
|
|
|
$ |
1.08 |
|
$ |
2.90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average shares - Diluted (1) |
|
654.8 |
|
696.8 |
|
|
|
671.9 |
|
703.5 |
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Cash dividends declared per share |
|
$ |
0.32 |
|
$ |
0.28 |
|
|
|
$ |
0.96 |
|
$ |
0.84 |
|
|
|
(1) As prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares-diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss. Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount.
6
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
CONTRIBUTION TO INCOME
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Percent |
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Percent |
|
||||
($ in millions, except per share data) |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Contribution to income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating (loss) income before the impact of restructuring and related charges |
|
$ |
(1,644 |
) |
$ |
48 |
|
|
|
$ |
630 |
|
$ |
2,122 |
|
(70.3 |
) |
Restructuring and related charges, after-tax |
|
6 |
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
23 |
|
17 |
|
35.3 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating (loss) income |
|
(1,650 |
) |
49 |
|
|
|
607 |
|
2,105 |
|
(71.2 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
121 |
|
37 |
|
|
|
288 |
|
180 |
|
60.0 |
|
||||
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
(2 |
) |
(15 |
) |
86.7 |
|
(106 |
) |
(28 |
) |
|
|
||||
Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(22 |
) |
|
|
|
|
||||
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax |
|
(10 |
) |
(10 |
) |
|
|
(32 |
) |
(21 |
) |
(52.4 |
) |
||||
Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax |
|
(7 |
) |
(5 |
) |
(40.0 |
) |
(11 |
) |
(22 |
) |
50.0 |
|
||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(175 |
) |
100.0 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(1,548 |
) |
$ |
56 |
|
|
|
$ |
724 |
|
$ |
2,039 |
|
(64.5 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
(Loss)
income per share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating (loss) income before the impact of restructuring and related charges |
|
$ |
(2.51 |
) |
$ |
0.08 |
|
|
|
$ |
0.94 |
|
$ |
3.01 |
|
(68.8 |
) |
Restructuring and related charges, after-tax |
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.04 |
|
0.02 |
|
100.0 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating (loss) income |
|
(2.52 |
) |
0.08 |
|
|
|
0.90 |
|
2.99 |
|
(69.9 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
0.18 |
|
0.06 |
|
|
|
0.43 |
|
0.26 |
|
65.4 |
|
||||
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
|
|
(0.02 |
) |
100.0 |
|
(0.16 |
) |
(0.04 |
) |
|
|
||||
Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.03 |
) |
|
|
|
|
||||
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax |
|
(0.01 |
) |
(0.02 |
) |
50.0 |
|
(0.05 |
) |
(0.03 |
) |
(66.7 |
) |
||||
Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax |
|
(0.01 |
) |
(0.01 |
) |
|
|
(0.01 |
) |
(0.03 |
) |
66.7 |
|
||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.25 |
) |
100.0 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(2.36 |
) |
$ |
0.09 |
|
|
|
$ |
1.08 |
|
$ |
2.90 |
|
(62.8 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share - Diluted |
|
$ |
29.66 |
|
$ |
30.33 |
|
(2.2 |
) |
$ |
29.66 |
|
$ |
30.33 |
|
(2.2 |
) |
(1) The non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits is for a discontinued benefit plan.
(2) As prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares-diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss. Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount.
7
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRETAX)
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, 2005 (Est.) |
|
||||||||||
|
|
Property- |
|
Allstate |
|
Corporate |
|
|
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
Liability |
|
Financial |
|
and Other |
|
Total |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Valuation of derivative instruments |
|
$ |
23 |
|
$ |
(32 |
) |
$ |
|
|
$ |
(9 |
) |
Settlements of derivative instruments |
|
21 |
|
45 |
|
|
|
66 |
|
||||
Dispositions (1) (2) |
|
125 |
|
24 |
|
9 |
|
158 |
|
||||
Investment write-downs |
|
(6 |
) |
(10 |
) |
|
|
(16 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Total |
|
$ |
163 |
|
$ |
27 |
|
$ |
9 |
|
$ |
199 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005 (Est.) |
|
||||||||||
|
|
Property- |
|
Allstate |
|
Corporate |
|
|
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
Liability |
|
Financial |
|
and Other |
|
Total |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Valuation of derivative instruments |
|
$ |
(4 |
) |
$ |
(101 |
) |
$ |
|
|
$ |
(105 |
) |
Settlements of derivative instruments |
|
24 |
|
54 |
|
|
|
78 |
|
||||
Dispositions (1) (2) |
|
385 |
|
122 |
|
11 |
|
518 |
|
||||
Investment write-downs |
|
(20 |
) |
(23 |
) |
|
|
(43 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Total |
|
$ |
385 |
|
$ |
52 |
|
$ |
11 |
|
$ |
448 |
|
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, 2004 |
|
||||||||||
|
|
Property- |
|
Allstate |
|
Corporate |
|
|
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
Liability |
|
Financial |
|
and Other |
|
Total |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Valuation of derivative instruments |
|
$ |
(20 |
) |
$ |
(23 |
) |
$ |
|
|
$ |
(43 |
) |
Settlements of derivative instruments |
|
(50 |
) |
(4 |
) |
1 |
|
(53 |
) |
||||
Dispositions |
|
189 |
|
3 |
|
|
|
192 |
|
||||
Investment write-downs |
|
(19 |
) |
(27 |
) |
|
|
(46 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Total |
|
$ |
100 |
|
$ |
(51 |
) |
$ |
1 |
|
$ |
50 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 |
|
||||||||||
|
|
Property- |
|
Allstate |
|
Corporate |
|
|
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
Liability |
|
Financial |
|
and Other |
|
Total |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Valuation of derivative instruments |
|
$ |
(23 |
) |
$ |
(49 |
) |
$ |
(1 |
) |
$ |
(73 |
) |
Settlements of derivative instruments |
|
(65 |
) |
(4 |
) |
|
|
(69 |
) |
||||
Dispositions |
|
522 |
|
(9 |
) |
(2 |
) |
511 |
|
||||
Investment write-downs |
|
(34 |
) |
(73 |
) |
(1 |
) |
(108 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Total |
|
$ |
400 |
|
$ |
(135 |
) |
$ |
(4 |
) |
$ |
261 |
|
(1) Because of the level of catastrophe losses experienced during the quarter and the possibility that we may need to have additional cash available to pay claims, we identified a portfolio of approximately $13.2 billion of securities from which we would consider selecting specific securities to sell to meet these needs. Approximately $2.0 billion of these securities were in an unrealized loss position, and, therefore, with the change in our intention to hold these investments, we recognized $15 million of anticipated disposition write-downs during the quarter.
(2) Because of an anticipated rise in interest rates, as well as changes in existing market conditions and asset return assumptions, certain changes are planned within various investment portfolios impacting approximately $492 million of securities. These changes result from continued asset-liability management strategies, on-going comprehensive reviews of our portfolios, and changes being made to our strategic asset allocations. Approximately $215 million of these securities were in an unrealized loss position, and, therefore, with the change in our intention to hold these investments, we recognized $14 million of anticipated disposition write-downs during the quarter.
8
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
SEGMENT RESULTS
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
|
||||||||
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Property-Liability |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Premiums written |
|
$ |
7,158 |
|
$ |
6,958 |
|
$ |
20,733 |
|
$ |
20,032 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Premiums earned |
|
$ |
6,781 |
|
$ |
6,551 |
|
$ |
20,201 |
|
$ |
19,382 |
|
Claims and claims expense (1) |
|
8,529 |
|
5,661 |
|
16,706 |
|
13,668 |
|
||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
|
1,029 |
|
985 |
|
3,061 |
|
2,858 |
|
||||
Operating costs and expenses |
|
577 |
|
592 |
|
1,787 |
|
1,767 |
|
||||
Restructuring and related charges |
|
9 |
|
(2 |
) |
35 |
|
21 |
|
||||
Underwriting (loss) income |
|
(3,363 |
) |
(685 |
) |
(1,388 |
) |
1,068 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net investment income |
|
454 |
|
443 |
|
1,333 |
|
1,310 |
|
||||
Income tax (benefit) expense on operations |
|
(1,124 |
) |
(167 |
) |
(291 |
) |
605 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating (loss) income |
|
(1,785 |
) |
(75 |
) |
236 |
|
1,773 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
99 |
|
69 |
|
248 |
|
272 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(1,686 |
) |
$ |
(6 |
) |
$ |
484 |
|
$ |
2,045 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Catastrophe losses |
|
$ |
4,707 |
|
$ |
1,706 |
|
$ |
5,017 |
|
$ |
2,056 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating ratios |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Claims and claims expense ratio (1) |
|
125.8 |
|
86.4 |
|
82.7 |
|
70.5 |
|
||||
Expense ratio |
|
23.8 |
|
24.1 |
|
24.2 |
|
24.0 |
|
||||
Combined ratio |
|
149.6 |
|
110.5 |
|
106.9 |
|
94.5 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio |
|
69.4 |
|
26.0 |
|
24.8 |
|
10.6 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio |
|
2.0 |
|
4.9 |
|
0.9 |
|
3.3 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Allstate Financial |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Premiums and deposits |
|
$ |
2,377 |
|
$ |
4,017 |
|
$ |
10,388 |
|
$ |
11,756 |
|
Investments including Separate Accounts assets |
|
$ |
90,787 |
|
$ |
84,247 |
|
$ |
90,787 |
|
$ |
84,247 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Premiums and contract charges |
|
$ |
505 |
|
$ |
508 |
|
$ |
1,525 |
|
$ |
1,508 |
|
Net investment income |
|
974 |
|
866 |
|
2,838 |
|
2,520 |
|
||||
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments |
|
14 |
|
15 |
|
49 |
|
33 |
|
||||
Contract benefits |
|
395 |
|
401 |
|
1,209 |
|
1,174 |
|
||||
Interest credited to contractholder funds |
|
608 |
|
505 |
|
1,752 |
|
1,452 |
|
||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
|
128 |
|
116 |
|
365 |
|
353 |
|
||||
Operating costs and expenses |
|
142 |
|
143 |
|
454 |
|
465 |
|
||||
Restructuring and related charges |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
5 |
|
||||
Income tax expense on operations |
|
63 |
|
72 |
|
189 |
|
203 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating income |
|
156 |
|
151 |
|
442 |
|
409 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
17 |
|
(33 |
) |
33 |
|
(90 |
) |
||||
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
(2 |
) |
(15 |
) |
(106 |
) |
(28 |
) |
||||
Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
(22 |
) |
|
|
||||
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax |
|
(10 |
) |
(10 |
) |
(32 |
) |
(21 |
) |
||||
Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax |
|
(7 |
) |
(5 |
) |
(11 |
) |
(22 |
) |
||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(175 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
154 |
|
$ |
88 |
|
$ |
304 |
|
$ |
73 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Corporate and Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net investment income |
|
$ |
29 |
|
$ |
24 |
|
$ |
93 |
|
$ |
76 |
|
Operating costs and expenses |
|
79 |
|
79 |
|
248 |
|
232 |
|
||||
Income tax benefit on operations |
|
(29 |
) |
(28 |
) |
(84 |
) |
(79 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating loss |
|
(21 |
) |
(27 |
) |
(71 |
) |
(77 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
5 |
|
1 |
|
7 |
|
(2 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net loss |
|
$ |
(16 |
) |
$ |
(26 |
) |
$ |
(64 |
) |
$ |
(79 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Consolidated net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(1,548 |
) |
$ |
56 |
|
$ |
724 |
|
$ |
2,039 |
|
(1) For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, claims and claims expense and claims and claims expense ratio include the effect of $120 million or 0.6 points related to an accrual for a pending settlement of a worker classification lawsuit challenging the overtime exemption claimed by the Company under California wage and hour laws.
(2) The non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits is for a discontinued benefit plan.
9
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
UNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA OF BUSINESS
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Percent |
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Percent |
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Property-Liability Underwriting Summary |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Allstate Protection |
|
$ |
(3,227 |
) |
$ |
(370 |
) |
|
|
$ |
(1,218 |
) |
$ |
1,707 |
|
(171.4 |
) |
Discontinued Lines and Coverages |
|
(136 |
) |
(315 |
) |
56.8 |
|
(170 |
) |
(639 |
) |
73.4 |
|
||||
Underwriting (loss) income |
|
$ |
(3,363 |
) |
$ |
(685 |
) |
|
|
$ |
(1,388 |
) |
$ |
1,068 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Premiums written |
|
$ |
7,158 |
|
$ |
6,957 |
|
2.9 |
|
$ |
20,732 |
|
$ |
20,029 |
|
3.5 |
|
Premiums earned |
|
$ |
6,780 |
|
$ |
6,550 |
|
3.5 |
|
$ |
20,201 |
|
$ |
19,378 |
|
4.2 |
|
Claims and claims expense (1) |
|
8,394 |
|
5,347 |
|
57.0 |
|
16,543 |
|
13,032 |
|
26.9 |
|
||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs |
|
1,029 |
|
986 |
|
4.4 |
|
3,061 |
|
2,858 |
|
7.1 |
|
||||
Operating costs and expenses |
|
575 |
|
589 |
|
(2.4 |
) |
1,780 |
|
1,760 |
|
1.1 |
|
||||
Restructuring and related charges |
|
9 |
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
35 |
|
21 |
|
66.7 |
|
||||
Underwriting (loss) income |
|
$ |
(3,227 |
) |
$ |
(370 |
) |
|
|
$ |
(1,218 |
) |
$ |
1,707 |
|
(171.4 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Catastrophe losses |
|
$ |
4,707 |
|
$ |
1,706 |
|
175.9 |
|
$ |
5,017 |
|
$ |
2,056 |
|
144.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating ratios |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Claims and claims expense ratio (1) |
|
123.8 |
|
81.6 |
|
|
|
81.9 |
|
67.3 |
|
|
|
||||
Expense ratio |
|
23.8 |
|
24.0 |
|
|
|
24.1 |
|
23.9 |
|
|
|
||||
Combined ratio |
|
147.6 |
|
105.6 |
|
|
|
106.0 |
|
91.2 |
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio |
|
69.4 |
|
26.0 |
|
|
|
24.8 |
|
10.6 |
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Underwriting Summary |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Premiums written |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
1 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
$ |
1 |
|
$ |
3 |
|
(66.7 |
) |
Premiums earned |
|
$ |
1 |
|
$ |
1 |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
4 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
Claims and claims expense |
|
135 |
|
314 |
|
(57.0 |
) |
163 |
|
636 |
|
(74.4 |
) |
||||
Operating costs and expenses |
|
2 |
|
2 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
7 |
|
|
|
||||
Underwriting loss |
|
$ |
(136 |
) |
$ |
(315 |
) |
56.8 |
|
$ |
(170 |
) |
$ |
(639 |
) |
73.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the Property-Liability combined ratio |
|
2.0 |
|
4.9 |
|
|
|
0.9 |
|
3.3 |
|
|
|
(1) For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, claims and claims expense and claims and claims expense ratio include the effect of $120 million or 0.6 points related to an accrual for a pending settlement of a worker classification lawsuit challenging the overtime exemption claimed by the Company under California wage and hour laws.
10
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
PROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Percent |
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Percent |
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Allstate brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Standard auto |
|
$ |
3,901 |
|
$ |
3,725 |
|
4.7 |
|
$ |
11,435 |
|
$ |
10,880 |
|
5.1 |
|
Non-standard auto |
|
398 |
|
454 |
|
(12.3 |
) |
1,226 |
|
1,381 |
|
(11.2 |
) |
||||
Auto |
|
4,299 |
|
4,179 |
|
2.9 |
|
12,661 |
|
12,261 |
|
3.3 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Involuntary auto |
|
35 |
|
45 |
|
(22.2 |
) |
133 |
|
183 |
|
(27.3 |
) |
||||
Commercial lines |
|
224 |
|
222 |
|
0.9 |
|
706 |
|
694 |
|
1.7 |
|
||||
Homeowners |
|
1,678 |
|
1,583 |
|
6.0 |
|
4,548 |
|
4,235 |
|
7.4 |
|
||||
Other personal lines |
|
383 |
|
376 |
|
1.9 |
|
1,099 |
|
1,074 |
|
2.3 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
6,619 |
|
6,405 |
|
3.3 |
|
19,147 |
|
18,447 |
|
3.8 |
|
||||
Encompass brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Standard auto |
|
305 |
|
327 |
|
(6.7 |
) |
900 |
|
932 |
|
(3.4 |
) |
||||
Non-standard auto (Deerbrook) |
|
28 |
|
37 |
|
(24.3 |
) |
90 |
|
119 |
|
(24.4 |
) |
||||
Auto |
|
333 |
|
364 |
|
(8.5 |
) |
990 |
|
1,051 |
|
(5.8 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Involuntary auto |
|
9 |
|
8 |
|
12.5 |
|
36 |
|
31 |
|
16.1 |
|
||||
Homeowners |
|
163 |
|
150 |
|
8.7 |
|
463 |
|
416 |
|
11.3 |
|
||||
Other personal lines |
|
34 |
|
30 |
|
13.3 |
|
96 |
|
84 |
|
14.3 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
539 |
|
552 |
|
(2.4 |
) |
1,585 |
|
1,582 |
|
0.2 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Allstate Protection |
|
7,158 |
|
6,957 |
|
2.9 |
|
20,732 |
|
20,029 |
|
3.5 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages |
|
|
|
1 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
1 |
|
3 |
|
(66.7 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Property-Liability (1) |
|
$ |
7,158 |
|
$ |
6,958 |
|
2.9 |
|
$ |
20,733 |
|
$ |
20,032 |
|
3.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Allstate Protection |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Standard auto |
|
$ |
4,206 |
|
$ |
4,052 |
|
3.8 |
|
$ |
12,335 |
|
$ |
11,812 |
|
4.4 |
|
Non-standard auto |
|
426 |
|
491 |
|
(13.2 |
) |
1,316 |
|
1,500 |
|
(12.3 |
) |
||||
Auto |
|
4,632 |
|
4,543 |
|
2.0 |
|
13,651 |
|
13,312 |
|
2.5 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Involuntary auto |
|
44 |
|
53 |
|
(17.0 |
) |
169 |
|
214 |
|
(21.0 |
) |
||||
Commercial lines |
|
224 |
|
222 |
|
0.9 |
|
706 |
|
694 |
|
1.7 |
|
||||
Homeowners |
|
1,841 |
|
1,733 |
|
6.2 |
|
5,011 |
|
4,651 |
|
7.7 |
|
||||
Other personal lines |
|
417 |
|
406 |
|
2.7 |
|
1,195 |
|
1,158 |
|
3.2 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
$ |
7,158 |
|
$ |
6,957 |
|
2.9 |
|
$ |
20,732 |
|
$ |
20,029 |
|
3.5 |
|
(1) In the third quarter of 2005, growth in premiums written was negatively impacted by reinsurance transactions and Hurricane Katrina totaling 0.8%.
11
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
PROPERTY-LIABILITY
ANNUAL IMPACT OF NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED ON PREMIUMS WRITTEN (1)
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
||||
|
|
September 30, 2005 (Est.) |
|
||||
|
|
Number of |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
States |
|
Countrywide (%) (2) |
|
State Specific (%) (3) |
|
Allstate brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Standard auto |
|
6 |
|
0.1 |
|
3.8 |
|
Homeowners |
|
4 |
|
0.6 |
|
6.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Encompass brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Standard auto |
|
8 |
|
0.3 |
|
2.1 |
|
Homeowners |
|
4 |
|
0.7 |
|
4.9 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
||||
|
|
September 30, 2005 (Est.) |
|
||||
|
|
Number of |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
States |
|
Countrywide (%) (2) |
|
State Specific (%) (3) |
|
Allstate brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Standard auto (4) |
|
22 |
|
0.4 |
|
0.9 |
|
Non-standard auto |
|
4 |
|
(0.4 |
) |
(1.7 |
) |
Homeowners |
|
11 |
|
1.0 |
|
5.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Encompass brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Standard auto |
|
21 |
|
0.6 |
|
1.3 |
|
Homeowners |
|
18 |
|
1.5 |
|
3.6 |
|
(1) Rate increases that are indicated based on a loss trend analysis to achieve a targeted return will continue to be pursued in all locations and for all products.
(2) Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved as a percentage of total countrywide year-end premiums written.
(3) Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved as a percentage of total year-end premiums written in those states.
(4) Excluding the impact of a rate reduction in the state of New York effective July 2005, for the first nine months, the countrywide rate change is 0.7% and the state specific rate change is 2.5%.
12
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
ALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET SEGMENT ANALYSIS
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Effect of |
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Catastrophe Losses |
|
|
|
|
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
Premiums Earned |
|
Loss Ratio (2) |
|
on the Loss Ratio |
|
Expense Ratio |
|
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Standard auto |
|
$ |
3,791 |
|
$ |
3,606 |
|
64.8 |
|
62.6 |
|
6.5 |
|
1.1 |
|
23.2 |
|
23.8 |
|
Non-standard auto |
|
407 |
|
451 |
|
59.5 |
|
48.8 |
|
5.9 |
|
1.6 |
|
20.4 |
|
20.6 |
|
||
Auto |
|
4,198 |
|
4,057 |
|
64.3 |
|
61.1 |
|
6.4 |
|
1.2 |
|
22.9 |
|
23.4 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Homeowners |
|
1,441 |
|
1,347 |
|
298.1 |
|
128.7 |
|
257.9 |
|
86.5 |
|
23.5 |
|
23.4 |
|
||
Other (1) |
|
626 |
|
628 |
|
148.6 |
|
123.1 |
|
91.3 |
|
68.2 |
|
25.5 |
|
27.2 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Total Allstate brand |
|
6,265 |
|
6,032 |
|
126.5 |
|
82.6 |
|
72.8 |
|
27.2 |
|
23.3 |
|
23.8 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Encompass brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Standard auto (3) |
|
295 |
|
309 |
|
75.3 |
|
61.1 |
|
5.8 |
|
0.6 |
|
30.5 |
|
25.6 |
|
||
Non-standard auto (Deerbrook) |
|
31 |
|
39 |
|
64.5 |
|
79.5 |
|
3.2 |
|
2.6 |
|
25.8 |
|
25.6 |
|
||
Auto |
|
326 |
|
348 |
|
74.2 |
|
63.2 |
|
5.5 |
|
0.8 |
|
30.1 |
|
25.6 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Homeowners |
|
148 |
|
136 |
|
124.3 |
|
86.0 |
|
78.4 |
|
44.8 |
|
29.1 |
|
28.7 |
|
||
Other (1) |
|
41 |
|
34 |
|
102.4 |
|
73.5 |
|
34.1 |
|
2.9 |
|
29.3 |
|
26.5 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Total Encompass brand |
|
515 |
|
518 |
|
90.9 |
|
69.9 |
|
28.8 |
|
12.6 |
|
29.7 |
|
26.4 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate Protection |
|
$ |
6,780 |
|
$ |
6,550 |
|
123.8 |
|
81.6 |
|
69.4 |
|
26.0 |
|
23.8 |
|
24.0 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Effect of |
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Catastrophe Losses |
|
|
|
|
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
Premiums Earned |
|
Loss Ratio (2) |
|
on the Loss Ratio |
|
Expense Ratio |
|
||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Standard auto |
|
$ |
11,225 |
|
$ |
10,639 |
|
65.4 |
|
63.3 |
|
2.6 |
|
0.8 |
|
23.9 |
|
23.8 |
|
Non-standard auto |
|
1,248 |
|
1,391 |
|
58.9 |
|
54.6 |
|
2.2 |
|
0.9 |
|
21.0 |
|
20.1 |
|
||
Auto |
|
12,473 |
|
12,030 |
|
64.8 |
|
62.3 |
|
2.6 |
|
0.8 |
|
23.6 |
|
23.4 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Homeowners |
|
4,301 |
|
3,966 |
|
131.6 |
|
75.3 |
|
90.7 |
|
35.5 |
|
22.9 |
|
22.5 |
|
||
Other (1) |
|
1,885 |
|
1,851 |
|
89.9 |
|
82.3 |
|
33.1 |
|
24.8 |
|
25.7 |
|
27.0 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Total Allstate brand |
|
18,659 |
|
17,847 |
|
82.7 |
|
67.3 |
|
26.0 |
|
11.0 |
|
23.7 |
|
23.5 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Encompass brand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Standard auto |
|
893 |
|
909 |
|
67.6 |
|
61.4 |
|
1.9 |
|
0.8 |
|
30.7 |
|
28.0 |
|
||
Non-standard auto (Deerbrook) |
|
97 |
|
124 |
|
73.2 |
|
78.2 |
|
1.0 |
|
0.8 |
|
27.8 |
|
25.8 |
|
||
Auto |
|
990 |
|
1,033 |
|
68.2 |
|
63.4 |
|
1.8 |
|
0.8 |
|
30.4 |
|
27.8 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Homeowners |
|
431 |
|
394 |
|
78.2 |
|
71.3 |
|
31.8 |
|
21.0 |
|
29.7 |
|
29.7 |
|
||
Other (1) |
|
121 |
|
104 |
|
81.0 |
|
85.6 |
|
14.1 |
|
2.9 |
|
28.1 |
|
28.8 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Total Encompass brand |
|
1,542 |
|
1,531 |
|
72.0 |
|
67.0 |
|
11.2 |
|
6.2 |
|
30.0 |
|
28.3 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate Protection |
|
$ |
20,201 |
|
$ |
19,378 |
|
81.9 |
|
67.3 |
|
24.8 |
|
10.7 |
|
24.1 |
|
23.9 |
|
(1) Other includes involuntary auto, commercial lines and other personal lines.
(2) Loss Ratio comparisons on this exhibit are impacted by the relative level of prior year reserve reestimates. Please refer to the Effect of Pretax Prior Year Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio table (page 14) for detailed reserve reestimate information. The Total Allstate brand combined ratio comparisons to prior period are adversely impacted by 1.1 points for the nine months ending September 30.
(3) The Encompass brand standard auto loss ratio in the third quarter of 2005 was unfavorably impacted as a result of adopting procedures for establishing loss reserve estimates consistent with those used for the Allstate brand. In the third quarter of 2004 Encompass brand standard auto loss ratio included lower estimates of current year claim severity.
13
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
PROPERTY-LIABILITY
EFFECT OF PRETAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED RATIO
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
Effect of Pretax Reserve |
|
||||
|
|
Pretax |
|
Re-estimates on the |
|
||||||
|
|
Reserve Re-estimates (1) |
|
Combined Ratio |
|
||||||
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
||
($ in millions) |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Auto |
|
$ |
(276 |
) |
$ |
(194 |
) |
(4.1 |
) |
(3.0 |
) |
Homeowners |
|
(12 |
) |
(5 |
) |
(0.2 |
) |
(0.1 |
) |
||
Other |
|
4 |
|
(31 |
) |
0.1 |
|
(0.4 |
) |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate Protection |
|
(284 |
) |
(230 |
) |
(4.2 |
) |
(3.5 |
) |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages (2) |
|
134 |
|
314 |
|
2.0 |
|
4.8 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Property-Liability |
|
$ |
(150 |
) |
$ |
84 |
|
(2.2 |
) |
1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate brand |
|
$ |
(275 |
) |
$ |
(233 |
) |
(4.1 |
) |
(3.6 |
) |
Encompass brand |
|
(9 |
) |
3 |
|
(0.1 |
) |
0.1 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate Protection |
|
$ |
(284 |
) |
$ |
(230 |
) |
(4.2 |
) |
(3.5 |
) |
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
Effect of Pretax Reserve |
|
||||
|
|
Pretax |
|
Re-estimates on the |
|
||||||
|
|
Reserve Re-estimates (1) |
|
Combined Ratio |
|
||||||
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
||
($ in millions) |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Auto |
|
$ |
(501 |
) |
$ |
(551 |
) |
(2.5 |
) |
(2.8 |
) |
Homeowners |
|
(4 |
) |
(112 |
) |
|
|
(0.6 |
) |
||
Other |
|
21 |
|
(14 |
) |
0.1 |
|
(0.1 |
) |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate Protection |
|
(484 |
) |
(677 |
) |
(2.4 |
) |
(3.5 |
) |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages |
|
162 |
|
636 |
|
0.8 |
|
3.3 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Property-Liability |
|
$ |
(322 |
) |
$ |
(41 |
) |
(1.6 |
) |
(0.2 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate brand |
|
$ |
(485 |
) |
$ |
(682 |
) |
(2.4 |
) |
(3.5 |
) |
Encompass brand |
|
1 |
|
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Allstate Protection |
|
$ |
(484 |
) |
$ |
(677 |
) |
(2.4 |
) |
(3.5 |
) |
(1) Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.
(2) For further information see the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section.
14
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
September 30, |
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Percent |
|
Est. |
|
|
|
Percent |
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Change |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Life Products (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Interest-sensitive life |
|
$ |
380 |
|
$ |
375 |
|
1.3 |
|
$ |
1,107 |
|
$ |
1,095 |
|
1.1 |
|
Traditional |
|
86 |
|
94 |
|
(8.5 |
) |
235 |
|
273 |
|
(13.9 |
) |
||||
Other |
|
110 |
|
84 |
|
31.0 |
|
317 |
|
268 |
|
18.3 |
|
||||
|
|
576 |
|
553 |
|
4.2 |
|
1,659 |
|
1,636 |
|
1.4 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Annuities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Fixed annuities - deferred |
|
1,062 |
|
2,011 |
|
(47.2 |
) |
3,984 |
|
4,613 |
|
(13.6 |
) |
||||
Fixed annuities - immediate |
|
165 |
|
166 |
|
(0.6 |
) |
639 |
|
554 |
|
15.3 |
|
||||
Variable annuities |
|
452 |
|
330 |
|
37.0 |
|
1,315 |
|
1,220 |
|
7.8 |
|
||||
|
|
1,679 |
|
2,507 |
|
(33.0 |
) |
5,938 |
|
6,387 |
|
(7.0 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Institutional Products (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Indexed funding agreements |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
||||
Funding agreements backing medium-term notes |
|
|
|
850 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
2,423 |
|
3,448 |
|
(29.7 |
) |
||||
Other |
|
|
|
3 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
|
|
3 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
853 |
|
(100.0 |
) |
2,423 |
|
3,452 |
|
(29.8 |
) |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Bank Deposits |
|
122 |
|
104 |
|
17.3 |
|
368 |
|
281 |
|
31.0 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Total |
|
$ |
2,377 |
|
$ |
4,017 |
|
(40.8 |
) |
$ |
10,388 |
|
$ |
11,756 |
|
(11.6 |
) |
(1) To conform to current period presentations, certain prior period balances have been reclassified.
(2) There were no sales of institutional products during the third quarter of 2005. Institutional product sales are viewed as opportunistic.
15
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
|
|
September 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
||
($ in millions, except par value data) |
|
2005 (Est.) |
|
2004 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Investments |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $95,934 and $90,657) |
|
$ |
99,707 |
|
$ |
95,715 |
|
Equity securities, at fair value (cost $4,770 and $4,566) |
|
6,095 |
|
5,895 |
|
||
Mortgage loans |
|
8,485 |
|
7,856 |
|
||
Short-term |
|
3,274 |
|
4,133 |
|
||
Other |
|
1,845 |
|
1,931 |
|
||
Total investments (1) |
|
119,406 |
|
115,530 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Cash |
|
408 |
|
414 |
|
||
Premium installment receivables, net |
|
4,959 |
|
4,721 |
|
||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
|
5,610 |
|
4,968 |
|
||
Reinsurance recoverables, net |
|
4,552 |
|
4,323 |
|
||
Accrued investment income |
|
1,094 |
|
1,014 |
|
||
Property and equipment, net |
|
1,024 |
|
1,018 |
|
||
Goodwill |
|
825 |
|
825 |
|
||
Other assets |
|
3,347 |
|
2,535 |
|
||
Separate Accounts |
|
14,906 |
|
14,377 |
|
||
Total assets |
|
$ |
156,131 |
|
$ |
149,725 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense |
|
$ |
23,469 |
|
$ |
19,338 |
|
Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits |
|
12,390 |
|
11,754 |
|
||
Contractholder funds |
|
58,952 |
|
55,709 |
|
||
Unearned premiums |
|
10,490 |
|
9,932 |
|
||
Claim payments outstanding |
|
708 |
|
787 |
|
||
Other liabilities and accrued expenses |
|
10,576 |
|
9,842 |
|
||
Deferred income taxes |
|
329 |
|
829 |
|
||
Short-term debt |
|
|
|
43 |
|
||
Long-term debt |
|
4,892 |
|
5,291 |
|
||
Separate Accounts |
|
14,906 |
|
14,377 |
|
||
Total liabilities |
|
136,712 |
|
127,902 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Shareholders equity |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 650 million and 683 million shares outstanding |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
||
Additional capital paid-in |
|
2,823 |
|
2,685 |
|
||
Retained income |
|
24,129 |
|
24,043 |
|
||
Deferred compensation expense |
|
(135 |
) |
(157 |
) |
||
Treasury stock, at cost (250 million and 217 million shares) |
|
(9,343 |
) |
(7,372 |
) |
||
Accumulated other comprehensive income: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Unrealized net capital gains and losses |
|
2,301 |
|
2,988 |
|
||
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments |
|
24 |
|
16 |
|
||
Minimum pension liability adjustment |
|
(389 |
) |
(389 |
) |
||
Total accumulated other comprehensive income |
|
1,936 |
|
2,615 |
|
||
Total shareholders equity |
|
19,419 |
|
21,823 |
|
||
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
156,131 |
|
$ |
149,725 |
|
(1) Total investments includes $41,007 for Property-Liability, $75,881 for Allstate Financial and $2,518 for Corporate and Other investments at September 30, 2005. Total investments includes $40,267 for Property-Liability, $72,530 for Allstate Financial and $2,733 for Corporate and Other investments at December 31, 2004.
16
Homeowners Catastrophe Management Strategy
The overarching intent of our catastrophe management strategy is to support profitable growth of our homeowners business. While in many areas of the country we are currently achieving returns within acceptable risk management tolerances, our goal is to find solutions that support a continued yet prudent presence in catastrophe prone markets. Allstate is in the early stages of introducing integrated enterprise risk management (ERM) capabilities as part our continued commitment to effective management of our capital, returns and risk profile. A principal ERM goal is to validate where and how we insure homeowners catastrophes and to further increase our return on equity, thereby lessening our earnings volatility and capital requirements. In introducing integrated ERM capabilities, we are considering and adopting new performance measurements for managing our homeowners business. These measurements currently include establishing an exposure limit based on hurricane and earthquake losses which have a one percent probability of occurring on an annual aggregate countrywide basis, refining acceptable targeted rates of return by line and by state and evaluating potential capital impairment measurements. Actions resulting from the evaluation of these measurements will reduce our catastrophe risk and improve long-term returns.
We consider the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to hurricanes to be major metropolitan centers near the eastern and gulf coasts of the United States, and the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to earthquakes to be California, areas surrounding the New Madrid fault system in the Midwest and faults in and surrounding Seattle, Washington and Charleston, South Carolina. In addition, in various states we are required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers. Because of our participation, we may be exposed to losses that surpass the capitalization of these facilities and/or to assessments from these facilities.
Possible actions we may undertake to reduce our catastrophe exposure include additional purchases of reinsurance to mitigate potential exposure to major hurricane and earthquake catastrophe risks, including assessments from the California Earthquake Authority (CEA); changes in rates, deductibles and coverage; limitations on new business writings; changes to underwriting requirements; non-renewal or withdrawal from certain markets; and/or pursuing alternative markets for placement of business or segments of risk exposure in certain areas.
We utilize reinsurance in order to reduce exposure to catastrophe risk and to support the required statutory surplus and the insurance financial strength ratings of certain subsidiaries, such as Allstate Floridian Insurance Company and Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company. We purchase significant reinsurance where we believe the greatest benefit will be achieved in terms of our aggregate countrywide exposure limits based on our ERM model. The price and terms of reinsurance are also considered in the purchase process, and whether the price can be included in future rates charged to policyholders. Effective June 1, 2005, multi-year reinsurance treaties cover excess catastrophe losses in seven states: Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Florida. The cost of these treaties is approximately $190 million per year, or $48 million per quarter. The retentions and limits on these treaties are shown in the following table.
State |
|
% Placed |
|
Retention |
|
Limit |
|
|||
Connecticut |
|
95 |
|
|
$ |
100,000,000 |
|
$ |
200,000,000 |
|
New Jersey |
|
95 |
|
|
100,000,000 |
|
100,000,000 |
|
||
New York |
|
90 |
|
|
750,000,000 |
|
1,000,000,000 |
|
||
North Carolina |
|
10 |
|
|
80,000,000 |
|
175,000,000 |
|
||
South Carolina |
|
10 |
|
|
97,000,000 |
|
435,000,000 |
|
||
Texas** |
|
95 |
|
|
320,000,000 |
|
550,000,000 |
|
||
Florida |
|
90 |
|
Excess of FHCF Reimbursement |
* |
900,000,000 |
|
|||
* The Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF) provides 90% reimbursement of qualifying losses up to an estimated maximum. For the current season this maximum is estimated to be $871 million in excess of Allstates retention of $233 million for the two largest hurricanes and $78 million for other hurricanes.
** Reinsurance is recoverable by Allstate Texas Lloyds, a syndicate insurance company, which has a 100% reinsurance agreement with Allstate Insurance Company (AIC) providing net benefits to AIC as reinsurer.
17
These reinsurance treaties provide coverage per occurrence above each respective retention to the respective maximum coverage limit according to the percent placed. Each of these treaties also has a reinstatement provision.
Our exposure to certain potential losses from catastrophes is limited by our participation in various state facilities, such as the CEA, which provides insurance for California earthquake losses; the FHCF, which provides reimbursements on certain qualifying Florida hurricane losses; and other state facilities, such as wind pools.
We also continue to advocate for public policy solutions to help the country become better prepared for and protected from catastrophes. These solutions include the development of state and national catastrophe funds; improved prevention and mitigation measures, including the adoption of more effective land use policies and stronger building codes; enhanced public education about catastrophe risk; better catastrophe relief, recovery and rebuilding processes; and a rigorous process of continuous improvement.
Impacts of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita
Hurricane Katrina Catastrophe Claims and Claims Expense
Hurricane Katrina made initial landfall in Florida on August 25, 2005 and again in the states of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama on August 29, 2005. Hurricane Katrina is the costliest catastrophe in the United States history. The single event probability of the industry experiencing losses at or above the Katrina level as a result of a hurricane hitting in the specific area where Katrina made landfall was .2% based on the AIR Worldwide Corporations catastrophe model, which is equivalent to a one in 500 year event. Our estimate of Hurricane Katrina catastrophe claims and claims expense is $3.68 billion.
Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates include losses from approximately 216,000 expected claims of which over 175,000 claims have been reported as of October 13 on our standard auto, non-standard auto, homeowners, commercial and other products. The pre-tax estimates of catastrophe claims and claims expense by product are shown in the following table.
($ in millions) |
|
Allstate |
|
Encompass |
|
Total |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Hurricane Katrina |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Standard auto |
|
$ |
219 |
|
$ |
16 |
|
$ |
235 |
|
Non-standard auto |
|
17 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
|||
Homeowners |
|
2,886 |
|
101 |
|
2,987 |
|
|||
Other |
|
316 |
|
13 |
|
329 |
|
|||
Total personal lines |
|
$ |
3,438 |
|
$ |
130 |
|
$ |
3,568 |
|
Commercial |
|
115 |
|
N/A |
|
115 |
|
|||
Total loss estimate |
|
$ |
3,553 |
|
$ |
130 |
|
$ |
3,683 |
|
Our total catastrophe claims and claims expense estimate by state is approximately 70% in Louisiana, 24% in Mississippi, 4% in Alabama and 2% in Florida and other states.
Hurricane Rita Catastrophe Claims and Claims Expense
Hurricane Rita made landfall near the border of Texas and Louisiana on September 24, 2005. Our estimate of Hurricane Rita catastrophe claims and claims expense is $850 million, net of reinsurance. It is expected to be in the top seven most expensive hurricanes in United States history.
Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates include losses from approximately 90,000 expected claims of which over 62,000 claims have been reported as of October 13, on our standard auto, non-standard auto, homeowners, commercial and other products. The pre-tax estimates of claims and claims expense by product are shown in the following table.
18
($ in millions) |
|
Allstate |
|
Encompass |
|
Total |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Hurricane Rita |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Standard auto |
|
$ |
21 |
|
$ |
1 |
|
$ |
22 |
|
Non-standard auto |
|
6 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|||
Homeowners |
|
672 |
|
11 |
|
683 |
|
|||
Other |
|
102 |
|
|
|
102 |
|
|||
Total personal lines |
|
$ |
801 |
|
$ |
12 |
|
$ |
813 |
|
Commercial |
|
37 |
|
N/A |
|
37 |
|
|||
Total loss estimate, net of reinsurance |
|
$ |
838 |
|
$ |
12 |
|
$ |
850 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Total loss estimate, gross of reinsurance |
|
$ |
1,043 |
|
$ |
12 |
|
$ |
1,055 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable* |
|
205 |
|
|
|
205 |
|
|||
Total loss estimate, net of reinsurance |
|
$ |
838 |
|
$ |
12 |
|
$ |
850 |
|
* Reinsurance is recoverable by Allstate Texas Lloyds, a syndicate insurance company, which has a 100% reinsurance agreement with Allstate Insurance Company (AIC) providing net benefits to AIC as reinsurer.
Our total loss estimate by state is approximately 50% in Louisiana, 49% in Texas and 1% in other states.
For details of our reinsurance program in Texas, see the Homeowners Catastrophe Management Strategy section.
Loss Estimation Methodology
Our estimates of catastrophe claims and claims expense (loss) are generally based on claim adjuster inspections and the application of historical loss development factors to the extent we have been able to complete inspections in areas impacted by the hurricanes. However, in areas where we have not yet been able to complete inspections, or we have reason to believe that our historical loss development factors may not be predictive, we have relied on analysis of actual claim notices received compared to the total policies in force, as well as visual, governmental and third party information including aerial photos, area observations and data on wind speeds and flood depth to the extent available. In the normal course of business, we may also supplement our claims processes by utilizing third party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe claims.
Our catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates are calculated in accordance with the coverage provided by our policies. Allstates homeowners policies specifically exclude coverage for losses caused by flood, but generally provide coverage for physical damage caused by wind or wind driven rain. Our homeowners estimates, therefore, do not include estimates for losses caused by flood. Auto policyholders generally have coverage for physical damage due to flood if they have purchased optional auto comprehensive coverage.
Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates also include an accrual of $37 million for anticipated assessments from various state facilities, including $33 million for a regular assessment from the Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (LA Citizens). LA Citizens was created to provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers. LA Citizens has estimated plan losses, and is thereby able to levy regular and emergency assessments to participating companies and policyholders, respectively. Insurers are permitted to recoup a regular assessment through a surcharge to policyholders. These recoupments will be recorded in the consolidated financial statements as they are billed. Insurers are required to collect the emergency assessments, of which there have been none, directly from residential property policyholders and remit them to LA Citizens as they are collected.
Our reserving process takes into account known facts and interpretations of circumstances and factors including our experience with similar catastrophes, actual claims paid, historical trends
19
involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, law changes, court decisions, changes to regulatory requirements and economic conditions. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process.
The establishment of appropriate reserves is an inherently complex process. Estimates must be made for losses that have been incurred but not yet settled. The highest degree of uncertainty is associated with reserves for the current reporting period as it contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled. We believe our estimates for catastrophe claims and claims expense reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws and regulations. We calculate and record a single best reserve estimate, in conformance with generally accepted actuarial principles, and as a result we believe that no other estimate is better than our recorded amount. Due to the uncertainties involved, including the factors described in the Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors section of this document, the ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates. Accordingly, we believe that it is not practicable to develop a meaningful range for any such changes in losses incurred.
We regularly update our reserve estimates as new information becomes available and as events unfold that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in prior reserve estimates, which may be material, are reported in property-liability insurance claims and claims expenses in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations in the period such changes are determined. At September 30, 2005, a reserve reestimation resulting in a one percent increase or decrease in net reserves for Hurricane Katrina would impact net income by approximately $24 million, after tax, and a reserve reestimation resulting in a one percent increase or decrease in net reserves for Hurricane Rita would impact net income by approximately $6 million, after tax.
Management expects that AIC will have sufficient liquidity to pay estimated catastrophe claims and claims expenses from existing sources of funds including operating cash flows, proceeds from the issuance of commercial paper and maturities and sales of investments. Management also expects that The Allstate Corporation will have sufficient liquidity in 2005 and 2006 to fund shareholder dividends, debt service and the remainder of the current share repurchase program.
Other Underwriting Impacts
Underwriting losses were also impacted by an estimate of billed but uncollectible premiums and policies expected to be canceled by the policyholder, which decreased Property-Liability premiums earned by $2 million and premiums written by $14 million. In addition, as a result of lower anticipated financial results for 2005, expenses related to employee incentives have been reduced by $35 million.
Litigation
Allstate is defending several matters filed in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Several statewide class action lawsuits are pending against Allstate in Louisiana and Mississippi, as well as a suit by the Mississippi Attorney General, asserting that the flood exclusion found in Allstates and other insurance companies policies is either ambiguous, unenforceable as unconscionable or contrary to public policy, or inapplicable to the damage suffered in the wake of Hurricane Katrina. The suits seek primarily declaratory relief and, in some cases, damages in an unspecified amount. Additionally, in connection with a petition for injunctive relief filed by the Texas Attorney General, Allstate is subject to an order temporarily preventing it from denying claims for loss of use (additional living expense) caused by Hurricane Rita if the insured property is rendered untenantable, regardless of whether direct physical loss or physical damage to the property occurred. A temporary injunction hearing is set for October 20 and October 24, 2005. Allstate denies that there is coverage under these circumstances. These lawsuits are in various stages of development and Allstate intends to vigorously defend them. The outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.
20
Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves
The Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment includes results from insurance coverage that we no longer write and results for certain commercial and other businesses in run-off. Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other discontinued lines claims is reported in this segment. This segment is managed by a designated group of professionals with expertise in claims handling, policy coverage interpretation and exposure identification. As part of its responsibilities, this group is also regularly engaged in policy buybacks, settlements and reinsurance assumed and ceded commutations. The underwriting results of this segment are shown in the following table.
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
|
||||||||
($ in millions) |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||||
Premiums written |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
1 |
|
$ |
1 |
|
$ |
3 |
|
Premiums earned |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
||||
Claims and claims expense |
|
(135 |
) |
(314 |
) |
(163 |
) |
(636 |
) |
||||
Other costs and expenses |
|
(2 |
) |
(2 |
) |
(7 |
) |
(7 |
) |
||||
Underwriting loss |
|
$ |
(136 |
) |
$ |
(315 |
) |
$ |
(170 |
) |
$ |
(639 |
) |
Underwriting loss of $136 million in the third quarter of 2005 was primarily related to a $139 million re-estimate of asbestos reserves. The underwriting loss in the third quarter of 2004 and the first nine months of 2004 was primarily related to re-estimates of asbestos reserves and a related increase in the allowance for future uncollectible reinsurance recoverables.
During the quarter, we completed our annual comprehensive ground up review of reserves for the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment. This review employed established industry and actuarial best practices within the context of the legal, legislative and economic environment, and it was conducted in addition to quarterly assessments in which we review reserves to determine if any intervening significant events or developments require adjustments to reserves. Reserve re-estimates are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined.
21
Our net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions by quarter are shown in the following table.
|
|
Est. September 30, 2005 |
|
December 31, 2004 |
|
||||||||||
($ in millions) |
|
Number of |
|
Est. Net |
|
% of |
|
Number of |
|
Net |
|
% of |
|
||
Direct policyholders* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Primary |
|
50 |
|
$ |
19 |
|
1 |
% |
52 |
|
$ |
23 |
|
2 |
% |
Excess |
|
333 |
|
242 |
|
16 |
|
322 |
|
297 |
|
20 |
|
||
Total direct policyholders |
|
383 |
|
261 |
|
17 |
% |
374 |
|
320 |
|
22 |
% |
||
Assumed reinsurance |
|
|
|
230 |
|
16 |
|
|
|
222 |
|
15 |
|
||
Incurred but not reported claims (IBNR) |
|
|
|
1,001 |
|
67 |
|
|
|
922 |
|
63 |
|
||
Total net reserves |
|
|
|
$ |
1,492 |
|
100 |
% |
|
|
$ |
1,464 |
|
100 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Reserve additions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
First Quarter |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
Second Quarter |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
216 |
|
|
|
||
Third Quarter |
|
|
|
139 |
|
|
|
|
|
247 |
|
|
|
||
Nine months ended September 30 |
|
|
|
$ |
139 |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
463 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Net survival ratio** |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Annual |
|
|
|
10.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
18.8 |
|
|
|
||
3-Year |
|
|
|
11.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
13.9 |
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Net survival ratio excluding commutations, policy buy-backs and settlement agreements** |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Annual |
|
|
|
31.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
25.5 |
|
|
|
||
3-Year |
|
|
|
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
28.4 |
|
|
|
* During the first nine months of 2005, 34 direct primary and excess policyholders reported new claims, and claims of 25 policyholders were closed, so the number of direct policyholders with active claims increased by 9.
** Our survival ratios are at levels we consider indicative of a strong asbestos reserve position.
Reserve additions for asbestos in the third quarter of 2005, totaling $139 million, were primarily for products-related coverage. They were essentially a result of a continuing level of increased claim activity being reported by excess insurance policyholders with existing active claims, excess policyholders with new claims, and re-estimates of liabilities for increased assumed reinsurance cessions, as ceding companies (other insurance carriers) also experienced increased claim activity. Increased claim activity over prior estimates has also resulted in an increased estimate for future claims reported. These trends are consistent with the trends of other carriers in the industry, which we believe are related to increased publicity and awareness of coverage, ongoing litigation, potential congressional activity, and bankruptcy actions. However, we are somewhat encouraged that the pace of industry asbestos claim activity seems to be slowing, perhaps reflecting various recent state legislative actions and increased legal scrutiny of the legitimacy of claims. IBNR now represents 67% of total net asbestos reserves, 4 points higher than at December 31, 2004. IBNR provides for estimated probable future unfavorable reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current and new policyholders and ceding companies.
Our exposure to non-products-related losses represents approximately 5% of total asbestos case reserves. We do not anticipate significant changes in this percentage as insureds retentions associated with excess insurance programs, which are our principal direct insurance, and assumed reinsurance exposure are seldom exceeded. We did not write direct primary insurance on policyholders with the potential for significant non-products-related loss exposure.
To further limit our asbestos exposure, we have significant reinsurance, primarily to reduce our exposure to loss in our direct excess insurance business. Our reinsurance recoverables are estimated to be approximately 38% of our gross estimated loss reserves.
As of September 30, 2005, the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance is $213 million, or approximately 17% of total recoverables from reinsurers in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment.
22
We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates, due to uncertainties, such as changes in the legal, legislative or economic environment, which we are unable to predict.
Definitions of GAAP Operating Ratios
Claims and claims expense (loss) ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense to premiums earned. Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses.
Expense ratio is the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.
Combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense, amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned. The difference between 100% and the combined ratio represents underwriting (loss) income as a percentage of premiums earned.
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense and other costs and expenses in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment to Property-Liability premiums earned. The sum of the effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the combined ratio and the Allstate Protection combined ratio is equal to the Property-Liability combined ratio.
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio is the percentage of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expenses to premiums earned.
Effect of pretax reserve reestimates on combined ratio is the percentage of pretax reserve reestimates included in claims and claims expense to premiums earned.
Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio is the percentage of restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.
Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures
We believe that investors understanding of Allstates performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measures. Our methods of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.
Operating (loss) income is (loss) income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax, excluding:
realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income,
amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC) and deferred sales inducements (DSI), to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses,
(loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax, and
adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.
Net (loss) income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating (loss) income.
We use operating (loss) income to evaluate our results of operations. It reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, (loss) gain on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items. Realized capital gains and losses and (loss)
23
gain on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. Moreover, we reclassify periodic settlements on non-hedge derivative instruments into operating (loss) income to report them in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, replicated assets or product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) and by doing so, appropriately reflect trends in product performance. Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating (loss) income as the denominator. We use adjusted measures of operating (loss) income and operating (loss) income per diluted share in incentive compensation. Operating (loss) income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.
The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004.
For the three months ended September 30, |
|
Property-Liability |
|
Allstate Financial |
|
Consolidated |
|
Per diluted share |
|
||||||||||||||||
($ in millions, except per share data) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
||||||||
Operating (loss) income |
|
$ |
(1,785 |
) |
$ |
(75 |
) |
$ |
156 |
|
$ |
151 |
|
$ |
(1,650 |
) |
$ |
49 |
|
$ |
(2.52 |
) |
$ |
0.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses |
|
163 |
|
100 |
|
27 |
|
(51 |
) |
199 |
|
50 |
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Income tax benefit (expense) |
|
(64 |
) |
(31 |
) |
(10 |
) |
18 |
|
(78 |
) |
(13 |
) |
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
99 |
|
69 |
|
17 |
|
(33 |
) |
121 |
|
37 |
|
0.18 |
|
0.06 |
|
||||||||
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
(2 |
) |
(15 |
) |
(2 |
) |
(15 |
) |
|
|
(0.02 |
) |
||||||||
Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
(10 |
) |
(10 |
) |
(10 |
) |
(10 |
) |
(0.01 |
) |
(0.02 |
) |
||||||||
Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
(7 |
) |
(5 |
) |
(7 |
) |
(5 |
) |
(0.01 |
) |
(0.01 |
) |
||||||||
(Loss) income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
(1,686 |
) |
(6 |
) |
154 |
|
88 |
|
(1,548 |
) |
56 |
|
(2.36 |
) |
0.09 |
|
||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(1,686 |
) |
$ |
(6 |
) |
$ |
154 |
|
$ |
88 |
|
$ |
(1,548 |
) |
$ |
56 |
|
$ |
(2.36 |
) |
$ |
0.09 |
|
24
For the nine months ended September 30, |
|
Property-Liability |
|
Allstate Financial |
|
Consolidated |
|
Per diluted share |
|
||||||||||||||||
($ in millions, except per share data) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
||||||||
Operating income |
|
$ |
236 |
|
$ |
1,773 |
|
$ |
442 |
|
$ |
409 |
|
$ |
607 |
|
$ |
2,105 |
|
$ |
0.90 |
|
$ |
2.99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized capital gains and losses |
|
385 |
|
400 |
|
52 |
|
(135 |
) |
448 |
|
261 |
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Income tax benefit (expense) |
|
(137 |
) |
(128 |
) |
(19 |
) |
45 |
|
(160 |
) |
(81 |
) |
|
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
248 |
|
272 |
|
33 |
|
(90 |
) |
288 |
|
180 |
|
0.43 |
|
0.26 |
|
||||||||
DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
(106 |
) |
(28 |
) |
(106 |
) |
(28 |
) |
(0.16 |
) |
(0.04 |
) |
||||||||
Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
(22 |
) |
|
|
(22 |
) |
|
|
(0.03 |
) |
|
|
||||||||
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
(32 |
) |
(21 |
) |
(32 |
) |
(21 |
) |
(0.05 |
) |
(0.03 |
) |
||||||||
Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
(11 |
) |
(22 |
) |
(11 |
) |
(22 |
) |
(0.01 |
) |
(0.03 |
) |
||||||||
Income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
484 |
|
2,045 |
|
304 |
|
248 |
|
724 |
|
2,214 |
|
1.08 |
|
3.15 |
|
||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(175 |
) |
|
|
(175 |
) |
|
|
(0.25 |
) |
||||||||
Net income |
|
$ |
484 |
|
$ |
2,045 |
|
$ |
304 |
|
$ |
73 |
|
$ |
724 |
|
$ |
2,039 |
|
$ |
1.08 |
|
$ |
2.90 |
|
In this press release, we provide guidance on operating income per diluted share for 2005 (assuming a level of average expected catastrophe losses used in pricing for the remainder of the year). A reconciliation of this measure to net income is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of realized capital gains and losses including periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which can vary substantially from one period to another and may have a significant impact on net income. Because a forecast of realized capital gains and losses is not possible, neither is a forecast of the effects of amortization of DAC and DSI on realized capital gains and losses nor income taxes. The other reconciling items between operating income and net income on a forward-looking basis are a non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax, loss on disposition of operations, after-tax, and cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle, after-tax, which we assume to be zero for the remainder of the year.
Underwriting (loss) income is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense (losses), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP. Management uses this measure in its evaluation of results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive compensation. It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net (loss) income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting (loss) income should not be considered as a substitute for net (loss) income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business. A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting (loss) income to net (loss) income is provided in the Segment Results table.
Operating income return on equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of shareholders equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-month period, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity. We believe that this measure is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management: the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized capital gains and losses and the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, and non-recurring items that are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Return on equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. The following table shows the reconciliation.
25
|
|
For the twelve months ended |
|
||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||
Return on equity |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Numerator: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Net income |
|
$ |
1,866 |
|
$ |
2,800 |
|
Denominator: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Beginning shareholders equity |
|
21,038 |
|
19,360 |
|
||
Ending shareholders equity |
|
19,419 |
|
21,038 |
|
||
Average shareholders equity |
|
$ |
20,229 |
|
$ |
20,199 |
|
ROE |
|
9.2 |
% |
13.9 |
% |
|
|
For the twelve months ended |
|
||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
||||
($ in millions) |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||
Operating income return on equity |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Numerator: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Operating income |
|
$ |
1,593 |
|
$ |
2,857 |
|
Denominator: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Beginning shareholders equity |
|
21,038 |
|
19,360 |
|
||
Unrealized net capital gains |
|
2,802 |
|
3,037 |
|
||
Adjusted beginning shareholders equity |
|
18,236 |
|
16,323 |
|
||
Ending shareholders equity |
|
19,419 |
|
21,038 |
|
||
Unrealized net capital gains |
|
2,301 |
|
2,802 |
|
||
Adjusted ending shareholders equity |
|
17,118 |
|
18,236 |
|
||
Average shareholders equity |
|
$ |
17,677 |
|
$ |
17,280 |
|
ROE |
|
9.0 |
% |
16.5 |
% |
Book value per diluted share excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing shareholders equity after excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities and related DAC and life insurance reserves by total shares outstanding plus dilutive potential shares outstanding. Book value per diluted share is the most directly comparable GAAP ratio.
We use the trend in book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities in conjunction with book value per diluted share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods. We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers. We note that book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique. Book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities should not be considered as a substitute for book value per diluted share and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business. The following table shows the reconciliation.
26
|
|
As of |
|
||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
||||
(in millions, except per share data) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
||
Book value per diluted share |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Numerator: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Shareholders equity |
|
$ |
19,419 |
|
$ |
21,038 |
|
Denominator: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding |
|
654.8 |
|
693.7 |
|
||
Book value per diluted share |
|
$ |
29.66 |
|
$ |
30.33 |
|
Book value per diluted share, excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Numerator: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Shareholders equity |
|
$ |
19,419 |
|
$ |
21,038 |
|
Unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities |
|
1,447 |
|
2,164 |
|
||
Adjusted shareholders equity |
|
$ |
17,972 |
|
$ |
18,874 |
|
Denominator: |
|
|
|
|
|
||
Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding |
|
654.8 |
|
693.7 |
|
||
Book value per diluted share, excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities |
|
$ |
27.45 |
|
$ |
27.21 |
|
Gross margin represents life and annuity premiums and contract charges and net investment income, less contract benefits and interest credited to contractholder funds. We use gross margin as a component of our evaluation of the profitability of Allstate Financials life insurance and financial product portfolio. Additionally, for many of our products, including fixed annuities, variable life and annuities, and interest-sensitive life insurance, the amortization of DAC and DSI is determined based on actual and expected gross margin. Gross margin is comprised of three components that are utilized to further analyze the business; they include the investment margin, benefit margin, and contract charges and fees. We believe gross margin and its components are useful to investors because they allow for the evaluation of income components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Gross margin, investment margin and benefit margin should not be considered as a substitute for net income and do not reflect the overall profitability of the business. Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to these margins. Gross margin is reconciled to Allstate Financials GAAP net income in the following table.
27
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
|
||||||||
($ in millions) |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
Est. 2005 |
|
2004 |
|
||||
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges |
|
$ |
505 |
|
$ |
508 |
|
$ |
1,525 |
|
$ |
1,508 |
|
Net investment income |
|
974 |
|
866 |
|
2,838 |
|
2,520 |
|
||||
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments |
|
14 |
|
15 |
|
49 |
|
33 |
|
||||
Contract benefits |
|
(395 |
) |
(401 |
) |
(1,209 |
) |
(1,174 |
) |
||||
Interest credited to contractholder funds(1) |
|
(597 |
) |
(501 |
) |
(1,719 |
) |
(1,430 |
) |
||||
Gross margin |
|
501 |
|
487 |
|
1,484 |
|
1,457 |
|
||||
Amortization of DAC and DSI |
|
(139 |
) |
(120 |
) |
(398 |
) |
(375 |
) |
||||
Operating costs and expenses |
|
(142 |
) |
(143 |
) |
(454 |
) |
(465 |
) |
||||
Restructuring and related charges |
|
(1 |
) |
(1 |
) |
(1 |
) |
(5 |
) |
||||
Income tax expense |
|
(63 |
) |
(72 |
) |
(189 |
) |
(203 |
) |
||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
17 |
|
(33 |
) |
33 |
|
(90 |
) |
||||
DAC and DSI amortization relating to capital gains and losses, after-tax |
|
(2 |
) |
(15 |
) |
(106 |
) |
(28 |
) |
||||
Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
(22 |
) |
|
|
||||
Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax |
|
(10 |
) |
(10 |
) |
(32 |
) |
(21 |
) |
||||
Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax |
|
(7 |
) |
(5 |
) |
(11 |
) |
(22 |
) |
||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(175 |
) |
||||
Allstate Financial net income |
|
$ |
154 |
|
$ |
88 |
|
$ |
304 |
|
$ |
73 |
|
(1) Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin. Amortization of DSI totaled $11 million in the third quarter of 2005 and $65 million for the first nine months of 2005 compared to $4 million in the third quarter of 2004 and $25 million in the first nine months of 2004.
Investment margin is a component of gross margin. Investment margin represents the excess of net investment income and periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments over interest credited to contractholder funds and the implied interest on life contingent immediate annuities included in Allstate Financials reserve for life-contingent contract benefits. Amortization of DSI is excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating investment margin. We use investment margin to evaluate Allstate Financials profitability related to the difference between investment returns on assets supporting certain products and the amounts credited to customers (spread) during a fiscal period.
Benefit margin is a component of gross margin. Benefit margin represents life and life-contingent immediate annuity premiums, cost of insurance contract charges and variable annuity fees for contract guarantees less contract benefits. Benefit margin excludes the implied interest on life-contingent immediate annuities, which is included in the calculation of investment margin. We use benefit margin to evaluate Allstate Financials underwriting performance, as it reflects the profitability of our products with respect to mortality or morbidity risk during a fiscal period.
28
The components of gross margin are reconciled to the corresponding financial statement line items in the following tables.
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
Investment |
|
Benefit |
|
Contract Charges |
|
Gross |
|
||||||||||||||||
(in millions) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 (2) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 (2) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 (2) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
||||||||
Life and annuity premiums |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
218 |
|
$ |
247 |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
218 |
|
$ |
247 |
|
Contract charges |
|
|
|
|
|
158 |
|
147 |
|
129 |
|
114 |
|
287 |
|
261 |
|
||||||||
Net investment income |
|
974 |
|
866 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
974 |
|
866 |
|
||||||||
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments |
|
14 |
|
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14 |
|
15 |
|
||||||||
Contract benefits |
|
(135 |
) |
(133 |
) |
(260 |
) |
(268 |
) |
|
|
|
|
(395 |
) |
(401 |
) |
||||||||
Interest credited to contractholder funds(1) |
|
(597 |
) |
(501 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(597 |
) |
(501 |
) |
||||||||
|
|
$ |
256 |
|
$ |
247 |
|
$ |
116 |
|
$ |
126 |
|
$ |
129 |
|
$ |
114 |
|
$ |
501 |
|
$ |
487 |
|
(1) Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin. Amortization of DSI totaled $11 million in the third quarter of 2005 and $4 million in the third quarter of 2004.
(2) Prior periods have been restated to conform to current period presentations. In connection therewith, fees related to guaranteed minimum death, accumulation, withdrawal and income benefits on variable annuities have been reclassified to benefit margin from maintenance charges. Additionally, amounts previously presented as maintenance charges and surrender charges are now presented in the aggregate as contract charges and fees. Further, the Allstate Workplace Division margins were conformed. These reclassifications did not result in a change in gross margin.
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
Investment |
|
Benefit |
|
Contract Charges |
|
Gross |
|
||||||||||||||||
(in millions) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 (2) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 (2) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 (2) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
||||||||
Life and annuity premiums |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
689 |
|
$ |
745 |
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
|
|
$ |
689 |
|
$ |
745 |
|
Contract charges |
|
|
|
|
|
465 |
|
420 |
|
371 |
|
343 |
|
836 |
|
763 |
|
||||||||
Net investment income |
|
2,838 |
|
2,520 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,838 |
|
2,520 |
|
||||||||
Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments |
|
49 |
|
33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49 |
|
33 |
|
||||||||
Contract benefits |
|
(398 |
) |
(391 |
) |
(811 |
) |
(783 |
) |
|
|
|
|
(1,209 |
) |
(1,174 |
) |
||||||||
Interest credited to contractholder funds(1) |
|
(1,719 |
) |
(1,430 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,719 |
) |
(1,430 |
) |
||||||||
|
|
$ |
770 |
|
$ |
732 |
|
$ |
343 |
|
$ |
382 |
|
$ |
371 |
|
$ |
343 |
|
$ |
1,484 |
|
$ |
1,457 |
|
(1) Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin. Amortization of DSI totaled $65 million in the first nine months of 2005 and $25 million in the first nine months of 2004.
(2) Prior periods have been restated to conform to current period presentations. In connection therewith, fees related to guaranteed minimum death, accumulation, withdrawal and income benefits on variable annuities have been reclassified to benefit margin from maintenance charges. Additionally, amounts previously presented as maintenance charges and surrender charges are now presented in the aggregate as contract charges and fees. Further, the Allstate Workplace Division margins were conformed. These reclassifications did not result in a change in gross margin.
We believe that investors understanding of Allstates performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following operating financial measures. Our method of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.
29
Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums earned is a GAAP measure. Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following table.
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
|
||||||||
($ in millions) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
||||
Premiums written |
|
$ |
7,158 |
|
$ |
6,958 |
|
$ |
20,733 |
|
$ |
20,032 |
|
Change in Property-Liability unearned premiums |
|
(393 |
) |
(450 |
) |
(548 |
) |
(696 |
) |
||||
Other |
|
16 |
|
43 |
|
16 |
|
46 |
|
||||
Premiums earned |
|
$ |
6,781 |
|
$ |
6,551 |
|
$ |
20,201 |
|
$ |
19,382 |
|
Premiums and deposits is an operating measure that we use to analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales. It includes premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all deposits and other funds received from customers on deposit-type products including the net new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we account for under GAAP as increases to liabilities rather than as revenue.
The following table illustrates where premiums and deposits are reflected in the consolidated financial statements.
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
|
||||||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
|
||||||||
($ in millions) |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
Est. |
|
2004 |
|
||||
Total Premiums and deposits |
|
$ |
2,377 |
|
$ |
4,017 |
|
$ |
10,388 |
|
$ |
11,756 |
|
Deposits to contractholder funds |
|
(1,783 |
) |
(3,520 |
) |
(8,614 |
) |
(10,080 |
) |
||||
Deposits to separate accounts |
|
(379 |
) |
(259 |
) |
(1,101 |
) |
(949 |
) |
||||
Change in unearned premiums and other adjustments |
|
3 |
|
9 |
|
16 |
|
18 |
|
||||
Life and annuity premiums(1) |
|
$ |
218 |
|
$ |
247 |
|
$ |
689 |
|
$ |
745 |
|
(1) Life and annuity contract charges in the amount of est. $287 million and $261 million for the three months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively, and est. $836 million and $763 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component of the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations line item life and annuity premiums and contract charges.
New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of financial products by the Allstate Agency proprietary distribution channel. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies includes annual premiums on new life insurance policies, initial premiums and deposits on annuities, net new deposits in the Allstate Bank, sales of other companies mutual funds, and excludes renewal premiums. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the third quarter of 2005 and third quarter of 2004 totaled est. $546 million and $520 million, respectively. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004 totaled est. $1.65 billion and $1.53 billion, respectively.
Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors
This press release contains forward-looking statements about our operating income for 2005 and about Allstates ability to pay dividends, service debt, and repurchase stock in the future. These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on managements estimates, assumptions and projections. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements based on the risk factors described below.
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In addition to the normal risk of business, we are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, including those listed below, which apply to us as an insurer and a provider of financial services.
Management believes the estimated impacts of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, including net loss reserves, are appropriately established and recorded based on available facts, information, laws and regulations. However, actual results may differ materially from the amounts recorded for a variety of reasons, including the following:
These hurricanes occurred near the end of the quarter, with Rita following relatively soon after Katrina.
Our policyholders ability to report and our ability to adjust claims have been impeded by the extent of the devastation, the size of the area affected and the fact that some communities were hit by both storms.
Extensive and widespread floods in the New Orleans area and related government restrictions on access to the area have lengthened the claims adjusting process, complicating our ability to estimate losses.
It is particularly difficult to assess the extent of damage in the initial stages of adjusting residential property losses.
Our estimate for the ultimate costs of repairs may not prove to be correct because of increased demand for services and supplies in the areas affected by a hurricane.
The number of IBNR claims may be greater or less than anticipated.
The large number and nature of the claims and the need to have more claims adjusters to handle claims has increased pressure on our catastrophe claims settlement management process.
Litigation has been filed by several parties including policyholders and state attorneys general, which if ultimately decided against us, could lead to a material increase in our catastrophe claims and claims expense estimate.
We are currently monitoring developments with respect to various state facilities such as guaranty funds, LA Citizens, the Mississippi Windstorm Underwriting Association, the Mississippi Residential Underwriting Association, the Alabama Insurance Underwriting Association, the Texas FAIR Plan Association and the Texas Windstorm Insurance Association. The ultimate impact of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita on these facilities is currently uncertain, but could result in the facilities recognizing a financial deficit or a financial deficit greater than the level currently estimated. They may, in turn, have the ability to assess participating insurers when financial deficits occur, adversely affecting our results of operations. These facilities are generally designed so that the ultimate cost is borne by policyholders, however the exposure to assessments and the availability of recoupments or premium rate increases may not offset each other in our financial statements. Moreover, even if they do offset each other, they may not offset each other in the financial statements for the same fiscal period due to the ultimate timing of the assessments and recoupments or premium rate increases, as well as the possibility that affected policies will not be renewed in subsequent years.
We expect the productivity of our Allstate agents and independent agents in portions of the states of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Texas, to be severely affected by the catastrophes that occurred in the quarter.
Financial strength ratings are important factors in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and generally have an effect on an insurance companys business. On an ongoing basis, rating agencies review the financial performance and condition of insurers and could downgrade or change the outlook on an insurers ratings due to, for example, a change in an insurers statutory capital; a change in a rating agencys determination of the amount of risk-adjusted capital required to maintain a particular rating; an increase in the perceived risk of an insurers investment portfolio; a reduced confidence in management or a host of other considerations that may or may not be under the insurers control. In September 2005, Standard and Poors placed the ratings of The Allstate Corporation, AIC, ALIC and all rated affiliates on CreditWatch Negative as a result of Hurricane Katrina. The insurance financial strength ratings of both AIC and ALIC are A+, AA and Aa2 from A.M. Best, Standard
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and Poors and Moodys, respectively. Several other affiliates have been assigned their own financial strength ratings by one or more rating agencies. Because all of these ratings are subject to continuous review, the retention of these ratings cannot be assured. A multiple level downgrade in any of these ratings could have a material adverse effect on our sales, our competitiveness, the marketability of our product offerings, and our liquidity, operating results and financial condition.
We may continue to incur catastrophe losses in our homeowners insurance business in amounts in excess of those experienced this year, in excess of those that management projects would be incurred based on hurricane and earthquake losses which have a one percent probability of occurring on an annual aggregate countrywide basis, and in excess of those that modelers estimate would be incurred based on other levels of probability. In addition, while we believe that the actions we are taking to support continued growth in the homeowners business in a profitable and prudent manner will be successful over the long term, it is possible that they will have a negative impact on near-term growth and earnings. Homeowners premium growth rates and retention could be adversely impacted by adjustments to our business structure, size and underwriting practices in markets with significant catastrophe risk exposure. In addition, due to the elimination of cross-selling opportunities, new business growth in our auto lines could be lower than expected.
Loss costs in our Property-Liability business, including losses due to catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes in the fourth quarter of 2005, may exceed managements projections. In particular, losses due to catastrophes may exceed the average expected level used in pricing.
Lower than projected interest rates and equity market returns could decrease consolidated net investment income, increase DAC amortization and reduce contract charges, investment margins and the profitability of the Allstate Financial segment.
Higher than projected interest rates could increase surrenders and withdrawals, increase DAC amortization and reduce the competitive position and profitability of the Allstate Financial segment.
Results from the management and review of our investment portfolios could cause lower than expected net investment income.
The declaration of dividends, the completion of the $4 billion stock repurchase program that we announced in November 2004, and our ability to service debt are subject to the risks identified above and their impact on net income and cash flows. In addition, the declaration of dividends is subject to the discretion of our board of directors and its assessment of alternative uses of available funds. The completion of the stock repurchase program is subject to management discretion and assessment of alternative uses of funds and the market price of Allstates common stock from time to time.
We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements. This press release contains unaudited financial information.
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nations largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the Youre In Good Hands With Allstate® slogan, Allstate helps individuals in approximately 17 million households protect what they have today and better prepare for tomorrow through nearly 13,600 exclusive agencies and financial professionals in the U.S. and Canada. Customers can access Allstate products and services such as auto insurance and homeowners insurance through Allstate agencies, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800-Allstate®. EncompassSM and Deerbrook® Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agencies. Allstate Financial Group provides life insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, annuity, banking and retirement products designed for individual, institutional and worksite customers that are distributed through Allstate agencies, independent agencies, financial institutions and broker-dealers.
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We post an investor supplement on our web site. You can access it by going to allstate.com and clicking on Investor Relations. From there, go to the Quarterly Investor Info button. We will post additional information to the supplement over the next 30 days as it becomes available.
Contact:
Michael Trevino
Media Relations
(847) 402-5600
Robert Block, Larry Moews, Phil Dorn
Investor Relations
(847) 402-2800
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