UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C.

 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT

 

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) October 19, 2005

 

The Allstate Corporation

(Exact name of registrant as specified in charter)

 

Delaware

 

1-11840

 

36-3871531

(State or other

 

(Commission

 

(IRS employer

jurisdiction of

 

file number)

 

identification

incorporation)

 

 

 

number)

 

 

 

 

 

2775 Sanders Road, Northbrook, Illinois

 

60062

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

(Zip code)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (847) 402-5000

 

o Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

o Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 



 

Section 2 – Financial Information

 

Item 2.02.            Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

 

On October 19, 2005, the registrant issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter of 2005. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this report.

 

Section 9. – Financial Statements and Exhibits

 

Item 9.01.            Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

(c)           Exhibits

 

99            Registrant’s press release dated October 19, 2005

 

2



 

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 

 

 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

 

(registrant)

 

 

 

 

 

By

/s/  Samuel H. Pilch

 

 

Name: Samuel H. Pilch

 

Title: Controller

 

 

October 19, 2005

 

 

3


Exhibit 99

 

 

For Immediate Release

 

Allstate Reports 2005 Third Quarter Results
Catastrophes of $3.06 Billion, after-tax
Underwriting Profitability Excluding Catastrophes Remains Very Strong

 

NORTHBROOK, Ill., October 19, 2005 – The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported for the third quarter of 2005:

 

 

 

Consolidated Highlights(1)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

(in millions, except per share amounts
and ratios)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated revenues

 

$

8,942

 

$

8,442

 

$

500

 

Net (loss) income

 

(1,548

)

56

 

$

(1,604

)

Net (loss) income per diluted share

 

(2.36

)

0.09

 

$

(2.45

)

Operating (loss) income(1)

 

(1,650

)

49

 

$

(1,699

)

Operating (loss) income per diluted share(1)

 

(2.52

)

0.08

 

$

(2.60

)

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

149.6

 

110.5

 

39.1

pts.

Effect of catastrophes on combined ratio

 

69.4

 

26.0

 

43.4

pts.

Effect of catastrophes on Net (loss) income per diluted share

 

(4.67

)

(1.59

)

$

3.08

 

Book value per diluted share

 

29.66

 

30.33

 

$

(0.67

)

Return on equity

 

9.2

 

13.9

 

(4.7

)pts.

Operating income return on equity(1)

 

9.0

 

16.5

 

(7.5

)pts.

 

                  After-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, totaled $3.06 billion in the third quarter of 2005 compared to $1.11 billion in the third quarter of 2004.  The effect of catastrophes on net (loss) income per diluted share was $4.67 in the third quarter of 2005 compared to $1.59 in the third quarter of 2004.  Catastrophe losses in the quarter included the impacts of Hurricanes Katrina ($3.68 billion pre-tax or $2.39 billion after-tax), Rita ($850 million pre-tax or $553 million after-tax, net of reinsurance), Dennis and Ophelia.  For further information, see the Impacts of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita section.

 

                  Property-Liability premiums written(1) grew 2.9% over the third quarter of 2004, driven by an increase in Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners premiums written, which grew 4.7% and 6.0%, respectively.  Premiums written grew 3.7%, excluding the cost of catastrophe reinsurance programs purchased in 2005, impacts of Hurricane Katrina and business ceded to Universal Insurance Company of North America (“Universal”).  Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners policies in force (“PIF”) increased 3.6% and 4.4%, respectively, from September 30, 2004 levels.

 

                  Property-Liability underwriting loss was $3.36 billion compared to an underwriting loss of $685 million in the third quarter of 2004, due to higher catastrophes, partially offset by increased premiums earned, continued favorable auto and homeowners loss frequencies, excluding catastrophes, and net favorable prior year reserve reestimates.

 

                  Allstate Financial operating income for the quarter was $156 million, an increase of 3.3% over the third quarter of 2004.  Premiums and deposits(1) were $2.38 billion, a decrease of 40.8% over the third quarter of 2004 due to lower institutional product deposits and pricing actions taken to ensure adequate returns.

 

                  Allstate’s annual operating income per diluted share guidance for 2005 (assuming the level of average expected catastrophe losses used in pricing for the remainder of the year) is in the range of $2.35 to $2.50, compared to the previously announced range of $6.00 to $6.40, due to the level of catastrophe losses in the third quarter of 2005.

 


(1) Measures used in this release that are not based on generally accepted accounting principles (“non-GAAP”) are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and operating measures are defined in the “Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures” section of this document.

 



 

“The destructive and devastating effects of Hurricane Katrina significantly overshadowed Allstate’s strong underlying performance trends in the quarter,” said Edward M. Liddy, chairman and CEO of The Allstate Corporation. “This unprecedented hurricane is the United States’ costliest catastrophe in history, surpassing Hurricane Andrew by a wide margin.

 

“For Allstate, pre-tax catastrophe losses, including claims from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, Dennis and Ophelia, were more than $4.7 billion net of reinsurance in the quarter.  This represents nearly a ten-fold increase from what we would normally expect in catastrophe losses in a quarter.  For Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, the company expects to handle more than 300,000 claims from customers primarily in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida and Texas.

 

“Allstate has nearly 4,000 claim professionals along the gulf coast working as fast and as hard as possible to bring aid to the many thousands of people impacted by the terrible hurricane season. We remain absolutely committed to helping our affected customers return to some semblance of a normal way of life as soon as possible.

 

“We continue working on our homeowners catastrophe management strategy through a variety of strong proactive risk management actions to better address significant potential hurricane and earthquake losses. We have made progress to reduce our exposure to catastrophe losses, but we will do much more and do it on an accelerated basis.

 

“In addition, it is also clear to Allstate that how this country prepares for and offers protection against mega-catastrophes must be re-thought and changed. We have all seen on our television screens that the current system is inadequate.  America cannot continue to look into the rear-view mirror to manage catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes.

 

“We believe it’s time to develop a new system to plan ahead and become better prepared for catastrophes. Allstate is aggressively pursuing a broadened dialogue and stands ready to help develop a solution that more effectively protects people, families, communities and our national economy from these horrific catastrophes.

 

“Absent the impact of the hurricanes, it was a strong quarter for Allstate Protection.  Net written premiums were up 2.9 percent with Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners premiums written growing 4.7 percent and 6.0 percent, respectively.  Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners policies in force grew 3.6 and 4.4 percent, respectively. And the retention ratio for Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners remained strong.

 

“Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners loss costs, excluding catastrophes, continued to trend favorably as compared to prior quarters.  Frequencies continue to improve and severities remain manageable with modest levels of increase, well within our pricing assumptions.  The impact of catastrophes on the third quarter accounted for 69.4 points of the total combined ratio of 149.6, indicating the outstanding underlying profitability performance of the business.

 

“Allstate Financial generated operating income in the quarter of $156 million, an increase of $5 million or 3.3 percent compared to the third quarter of 2004.  Non-deferred operating expenses were held flat compared to the third quarter of 2004.  Total premiums and deposits were down $1.6 billion in the quarter compared to the third quarter of 2004, primarily due to declines in sales of traditional fixed annuities and the absence of opportunistic sales of institutional products.  The reduced retail sales reflect our strategy to focus on improving returns.

 

“We continued to make significant progress on our share repurchase program in the quarter, buying back 12.1 million shares for $717 million.  We have now bought back a total of 39.5 million shares this year at a total cost of $2.22 billion toward the current $4.0 billion share repurchase program to be completed in 2006.”

 

“The effects of the 2005 hurricane season will likely be with us for some time to come as we work to settle claims and help restore our customers’ lives.”

 

2



 

Consolidated Highlights

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30, 2005

 

($ in millions, except per share
and return amounts)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated revenues

 

$

8,942

 

$

8,442

 

$

26,438

 

$

25,057

 

          Growth of Property-Liability premiums earned, higher net investment income and higher net realized capital gains, partially offset by lower life and annuity premiums and contract charges.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating (loss) income

 

(1,650

)

49

 

607

 

2,105

 

          Decrease in Property-Liability operating income of $1,710 and an increase in Allstate Financial operating income of $5.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

121

 

37

 

288

 

180

 

          See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(2

)

(15

)

(106

)

(28

)

          Amortization related to certain realized capital gains.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(175

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

(1,548

)

56

 

724

 

2,039

 

          Decrease in Property-Liability and increase in Allstate Financial net income.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income per diluted
share (1)

 

(2.36

)

0.09

 

1.08

 

2.90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating (loss) income per diluted share (1)

 

(2.52

)

0.08

 

0.90

 

2.99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net shares outstanding

 

650.4

 

689.1

 

650.4

 

689.1

 

          During the third quarter of 2005, Allstate purchased 12.1 million shares of its stock for $717 million, leaving $1.78 billion remaining in the current $4 billion authorization.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding (diluted) (1)

 

654.8

 

696.8

 

671.9

 

703.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Return on equity

 

9.2

 

13.9

 

9.2

 

13.9

 

          See the return on equity calculation in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income return on equity

 

9.0

 

16.5

 

9.0

 

16.5

 

          See the return on equity calculation in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per diluted share

 

29.66

 

30.33

 

29.66

 

30.33

 

          At September 30, 2005 and 2004, net unrealized gains on fixed income securities totaling $1,447 and $2,164, respectively, represented $2.21 and $3.12, respectively, of book value per diluted share.

 

 


(1)          As prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares-diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss.  Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount.

 

                  Book value per diluted share decreased 2.2% compared to September 30, 2004.  Book value per diluted share excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities(1) was $27.45 at September 30, 2005, reflecting an increase of 0.9% and a decrease of 4.1% compared to September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2004, respectively.

 

3



 

Property-Liability Highlights

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30, 2005

 

($ in millions, except ratios)

 

Est.
2005

 


2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability net premiums written

 

$

7,158

 

$

6,958

 

$

20,733

 

$

20,032

 

          See the Property-Liability Premiums Written by Market Segment table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability revenues

 

7,398

 

7,094

 

21,919

 

21,092

 

          Premiums earned increased $230 or 3.5%.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting (loss) income

 

(3,363

)

(685

)

(1,388

)

1,068

 

          Higher catastrophe losses partially offset by higher premiums earned, continued favorable auto and homeowners loss frequencies, excluding catastrophes, and net favorable prior year reserve reestimates. See the Allstate Protection Market Segment Analysis table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

454

 

443

 

1,333

 

1,310

 

          Higher portfolio balances due to positive cash flows from operations and higher partnership income, partially offset by lower yields.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating (loss) income

 

(1,785

)

(75

)

236

 

1,773

 

          Decrease of $1,741 in underwriting results, after-tax.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

99

 

69

 

248

 

272

 

          See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

(1,686

)

(6

)

484

 

2,045

 

          Higher operating loss.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

4,707

 

1,706

 

5,017

 

2,056

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

149.6

 

110.5

 

106.9

 

94.5

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

2.0

 

4.9

 

0.9

 

3.3

 

 

 

Allstate Protection combined ratio

 

147.6

 

105.6

 

106.0

 

91.2

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

69.4

 

26.0

 

24.8

 

10.6

 

 

 

 

                  Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners PIF increased 3.6% and 4.4%, respectively, from September 30, 2004 levels, compared to increases of 4.2% and 5.4%, respectively, in the second quarter of 2005 over the second quarter of 2004.  PIF results exclude Allstate Canada.

 

                  The retention ratios for Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners were 90.5 and 88.5, respectively, compared to 90.9 and 88.6 in the prior year third quarter.  Retention ratios exclude Allstate Canada.

 

                  New business premiums written for the Allstate brand standard auto increased 2.0% while homeowners declined 6.5%, as compared to the third quarter of 2004.  The decline in homeowners new business premiums is primarily due to our proactive catastrophe risk management actions and competitive pressures in certain states.

                  Standard auto new business premiums grew 3.3%, excluding New Jersey.  In New Jersey, we continue to experience a decline due to new entrants in the market.  New business premiums written, which represented 9.2% of the total standard auto premiums written, increased in approximately 65% of the states.

                  Homeowners new business premiums grew 2.8%, excluding Florida, California and New York.  Declines in these markets are due to our proactive catastrophe risk management actions.  New business premiums written, which represented 12.8% of the total homeowners premiums written, increased in approximately 60% of the states.

We will continue our disciplined risk and pricing approach, seeking profitable growth on a market-by-market basis.  For further information, see the Homeowners Catastrophe Management Strategy section.

 

                  Prior year net favorable reserve re-estimates totaled $150 million, resulting from a $284 million favorable re-estimate for Allstate Protection, partially offset by a $134 million unfavorable re-estimate for Discontinued Lines and Coverages.  The Allstate Protection net reserve reestimate reflects lower actual claim severity trends and late reported loss development than anticipated in previous estimates.  For further information, see the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section.

 

4



 

Allstate Financial Highlights

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30, 2005

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

 

 

Premiums and deposits

 

$

2,377

 

$

4,017

 

$

10,388

 

$

11,756

 

          See the Allstate Financial Premiums and Deposits table.

 

Allstate Financial revenues

 

1,506

 

1,323

 

4,415

 

3,893

 

          Higher investment income and realized net capital gains, partially offset by lower life and annuity premiums and contract charges.

 

Operating income

 

156

 

151

 

442

 

409

 

          Primarily due to lower income taxes.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

17

 

(33

)

33

 

(90

)

          See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table.

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(2

)

(15

)

(106

)

(28

)

          Amortization related to certain realized capital gains.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(175

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

154

 

88

 

304

 

73

 

          Higher realized net capital gains, after-tax, and higher operating income, partially offset by higher DAC and DSI amortization related to higher realized net capital gains.

 

 

                  Investments including Separate Account assets as of September 30, 2005 increased 7.8% over September 30, 2004 primarily due to sales of fixed annuities and funding agreements.

 

                  As of September 30, 2005, 73% of our interest-sensitive life and fixed annuity contracts, excluding market value adjusted annuities, have a guaranteed crediting rate of 3% or higher.  Of these contracts, 80% have crediting rates that are at the minimum as of September 30, 2005.  For all interest-sensitive life and fixed annuity contracts, excluding market value adjusted annuities, the approximate difference between the weighted average crediting rate and the average guaranteed crediting rate is 48 basis points as of September 30, 2005 compared to 49 basis points as of June 30, 2005.

 

                  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies increased 5.0% over the third quarter of 2004 to $546 million.

 

                  Total fixed annuity deposits were $1.23 billion, a decrease of 43.6% from the third quarter of 2004 and 22.2% below the second quarter of 2005.  Due primarily to our strategy focused on achieving higher returns, deposits of traditional fixed annuities were $875 million, a decrease of 53.1% from the third quarter of 2004.  This decrease was partially offset by deposits of equity indexed annuities of $187 million, a 27.2% increase over the third quarter of 2004.

 

                  Variable annuity deposits were $452 million in the quarter, an increase of 37.0% over the third quarter of 2004 and 1.5% lower than the second quarter of 2005.

 

                  Allstate Financial prioritizes the allocation of fixed income investments to support sales of retail products with the best sustainable growth and contribution margins and to maintain our retail market presence.  There were no sales of institutional products during the quarter.  Our institutional business remains opportunistic.

 

5



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance premiums

 

$

6,781

 

$

6,551

 

3.5

 

$

20,201

 

$

19,382

 

4.2

 

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

 

505

 

508

 

(0.6

)

1,525

 

1,508

 

1.1

 

Net investment income

 

1,457

 

1,333

 

9.3

 

4,264

 

3,906

 

9.2

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

199

 

50

 

 

448

 

261

 

71.6

 

Total revenues

 

8,942

 

8,442

 

5.9

 

26,438

 

25,057

 

5.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

8,529

 

5,661

 

50.7

 

16,706

 

13,668

 

22.2

 

Life and annuity contract benefits

 

395

 

401

 

(1.5

)

1,209

 

1,174

 

3.0

 

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

608

 

505

 

20.4

 

1,784

 

1,455

 

22.6

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,160

 

1,124

 

3.2

 

3,557

 

3,251

 

9.4

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

713

 

738

 

(3.4

)

2,266

 

2,241

 

1.1

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

10

 

(1

)

 

36

 

26

 

38.5

 

Interest expense

 

85

 

76

 

11.8

 

251

 

223

 

12.6

 

Total costs and expenses

 

11,500

 

8,504

 

35.2

 

25,809

 

22,038

 

17.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss on disposition of operations

 

(4

)

(6

)

33.3

 

(12

)

(17

)

29.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Loss) income from operations before income tax (benefit) expense and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

(2,562

)

(68

)

 

617

 

3,002

 

(79.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax (benefit) expense

 

(1,014

)

(124

)

 

(107

)

788

 

(113.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Loss) income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

(1,548

)

56

 

 

724

 

2,214

 

(67.3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

 

(175

)

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(1,548

)

$

56

 

 

$

724

 

$

2,039

 

(64.5

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income per share - Basic

 

$

(2.36

)

$

0.10

 

 

 

$

1.09

 

$

2.92

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares - Basic

 

654.8

 

692.1

 

 

 

666.3

 

698.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income per share - Diluted (1)

 

$

(2.36

)

$

0.09

 

 

 

$

1.08

 

$

2.90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares - Diluted (1)

 

654.8

 

696.8

 

 

 

671.9

 

703.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends declared per share

 

$

0.32

 

$

0.28

 

 

 

$

0.96

 

$

0.84

 

 

 

 


(1)   As prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares-diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss. Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount.

 

6



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONTRIBUTION TO INCOME

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contribution to income

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating (loss) income before the impact of restructuring and related charges

 

$

(1,644

)

$

48

 

 

$

630

 

$

2,122

 

(70.3

)

Restructuring and related charges, after-tax

 

6

 

(1

)

 

23

 

17

 

35.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating (loss) income

 

(1,650

)

49

 

 

607

 

2,105

 

(71.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

121

 

37

 

 

288

 

180

 

60.0

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(2

)

(15

)

86.7

 

(106

)

(28

)

 

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (1)

 

 

 

 

(22

)

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(10

)

(10

)

 

(32

)

(21

)

(52.4

)

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(7

)

(5

)

(40.0

)

(11

)

(22

)

50.0

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

 

(175

)

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(1,548

)

$

56

 

 

$

724

 

$

2,039

 

(64.5

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Loss) income per share
(Diluted) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating (loss) income before the impact of restructuring and related charges

 

$

(2.51

)

$

0.08

 

 

$

0.94

 

$

3.01

 

(68.8

)

Restructuring and related charges, after-tax

 

0.01

 

 

 

0.04

 

0.02

 

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating (loss) income

 

(2.52

)

0.08

 

 

0.90

 

2.99

 

(69.9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

0.18

 

0.06

 

 

0.43

 

0.26

 

65.4

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

(0.02

)

100.0

 

(0.16

)

(0.04

)

 

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (1)

 

 

 

 

(0.03

)

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(0.01

)

(0.02

)

50.0

 

(0.05

)

(0.03

)

(66.7

)

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(0.01

)

(0.01

)

 

(0.01

)

(0.03

)

66.7

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

 

(0.25

)

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(2.36

)

$

0.09

 

 

$

1.08

 

$

2.90

 

(62.8

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share - Diluted

 

$

29.66

 

$

30.33

 

(2.2

)

$

29.66

 

$

30.33

 

(2.2

)

 


(1)   The non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits is for a discontinued benefit plan.

(2)   As prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares-diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss. Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount.

 

7



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRETAX)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2005 (Est.)

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

$

23

 

$

(32

)

$

 

$

(9

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

21

 

45

 

 

66

 

Dispositions (1) (2)

 

125

 

24

 

9

 

158

 

Investment write-downs

 

(6

)

(10

)

 

(16

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

163

 

$

27

 

$

9

 

$

199

 

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005 (Est.)

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

$

(4

)

$

(101

)

$

 

$

(105

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

24

 

54

 

 

78

 

Dispositions (1) (2)

 

385

 

122

 

11

 

518

 

Investment write-downs

 

(20

)

(23

)

 

(43

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

385

 

$

52

 

$

11

 

$

448

 

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2004

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

$

(20

)

$

(23

)

$

 

$

(43

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

(50

)

(4

)

1

 

(53

)

Dispositions

 

189

 

3

 

 

192

 

Investment write-downs

 

(19

)

(27

)

 

(46

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

100

 

$

(51

)

$

1

 

$

50

 

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

$

(23

)

$

(49

)

$

(1

)

$

(73

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

(65

)

(4

)

 

(69

)

Dispositions

 

522

 

(9

)

(2

)

511

 

Investment write-downs

 

(34

)

(73

)

(1

)

(108

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

400

 

$

(135

)

$

(4

)

$

261

 

 


(1)                    Because of the level of catastrophe losses experienced during the quarter and the possibility that we may need to have additional cash available to pay claims, we identified a portfolio of approximately $13.2 billion of securities from which we would consider selecting specific securities to sell to meet these needs. Approximately $2.0 billion of these securities were in an unrealized loss position, and, therefore, with the change in our intention to hold these investments, we recognized $15 million of anticipated disposition write-downs during the quarter.

 

(2)                    Because of an anticipated rise in interest rates, as well as changes in existing market conditions and asset return assumptions, certain changes are planned within various investment portfolios impacting approximately $492 million of securities. These changes result from continued asset-liability management strategies, on-going comprehensive reviews of our portfolios, and changes being made to our strategic asset allocations. Approximately $215 million of these securities were in an unrealized loss position, and, therefore, with the change in our intention to hold these investments, we recognized $14 million of anticipated disposition write-downs during the quarter.

 

8



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

SEGMENT RESULTS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

2005

 

2004

 

2005

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

7,158

 

$

6,958

 

$

20,733

 

$

20,032

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,781

 

$

6,551

 

$

20,201

 

$

19,382

 

Claims and claims expense (1)

 

8,529

 

5,661

 

16,706

 

13,668

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,029

 

985

 

3,061

 

2,858

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

577

 

592

 

1,787

 

1,767

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

9

 

(2

)

35

 

21

 

Underwriting (loss) income

 

(3,363

)

(685

)

(1,388

)

1,068

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

454

 

443

 

1,333

 

1,310

 

Income tax (benefit) expense on operations

 

(1,124

)

(167

)

(291

)

605

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating (loss) income

 

(1,785

)

(75

)

236

 

1,773

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

99

 

69

 

248

 

272

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(1,686

)

$

(6

)

$

484

 

$

2,045

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

$

4,707

 

$

1,706

 

$

5,017

 

$

2,056

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating ratios

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio (1)

 

125.8

 

86.4

 

82.7

 

70.5

 

Expense ratio

 

23.8

 

24.1

 

24.2

 

24.0

 

Combined ratio

 

149.6

 

110.5

 

106.9

 

94.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

69.4

 

26.0

 

24.8

 

10.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio

 

0.1

 

 

0.2

 

0.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

2.0

 

4.9

 

0.9

 

3.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and deposits

 

$

2,377

 

$

4,017

 

$

10,388

 

$

11,756

 

Investments including Separate Accounts assets

 

$

90,787

 

$

84,247

 

$

90,787

 

$

84,247

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and contract charges

 

$

505

 

$

508

 

$

1,525

 

$

1,508

 

Net investment income

 

974

 

866

 

2,838

 

2,520

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

14

 

15

 

49

 

33

 

Contract benefits

 

395

 

401

 

1,209

 

1,174

 

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

608

 

505

 

1,752

 

1,452

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

128

 

116

 

365

 

353

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

142

 

143

 

454

 

465

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

1

 

1

 

1

 

5

 

Income tax expense on operations

 

63

 

72

 

189

 

203

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

156

 

151

 

442

 

409

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

17

 

(33

)

33

 

(90

)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(2

)

(15

)

(106

)

(28

)

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (2)

 

 

 

(22

)

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(10

)

(10

)

(32

)

(21

)

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(7

)

(5

)

(11

)

(22

)

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(175

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

154

 

$

88

 

$

304

 

$

73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate and Other

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

$

29

 

$

24

 

$

93

 

$

76

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

79

 

79

 

248

 

232

 

Income tax benefit on operations

 

(29

)

(28

)

(84

)

(79

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating loss

 

(21

)

(27

)

(71

)

(77

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

5

 

1

 

7

 

(2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net loss

 

$

(16

)

$

(26

)

$

(64

)

$

(79

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated net (loss) income

 

$

(1,548

)

$

56

 

$

724

 

$

2,039

 

 


(1)                    For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, claims and claims expense and claims and claims expense ratio include the effect of $120 million or 0.6 points related to an accrual for a pending settlement of a worker classification lawsuit challenging the overtime exemption claimed by the Company under California wage and hour laws.

 

(2)                    The non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits is for a discontinued benefit plan.

 

9



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

UNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA OF BUSINESS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

(3,227

)

$

(370

)

 

$

(1,218

)

$

1,707

 

(171.4

)

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

(136

)

(315

)

56.8

 

(170

)

(639

)

73.4

 

Underwriting (loss) income

 

$

(3,363

)

$

(685

)

 

$

(1,388

)

$

1,068

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

7,158

 

$

6,957

 

2.9

 

$

20,732

 

$

20,029

 

3.5

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,780

 

$

6,550

 

3.5

 

$

20,201

 

$

19,378

 

4.2

 

Claims and claims expense (1)

 

8,394

 

5,347

 

57.0

 

16,543

 

13,032

 

26.9

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,029

 

986

 

4.4

 

3,061

 

2,858

 

7.1

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

575

 

589

 

(2.4

)

1,780

 

1,760

 

1.1

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

9

 

(2

)

 

35

 

21

 

66.7

 

Underwriting (loss) income

 

$

(3,227

)

$

(370

)

 

$

(1,218

)

$

1,707

 

(171.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

$

4,707

 

$

1,706

 

175.9

 

$

5,017

 

$

2,056

 

144.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating ratios

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio (1)

 

123.8

 

81.6

 

 

 

81.9

 

67.3

 

 

 

Expense ratio

 

23.8

 

24.0

 

 

 

24.1

 

23.9

 

 

 

Combined ratio

 

147.6

 

105.6

 

 

 

106.0

 

91.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

69.4

 

26.0

 

 

 

24.8

 

10.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio

 

0.1

 

 

 

 

0.2

 

0.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

 

$

1

 

(100.0

)

$

1

 

$

3

 

(66.7

)

Premiums earned

 

$

1

 

$

1

 

 

$

 

$

4

 

(100.0

)

Claims and claims expense

 

135

 

314

 

(57.0

)

163

 

636

 

(74.4

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

2

 

2

 

 

7

 

7

 

 

Underwriting loss

 

$

(136

)

$

(315

)

56.8

 

$

(170

)

$

(639

)

73.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the Property-Liability combined ratio

 

2.0

 

4.9

 

 

 

0.9

 

3.3

 

 

 

 


(1)                    For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, claims and claims expense and claims and claims expense ratio include the effect of $120 million or 0.6 points related to an accrual for a pending settlement of a worker classification lawsuit challenging the overtime exemption claimed by the Company under California wage and hour laws.

 

10



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

3,901

 

$

3,725

 

4.7

 

$

11,435

 

$

10,880

 

5.1

 

Non-standard auto

 

398

 

454

 

(12.3

)

1,226

 

1,381

 

(11.2

)

Auto

 

4,299

 

4,179

 

2.9

 

12,661

 

12,261

 

3.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

35

 

45

 

(22.2

)

133

 

183

 

(27.3

)

Commercial lines

 

224

 

222

 

0.9

 

706

 

694

 

1.7

 

Homeowners

 

1,678

 

1,583

 

6.0

 

4,548

 

4,235

 

7.4

 

Other personal lines

 

383

 

376

 

1.9

 

1,099

 

1,074

 

2.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6,619

 

6,405

 

3.3

 

19,147

 

18,447

 

3.8

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

305

 

327

 

(6.7

)

900

 

932

 

(3.4

)

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

28

 

37

 

(24.3

)

90

 

119

 

(24.4

)

Auto

 

333

 

364

 

(8.5

)

990

 

1,051

 

(5.8

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

9

 

8

 

12.5

 

36

 

31

 

16.1

 

Homeowners

 

163

 

150

 

8.7

 

463

 

416

 

11.3

 

Other personal lines

 

34

 

30

 

13.3

 

96

 

84

 

14.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

539

 

552

 

(2.4

)

1,585

 

1,582

 

0.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

7,158

 

6,957

 

2.9

 

20,732

 

20,029

 

3.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

1

 

(100.0

)

1

 

3

 

(66.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability (1)

 

$

7,158

 

$

6,958

 

2.9

 

$

20,733

 

$

20,032

 

3.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

4,206

 

$

4,052

 

3.8

 

$

12,335

 

$

11,812

 

4.4

 

Non-standard auto

 

426

 

491

 

(13.2

)

1,316

 

1,500

 

(12.3

)

Auto

 

4,632

 

4,543

 

2.0

 

13,651

 

13,312

 

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

44

 

53

 

(17.0

)

169

 

214

 

(21.0

)

Commercial lines

 

224

 

222

 

0.9

 

706

 

694

 

1.7

 

Homeowners

 

1,841

 

1,733

 

6.2

 

5,011

 

4,651

 

7.7

 

Other personal lines

 

417

 

406

 

2.7

 

1,195

 

1,158

 

3.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

7,158

 

$

6,957

 

2.9

 

$

20,732

 

$

20,029

 

3.5

 

 


(1)                    In the third quarter of 2005, growth in premiums written was negatively impacted by reinsurance transactions and Hurricane Katrina totaling 0.8%.

 

11



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY

ANNUAL IMPACT OF NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED ON PREMIUMS WRITTEN (1)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30, 2005 (Est.)

 

 

 

Number of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

States

 

Countrywide (%) (2)

 

State Specific (%) (3)

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

6

 

0.1

 

3.8

 

Homeowners

 

4

 

0.6

 

6.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

8

 

0.3

 

2.1

 

Homeowners

 

4

 

0.7

 

4.9

 

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30, 2005 (Est.)

 

 

 

Number of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

States

 

Countrywide (%) (2)

 

State Specific (%) (3)

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto (4)

 

22

 

0.4

 

0.9

 

Non-standard auto

 

4

 

(0.4

)

(1.7

)

Homeowners

 

11

 

1.0

 

5.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

21

 

0.6

 

1.3

 

Homeowners

 

18

 

1.5

 

3.6

 

 


(1)                    Rate increases that are indicated based on a loss trend analysis to achieve a targeted return will continue to be pursued in all locations and for all products.

(2)                    Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved as a percentage of total countrywide year-end premiums written.

(3)                    Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved as a percentage of total year-end premiums written in those states.

(4)                    Excluding the impact of a rate reduction in the state of New York effective July 2005, for the first nine months, the countrywide rate change is 0.7% and the state specific rate change is 2.5%.

 

12



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET SEGMENT ANALYSIS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe Losses

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Premiums Earned

 

Loss Ratio (2)

 

on the Loss Ratio

 

Expense Ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

3,791

 

$

3,606

 

64.8

 

62.6

 

6.5

 

1.1

 

23.2

 

23.8

 

Non-standard auto

 

407

 

451

 

59.5

 

48.8

 

5.9

 

1.6

 

20.4

 

20.6

 

Auto

 

4,198

 

4,057

 

64.3

 

61.1

 

6.4

 

1.2

 

22.9

 

23.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

1,441

 

1,347

 

298.1

 

128.7

 

257.9

 

86.5

 

23.5

 

23.4

 

Other (1)

 

626

 

628

 

148.6

 

123.1

 

91.3

 

68.2

 

25.5

 

27.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Allstate brand

 

6,265

 

6,032

 

126.5

 

82.6

 

72.8

 

27.2

 

23.3

 

23.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto (3)

 

295

 

309

 

75.3

 

61.1

 

5.8

 

0.6

 

30.5

 

25.6

 

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

31

 

39

 

64.5

 

79.5

 

3.2

 

2.6

 

25.8

 

25.6

 

Auto

 

326

 

348

 

74.2

 

63.2

 

5.5

 

0.8

 

30.1

 

25.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

148

 

136

 

124.3

 

86.0

 

78.4

 

44.8

 

29.1

 

28.7

 

Other (1)

 

41

 

34

 

102.4

 

73.5

 

34.1

 

2.9

 

29.3

 

26.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Encompass brand

 

515

 

518

 

90.9

 

69.9

 

28.8

 

12.6

 

29.7

 

26.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

6,780

 

$

6,550

 

123.8

 

81.6

 

69.4

 

26.0

 

23.8

 

24.0

 

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe Losses

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Premiums Earned

 

Loss Ratio (2)

 

on the Loss Ratio

 

Expense Ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

11,225

 

$

10,639

 

65.4

 

63.3

 

2.6

 

0.8

 

23.9

 

23.8

 

Non-standard auto

 

1,248

 

1,391

 

58.9

 

54.6

 

2.2

 

0.9

 

21.0

 

20.1

 

Auto

 

12,473

 

12,030

 

64.8

 

62.3

 

2.6

 

0.8

 

23.6

 

23.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

4,301

 

3,966

 

131.6

 

75.3

 

90.7

 

35.5

 

22.9

 

22.5

 

Other (1)

 

1,885

 

1,851

 

89.9

 

82.3

 

33.1

 

24.8

 

25.7

 

27.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Allstate brand

 

18,659

 

17,847

 

82.7

 

67.3

 

26.0

 

11.0

 

23.7

 

23.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

893

 

909

 

67.6

 

61.4

 

1.9

 

0.8

 

30.7

 

28.0

 

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

97

 

124

 

73.2

 

78.2

 

1.0

 

0.8

 

27.8

 

25.8

 

Auto

 

990

 

1,033

 

68.2

 

63.4

 

1.8

 

0.8

 

30.4

 

27.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

431

 

394

 

78.2

 

71.3

 

31.8

 

21.0

 

29.7

 

29.7

 

Other (1)

 

121

 

104

 

81.0

 

85.6

 

14.1

 

2.9

 

28.1

 

28.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Encompass brand

 

1,542

 

1,531

 

72.0

 

67.0

 

11.2

 

6.2

 

30.0

 

28.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

20,201

 

$

19,378

 

81.9

 

67.3

 

24.8

 

10.7

 

24.1

 

23.9

 

 


(1)                    Other includes involuntary auto, commercial lines and other personal lines.

(2)                    Loss Ratio comparisons on this exhibit are impacted by the relative level of prior year reserve reestimates. Please refer to the “Effect of Pretax Prior Year Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio” table (page 14) for detailed reserve reestimate information. The Total Allstate brand combined ratio comparisons to prior period are adversely impacted by 1.1 points for the nine months ending September 30.

(3)                    The Encompass brand standard auto loss ratio in the third quarter of 2005 was unfavorably impacted as a result of adopting procedures for establishing loss reserve estimates consistent with those used for the Allstate brand. In the third quarter of 2004 Encompass brand standard auto loss ratio included lower estimates of current year claim severity.

 

13



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY

EFFECT OF PRETAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED RATIO

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Pretax Reserve

 

 

 

Pretax

 

Re-estimates on the

 

 

 

Reserve Re-estimates (1)

 

Combined Ratio

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

2005

 

2004

 

2005

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Auto

 

$

(276

)

$

(194

)

(4.1

)

(3.0

)

Homeowners

 

(12

)

(5

)

(0.2

)

(0.1

)

Other

 

4

 

(31

)

0.1

 

(0.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

(284

)

(230

)

(4.2

)

(3.5

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages (2)

 

134

 

314

 

2.0

 

4.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

(150

)

$

84

 

(2.2

)

1.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

$

(275

)

$

(233

)

(4.1

)

(3.6

)

Encompass brand

 

(9

)

3

 

(0.1

)

0.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

(284

)

$

(230

)

(4.2

)

(3.5

)

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Pretax Reserve

 

 

 

Pretax

 

Re-estimates on the

 

 

 

Reserve Re-estimates (1)

 

Combined Ratio

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

2005

 

2004

 

2005

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Auto

 

$

(501

)

$

(551

)

(2.5

)

(2.8

)

Homeowners

 

(4

)

(112

)

 

(0.6

)

Other

 

21

 

(14

)

0.1

 

(0.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

(484

)

(677

)

(2.4

)

(3.5

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

162

 

636

 

0.8

 

3.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

(322

)

$

(41

)

(1.6

)

(0.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

$

(485

)

$

(682

)

(2.4

)

(3.5

)

Encompass brand

 

1

 

5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

(484

)

$

(677

)

(2.4

)

(3.5

)

 


(1)                    Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.

(2)                    For further information see the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section.

 

14



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life Products (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest-sensitive life

 

$

380

 

$

375

 

1.3

 

$

1,107

 

$

1,095

 

1.1

 

Traditional

 

86

 

94

 

(8.5

)

235

 

273

 

(13.9

)

Other

 

110

 

84

 

31.0

 

317

 

268

 

18.3

 

 

 

576

 

553

 

4.2

 

1,659

 

1,636

 

1.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annuities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed annuities - deferred

 

1,062

 

2,011

 

(47.2

)

3,984

 

4,613

 

(13.6

)

Fixed annuities - immediate

 

165

 

166

 

(0.6

)

639

 

554

 

15.3

 

Variable annuities

 

452

 

330

 

37.0

 

1,315

 

1,220

 

7.8

 

 

 

1,679

 

2,507

 

(33.0

)

5,938

 

6,387

 

(7.0

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Institutional Products (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indexed funding agreements

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

(100.0

)

Funding agreements backing medium-term notes

 

 

850

 

(100.0

)

2,423

 

3,448

 

(29.7

)

Other

 

 

3

 

(100.0

)

 

3

 

(100.0

)

 

 

 

853

 

(100.0

)

2,423

 

3,452

 

(29.8

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bank Deposits

 

122

 

104

 

17.3

 

368

 

281

 

31.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

2,377

 

$

4,017

 

(40.8

)

$

10,388

 

$

11,756

 

(11.6

)

 


(1)                    To conform to current period presentations, certain prior period balances have been reclassified.

(2)                    There were no sales of institutional products during the third quarter of 2005.  Institutional product sales are viewed as opportunistic.

 

15



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

($ in millions, except par value data)

 

2005 (Est.)

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Investments

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $95,934 and $90,657)

 

$

99,707

 

$

95,715

 

Equity securities, at fair value (cost $4,770 and $4,566)

 

6,095

 

5,895

 

Mortgage loans

 

8,485

 

7,856

 

Short-term

 

3,274

 

4,133

 

Other

 

1,845

 

1,931

 

Total investments (1)

 

119,406

 

115,530

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

 

408

 

414

 

Premium installment receivables, net

 

4,959

 

4,721

 

Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

5,610

 

4,968

 

Reinsurance recoverables, net

 

4,552

 

4,323

 

Accrued investment income

 

1,094

 

1,014

 

Property and equipment, net

 

1,024

 

1,018

 

Goodwill

 

825

 

825

 

Other assets

 

3,347

 

2,535

 

Separate Accounts

 

14,906

 

14,377

 

Total assets

 

$

156,131

 

$

149,725

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

$

23,469

 

$

19,338

 

Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits

 

12,390

 

11,754

 

Contractholder funds

 

58,952

 

55,709

 

Unearned premiums

 

10,490

 

9,932

 

Claim payments outstanding

 

708

 

787

 

Other liabilities and accrued expenses

 

10,576

 

9,842

 

Deferred income taxes

 

329

 

829

 

Short-term debt

 

 

43

 

Long-term debt

 

4,892

 

5,291

 

Separate Accounts

 

14,906

 

14,377

 

Total liabilities

 

136,712

 

127,902

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued

 

 

 

Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 650 million and 683 million shares outstanding

 

9

 

9

 

Additional capital paid-in

 

2,823

 

2,685

 

Retained income

 

24,129

 

24,043

 

Deferred compensation expense

 

(135

)

(157

)

Treasury stock, at cost (250 million and 217 million shares)

 

(9,343

)

(7,372

)

Accumulated other comprehensive income:

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

2,301

 

2,988

 

Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments

 

24

 

16

 

Minimum pension liability adjustment

 

(389

)

(389

)

Total accumulated other comprehensive income

 

1,936

 

2,615

 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

19,419

 

21,823

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

 

$

156,131

 

$

149,725

 

 


(1)                    Total investments includes $41,007 for Property-Liability, $75,881 for Allstate Financial and $2,518 for Corporate and Other investments at September 30, 2005.  Total investments includes $40,267 for Property-Liability, $72,530 for Allstate Financial and $2,733 for Corporate and Other investments at December 31, 2004.

 

16



 

Homeowners Catastrophe Management Strategy

 

The overarching intent of our catastrophe management strategy is to support profitable growth of our homeowners business.  While in many areas of the country we are currently achieving returns within acceptable risk management tolerances, our goal is to find solutions that support a continued yet prudent presence in catastrophe prone markets.  Allstate is in the early stages of introducing integrated enterprise risk management (“ERM”) capabilities as part our continued commitment to effective management of our capital, returns and risk profile.  A principal ERM goal is to validate where and how we insure homeowners catastrophes and to further increase our return on equity, thereby lessening our earnings volatility and capital requirements.  In introducing integrated ERM capabilities, we are considering and adopting new performance measurements for managing our homeowners business.  These measurements currently include establishing an exposure limit based on hurricane and earthquake losses which have a one percent probability of occurring on an annual aggregate countrywide basis, refining acceptable targeted rates of return by line and by state and evaluating potential capital impairment measurements.  Actions resulting from the evaluation of these measurements will reduce our catastrophe risk and improve long-term returns.

 

We consider the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to hurricanes to be major metropolitan centers near the eastern and gulf coasts of the United States, and the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to earthquakes to be California, areas surrounding the New Madrid fault system in the Midwest and faults in and surrounding Seattle, Washington and Charleston, South Carolina.  In addition, in various states we are required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers.  Because of our participation, we may be exposed to losses that surpass the capitalization of these facilities and/or to assessments from these facilities.

 

Possible actions we may undertake to reduce our catastrophe exposure include additional purchases of reinsurance to mitigate potential exposure to major hurricane and earthquake catastrophe risks, including assessments from the California Earthquake Authority (“CEA”); changes in rates, deductibles and coverage; limitations on new business writings; changes to underwriting requirements; non-renewal or withdrawal from certain markets; and/or pursuing alternative markets for placement of business or segments of risk exposure in certain areas.

 

We utilize reinsurance in order to reduce exposure to catastrophe risk and to support the required statutory surplus and the insurance financial strength ratings of certain subsidiaries, such as Allstate Floridian Insurance Company and Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company.  We purchase significant reinsurance where we believe the greatest benefit will be achieved in terms of our aggregate countrywide exposure limits based on our ERM model.  The price and terms of reinsurance are also considered in the purchase process, and whether the price can be included in future rates charged to policyholders.  Effective June 1, 2005, multi-year reinsurance treaties cover excess catastrophe losses in seven states: Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Florida.  The cost of these treaties is approximately $190 million per year, or $48 million per quarter.  The retentions and limits on these treaties are shown in the following table.

 

State

 

% Placed

 

Retention

 

Limit

 

Connecticut

 

95

 

 

$

100,000,000

 

$

200,000,000

 

New Jersey

 

95

 

 

100,000,000

 

100,000,000

 

New York

 

90

 

 

750,000,000

 

1,000,000,000

 

North Carolina

 

10

 

 

80,000,000

 

175,000,000

 

South Carolina

 

10

 

 

97,000,000

 

435,000,000

 

Texas**

 

95

 

 

320,000,000

 

550,000,000

 

Florida

 

90

 

Excess of FHCF Reimbursement

*

900,000,000

 

 


*                           The Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (“FHCF”) provides 90% reimbursement of qualifying losses up to an estimated maximum.  For the current season this maximum is estimated to be $871 million in excess of Allstate’s retention of $233 million for the two largest hurricanes and $78 million for other hurricanes.

**                    Reinsurance is recoverable by Allstate Texas Lloyd’s, a syndicate insurance company, which has a 100% reinsurance agreement with Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”) providing net benefits to AIC as reinsurer.

 

17



 

These reinsurance treaties provide coverage per occurrence above each respective retention to the respective maximum coverage limit according to the percent placed.  Each of these treaties also has a reinstatement provision.

 

Our exposure to certain potential losses from catastrophes is limited by our participation in various state facilities, such as the CEA, which provides insurance for California earthquake losses; the FHCF, which provides reimbursements on certain qualifying Florida hurricane losses; and other state facilities, such as wind pools.

 

We also continue to advocate for public policy solutions to help the country become better prepared for and protected from catastrophes.  These solutions include the development of state and national catastrophe funds; improved prevention and mitigation measures, including the adoption of more effective land use policies and stronger building codes; enhanced public education about catastrophe risk; better catastrophe relief, recovery and rebuilding processes; and a rigorous process of continuous improvement.

 

Impacts of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita

 

Hurricane Katrina Catastrophe Claims and Claims Expense

 

Hurricane Katrina made initial landfall in Florida on August 25, 2005 and again in the states of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama on August 29, 2005.  Hurricane Katrina is the costliest catastrophe in the United States’ history.  The single event probability of the industry experiencing losses at or above the Katrina level as a result of a hurricane hitting in the specific area where Katrina made landfall was .2% based on the AIR Worldwide Corporation’s catastrophe model, which is equivalent to a one in 500 year event. Our estimate of Hurricane Katrina catastrophe claims and claims expense is $3.68 billion.

 

Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates include losses from approximately 216,000 expected claims of which over 175,000 claims have been reported as of October 13 on our standard auto, non-standard auto, homeowners, commercial and other products.  The pre-tax estimates of catastrophe claims and claims expense by product are shown in the following table.

 

($ in millions)

 

Allstate
brand

 

Encompass
brand

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hurricane Katrina

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

219

 

$

16

 

$

235

 

Non-standard auto

 

17

 

 

17

 

Homeowners

 

2,886

 

101

 

2,987

 

Other

 

316

 

13

 

329

 

Total personal lines

 

$

3,438

 

$

130

 

$

3,568

 

Commercial

 

115

 

N/A

 

115

 

Total loss estimate

 

$

3,553

 

$

130

 

$

3,683

 

 

Our total catastrophe claims and claims expense estimate by state is approximately 70% in Louisiana, 24% in Mississippi, 4% in Alabama and 2% in Florida and other states.

 

Hurricane Rita Catastrophe Claims and Claims Expense

 

Hurricane Rita made landfall near the border of Texas and Louisiana on September 24, 2005.  Our estimate of Hurricane Rita catastrophe claims and claims expense is $850 million, net of reinsurance.  It is expected to be in the top seven most expensive hurricanes in United States history.

 

Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates include losses from approximately 90,000 expected claims of which over 62,000 claims have been reported as of October 13, on our standard auto, non-standard auto, homeowners, commercial and other products.  The pre-tax estimates of claims and claims expense by product are shown in the following table.

 

18



 

($ in millions)

 

Allstate
brand

 

Encompass
brand

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hurricane Rita

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

21

 

$

1

 

$

22

 

Non-standard auto

 

6

 

 

6

 

Homeowners

 

672

 

11

 

683

 

Other

 

102

 

 

102

 

Total personal lines

 

$

801

 

$

12

 

$

813

 

Commercial

 

37

 

N/A

 

37

 

Total loss estimate, net of reinsurance

 

$

838

 

$

12

 

$

850

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total loss estimate, gross of reinsurance

 

$

1,043

 

$

12

 

$

1,055

 

Reinsurance recoverable*

 

205

 

 

205

 

Total loss estimate, net of reinsurance

 

$

838

 

$

12

 

$

850

 

 


*                                         Reinsurance is recoverable by Allstate Texas Lloyd’s, a syndicate insurance company, which has a 100% reinsurance agreement with Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”) providing net benefits to AIC as reinsurer.

 

Our total loss estimate by state is approximately 50% in Louisiana, 49% in Texas and 1% in other states.

 

For details of our reinsurance program in Texas, see the Homeowners Catastrophe Management Strategy section.

 

Loss Estimation Methodology

 

Our estimates of catastrophe claims and claims expense (“loss”) are generally based on claim adjuster inspections and the application of historical loss development factors to the extent we have been able to complete inspections in areas impacted by the hurricanes.  However, in areas where we have not yet been able to complete inspections, or we have reason to believe that our historical loss development factors may not be predictive, we have relied on analysis of actual claim notices received compared to the total policies in force, as well as visual, governmental and third party information including aerial photos, area observations and data on wind speeds and flood depth to the extent available.  In the normal course of business, we may also supplement our claims processes by utilizing third party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe claims.

 

Our catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates are calculated in accordance with the coverage provided by our policies.  Allstate’s homeowners policies specifically exclude coverage for losses caused by flood, but generally provide coverage for physical damage caused by wind or wind driven rain.  Our homeowners estimates, therefore, do not include estimates for losses caused by flood.  Auto policyholders generally have coverage for physical damage due to flood if they have purchased optional auto comprehensive coverage.

 

Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates also include an accrual of $37 million for anticipated assessments from various state facilities, including $33 million for a regular assessment from the Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (“LA Citizens”).  LA Citizens was created to provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers.  LA Citizens has estimated plan losses, and is thereby able to levy regular and emergency assessments to participating companies and policyholders, respectively. Insurers are permitted to recoup a regular assessment through a surcharge to policyholders.  These recoupments will be recorded in the consolidated financial statements as they are billed.  Insurers are required to collect the emergency assessments, of which there have been none, directly from residential property policyholders and remit them to LA Citizens as they are collected.

 

Our reserving process takes into account known facts and interpretations of circumstances and factors including our experience with similar catastrophes, actual claims paid, historical trends

 

19



 

involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, law changes, court decisions, changes to regulatory requirements and economic conditions.  The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process.

 

The establishment of appropriate reserves is an inherently complex process.  Estimates must be made for losses that have been incurred but not yet settled.  The highest degree of uncertainty is associated with reserves for the current reporting period as it contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled.  We believe our estimates for catastrophe claims and claims expense reserves are appropriately established based on available facts, technology, laws and regulations.  We calculate and record a single best reserve estimate, in conformance with generally accepted actuarial principles, and as a result we believe that no other estimate is better than our recorded amount.  Due to the uncertainties involved, including the factors described in the Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors section of this document, the ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates.  Accordingly, we believe that it is not practicable to develop a meaningful range for any such changes in losses incurred.

 

We regularly update our reserve estimates as new information becomes available and as events unfold that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in prior reserve estimates, which may be material, are reported in property-liability insurance claims and claims expenses in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations in the period such changes are determined.  At September 30, 2005, a reserve reestimation resulting in a one percent increase or decrease in net reserves for Hurricane Katrina would impact net income by approximately $24 million, after tax, and a reserve reestimation resulting in a one percent increase or decrease in net reserves for Hurricane Rita would impact net income by approximately $6 million, after tax.

 

Management expects that AIC will have sufficient liquidity to pay estimated catastrophe claims and claims expenses from existing sources of funds including operating cash flows, proceeds from the issuance of commercial paper and maturities and sales of investments.  Management also expects that The Allstate Corporation will have sufficient liquidity in 2005 and 2006 to fund shareholder dividends, debt service and the remainder of the current share repurchase program.

 

Other Underwriting Impacts

 

Underwriting losses were also impacted by an estimate of billed but uncollectible premiums and policies expected to be canceled by the policyholder, which decreased Property-Liability premiums earned by $2 million and premiums written by $14 million.  In addition, as a result of lower anticipated financial results for 2005, expenses related to employee incentives have been reduced by $35 million.

 

Litigation

 

Allstate is defending several matters filed in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.  Several statewide class action lawsuits are pending against Allstate in Louisiana and Mississippi, as well as a suit by the Mississippi Attorney General, asserting that the flood exclusion found in Allstate’s and other insurance companies’ policies is either ambiguous, unenforceable as unconscionable or contrary to public policy, or inapplicable to the damage suffered in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.  The suits seek primarily declaratory relief and, in some cases, damages in an unspecified amount.  Additionally, in connection with a petition for injunctive relief filed by the Texas Attorney General, Allstate is subject to an order temporarily preventing it from denying claims for loss of use (additional living expense) caused by Hurricane Rita if the insured property is rendered untenantable, regardless of whether direct physical loss or physical damage to the property occurred.  A temporary injunction hearing is set for October 20 and October 24, 2005.  Allstate denies that there is coverage under these circumstances.  These lawsuits are in various stages of development and Allstate intends to vigorously defend them.  The outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.

 

20



 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves

 

The Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment includes results from insurance coverage that we no longer write and results for certain commercial and other businesses in run-off.  Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other discontinued lines claims is reported in this segment.  This segment is managed by a designated group of professionals with expertise in claims handling, policy coverage interpretation and exposure identification.  As part of its responsibilities, this group is also regularly engaged in policy buybacks, settlements and reinsurance assumed and ceded commutations.  The underwriting results of this segment are shown in the following table.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Premiums written

 

$

 

$

1

 

$

1

 

$

3

 

Premiums earned

 

1

 

1

 

 

4

 

Claims and claims expense

 

(135

)

(314

)

(163

)

(636

)

Other costs and expenses

 

(2

)

(2

)

(7

)

(7

)

Underwriting loss

 

$

(136

)

$

(315

)

$

(170

)

$

(639

)

 

Underwriting loss of $136 million in the third quarter of 2005 was primarily related to a $139 million re-estimate of asbestos reserves.  The underwriting loss in the third quarter of 2004 and the first nine months of 2004 was primarily related to re-estimates of asbestos reserves and a related increase in the allowance for future uncollectible reinsurance recoverables.

 

During the quarter, we completed our annual comprehensive “ground up” review of reserves for the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment.  This review employed established industry and actuarial best practices within the context of the legal, legislative and economic environment, and it was conducted in addition to quarterly assessments in which we review reserves to determine if any intervening significant events or developments require adjustments to reserves.  Reserve re-estimates are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined.

 

21



 

Our net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions by quarter are shown in the following table.

 

 

 

Est. September 30, 2005

 

December 31, 2004

 

($ in millions)

 

Number of
Active
Policyholders

 

Est. Net
Asbestos Reserves

 

% of
Asbestos
Reserves

 

Number of
Active
Policyholders

 

Net
Asbestos
Reserves

 

% of
Asbestos
Reserves

 

Direct policyholders*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Primary

 

50

 

$

19

 

1

%

52

 

$

23

 

2

%

Excess

 

333

 

242

 

16

 

322

 

297

 

20

 

Total direct policyholders

 

383

 

261

 

17

%

374

 

320

 

22

%

Assumed reinsurance

 

 

 

230

 

16

 

 

 

222

 

15

 

Incurred but not reported claims (“IBNR”)

 

 

 

1,001

 

67

 

 

 

922

 

63

 

Total net reserves

 

 

 

$

1,492

 

100

%

 

 

$

1,464

 

100

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve additions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

First Quarter

 

 

 

$

 

 

 

 

 

$

 

 

 

Second Quarter

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

216

 

 

 

Third Quarter

 

 

 

139

 

 

 

 

 

247

 

 

 

Nine months ended September 30

 

 

 

$

139

 

 

 

 

 

$

463

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net survival ratio**

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual

 

 

 

10.4

 

 

 

 

 

18.8

 

 

 

3-Year

 

 

 

11.7

 

 

 

 

 

13.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net survival ratio excluding commutations, policy buy-backs and settlement agreements**

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual

 

 

 

31.9

 

 

 

 

 

25.5

 

 

 

3-Year

 

 

 

29.2

 

 

 

 

 

28.4

 

 

 

 


*                                         During the first nine months of 2005, 34 direct primary and excess policyholders reported new claims, and claims of 25 policyholders were closed, so the number of direct policyholders with active claims increased by 9.

**                                  Our survival ratios are at levels we consider indicative of a strong asbestos reserve position.

 

Reserve additions for asbestos in the third quarter of 2005, totaling $139 million, were primarily for products-related coverage.  They were essentially a result of a continuing level of increased claim activity being reported by excess insurance policyholders with existing active claims, excess policyholders with new claims, and re-estimates of liabilities for increased assumed reinsurance cessions, as ceding companies (other insurance carriers) also experienced increased claim activity.  Increased claim activity over prior estimates has also resulted in an increased estimate for future claims reported.  These trends are consistent with the trends of other carriers in the industry, which we believe are related to increased publicity and awareness of coverage, ongoing litigation, potential congressional activity, and bankruptcy actions.  However, we are somewhat encouraged that the pace of industry asbestos claim activity seems to be slowing, perhaps reflecting various recent state legislative actions and increased legal scrutiny of the legitimacy of claims.  IBNR now represents 67% of total net asbestos reserves, 4 points higher than at December 31, 2004.  IBNR provides for estimated probable future unfavorable reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current and new policyholders and ceding companies.

 

Our exposure to non-products-related losses represents approximately 5% of total asbestos case reserves.  We do not anticipate significant changes in this percentage as insureds’ retentions associated with excess insurance programs, which are our principal direct insurance, and assumed reinsurance exposure are seldom exceeded. We did not write direct primary insurance on policyholders with the potential for significant non-products-related loss exposure.

 

To further limit our asbestos exposure, we have significant reinsurance, primarily to reduce our exposure to loss in our direct excess insurance business.  Our reinsurance recoverables are estimated to be approximately 38% of our gross estimated loss reserves.

 

As of September 30, 2005, the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance is $213 million, or approximately 17% of total recoverables from reinsurers in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment.

 

22



 

We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders.  The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates, due to uncertainties, such as changes in the legal, legislative or economic environment, which we are unable to predict.

 

Definitions of GAAP Operating Ratios

 

Claims and claims expense (“loss”) ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense to premiums earned.  Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses.

 

Expense ratio is the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.

 

Combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense, amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.  The difference between 100% and the combined ratio represents underwriting (loss) income as a percentage of premiums earned.

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense and other costs and expenses in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment to Property-Liability premiums earned.  The sum of the effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the combined ratio and the Allstate Protection combined ratio is equal to the Property-Liability combined ratio.

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio is the percentage of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expenses to premiums earned.

 

Effect of pretax reserve reestimates on combined ratio is the percentage of pretax reserve reestimates included in claims and claims expense to premiums earned.

 

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio is the percentage of restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

 

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measures.  Our methods of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

 

Operating (loss) income is (loss) income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax, excluding:

   realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income,

   amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”) and deferred sales inducements (“DSI”), to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses,

   (loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax, and

   adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.

 

Net (loss) income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating (loss) income.

 

We use operating (loss) income to evaluate our results of operations.  It reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, (loss) gain on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items.  Realized capital gains and losses and (loss)

 

23



 

gain on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process.  Moreover, we reclassify periodic settlements on non-hedge derivative instruments into operating (loss) income to report them in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, replicated assets or product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) and by doing so, appropriately reflect trends in product performance.  Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends.  Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance.  We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating (loss) income as the denominator.  We use adjusted measures of operating (loss) income and operating (loss) income per diluted share in incentive compensation.  Operating (loss) income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

 

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004.

 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

Property-Liability

 

Allstate Financial

 

Consolidated

 

Per diluted share

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Operating (loss) income

 

$

(1,785

)

$

(75

)

$

156

 

$

151

 

$

(1,650

)

$

49

 

$

(2.52

)

$

0.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

163

 

100

 

27

 

(51

)

199

 

50

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax benefit (expense)

 

(64

)

(31

)

(10

)

18

 

(78

)

(13

)

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

99

 

69

 

17

 

(33

)

121

 

37

 

0.18

 

0.06

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

 

(2

)

(15

)

(2

)

(15

)

 

(0.02

)

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

 

 

(10

)

(10

)

(10

)

(10

)

(0.01

)

(0.02

)

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

 

 

(7

)

(5

)

(7

)

(5

)

(0.01

)

(0.01

)

(Loss) income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

(1,686

)

(6

)

154

 

88

 

(1,548

)

56

 

(2.36

)

0.09

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(1,686

)

$

(6

)

$

154

 

$

88

 

$

(1,548

)

$

56

 

$

(2.36

)

$

0.09

 

 

24



 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

Property-Liability

 

Allstate Financial

 

Consolidated

 

Per diluted share

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Operating income

 

$

236

 

$

1,773

 

$

442

 

$

409

 

$

607

 

$

2,105

 

$

0.90

 

$

2.99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

385

 

400

 

52

 

(135

)

448

 

261

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax benefit (expense)

 

(137

)

(128

)

(19

)

45

 

(160

)

(81

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

248

 

272

 

33

 

(90

)

288

 

180

 

0.43

 

0.26

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

 

(106

)

(28

)

(106

)

(28

)

(0.16

)

(0.04

)

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

(22

)

 

(22

)

 

(0.03

)

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

 

 

(32

)

(21

)

(32

)

(21

)

(0.05

)

(0.03

)

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

 

 

(11

)

(22

)

(11

)

(22

)

(0.01

)

(0.03

)

Income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

484

 

2,045

 

304

 

248

 

724

 

2,214

 

1.08

 

3.15

 

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(175

)

 

(175

)

 

(0.25

)

Net income

 

$

484

 

$

2,045

 

$

304

 

$

73

 

$

724

 

$

2,039

 

$

1.08

 

$

2.90

 

 

In this press release, we provide guidance on operating income per diluted share for 2005 (assuming a level of average expected catastrophe losses used in pricing for the remainder of the year).  A reconciliation of this measure to net income is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of realized capital gains and losses including periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which can vary substantially from one period to another and may have a significant impact on net income.  Because a forecast of realized capital gains and losses is not possible, neither is a forecast of the effects of amortization of DAC and DSI on realized capital gains and losses nor income taxes.  The other reconciling items between operating income and net income on a forward-looking basis are a non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax, loss on disposition of operations, after-tax, and cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle, after-tax, which we assume to be zero for the remainder of the year.

 

Underwriting (loss) income is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP.  Management uses this measure in its evaluation of results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results.  It is also an integral component of incentive compensation.  It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net (loss) income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting (loss) income should not be considered as a substitute for net (loss) income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting (loss) income to net (loss) income is provided in the Segment Results table.

 

Operating income return on equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of shareholders’ equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-month period, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity. We believe that this measure is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management:  the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized capital gains and losses and the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, and non-recurring items that are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Return on equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.  The following table shows the reconciliation.

 

25



 

 

 

For the twelve months ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

1,866

 

$

2,800

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning shareholders’ equity

 

21,038

 

19,360

 

Ending shareholders’ equity

 

19,419

 

21,038

 

Average shareholders’ equity

 

$

20,229

 

$

20,199

 

ROE

 

9.2

%

13.9

%

 

 

 

For the twelve months ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Operating income return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

$

1,593

 

$

2,857

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning shareholders’ equity

 

21,038

 

19,360

 

Unrealized net capital gains

 

2,802

 

3,037

 

Adjusted beginning shareholders’ equity

 

18,236

 

16,323

 

Ending shareholders’ equity

 

19,419

 

21,038

 

Unrealized net capital gains

 

2,301

 

2,802

 

Adjusted ending shareholders’ equity

 

17,118

 

18,236

 

Average shareholders’ equity

 

$

17,677

 

$

17,280

 

ROE

 

9.0

%

16.5

%

 

Book value per diluted share excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure.  It is calculated by dividing shareholders’ equity after excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities and related DAC and life insurance reserves by total shares outstanding plus dilutive potential shares outstanding.  Book value per diluted share is the most directly comparable GAAP ratio.

 

We use the trend in book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities in conjunction with book value per diluted share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods.  We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers.  We note that book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique.  Book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities should not be considered as a substitute for book value per diluted share and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business.  The following table shows the reconciliation.

 

26



 

 

 

As of

 

 

 

September 30,

 

(in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Book value per diluted share

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

$

19,419

 

$

21,038

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding

 

654.8

 

693.7

 

Book value per diluted share

 

$

29.66

 

$

30.33

 

Book value per diluted share, excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

$

19,419

 

$

21,038

 

Unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

1,447

 

2,164

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

 

$

17,972

 

$

18,874

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding

 

654.8

 

693.7

 

Book value per diluted share, excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

$

27.45

 

$

27.21

 

 

Gross margin represents life and annuity premiums and contract charges and net investment income, less contract benefits and interest credited to contractholder funds.  We use gross margin as a component of our evaluation of the profitability of Allstate Financial’s life insurance and financial product portfolio.  Additionally, for many of our products, including fixed annuities, variable life and annuities, and interest-sensitive life insurance, the amortization of DAC and DSI is determined based on actual and expected gross margin.  Gross margin is comprised of three components that are utilized to further analyze the business; they include the investment margin, benefit margin, and contract charges and fees.  We believe gross margin and its components are useful to investors because they allow for the evaluation of income components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance.  Gross margin, investment margin and benefit margin should not be considered as a substitute for net income and do not reflect the overall profitability of the business.  Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to these margins.  Gross margin is reconciled to Allstate Financial’s GAAP net income in the following table.

 

27



 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Est. 2005

 

2004

 

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

 

$

505

 

$

508

 

$

1,525

 

$

1,508

 

Net investment income

 

974

 

866

 

2,838

 

2,520

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

14

 

15

 

49

 

33

 

Contract benefits

 

(395

)

(401

)

(1,209

)

(1,174

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds(1)

 

(597

)

(501

)

(1,719

)

(1,430

)

Gross margin

 

501

 

487

 

1,484

 

1,457

 

Amortization of DAC and DSI

 

(139

)

(120

)

(398

)

(375

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

(142

)

(143

)

(454

)

(465

)

Restructuring and related charges

 

(1

)

(1

)

(1

)

(5

)

Income tax expense

 

(63

)

(72

)

(189

)

(203

)

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

17

 

(33

)

33

 

(90

)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(2

)

(15

)

(106

)

(28

)

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

(22

)

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(10

)

(10

)

(32

)

(21

)

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(7

)

(5

)

(11

)

(22

)

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(175

)

Allstate Financial net income

 

$

154

 

$

88

 

$

304

 

$

73

 

 


(1)                    Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin.  Amortization of DSI totaled $11 million in the third quarter of 2005 and $65 million for the first nine months of 2005 compared to $4 million in the third quarter of 2004 and $25 million in the first nine months of 2004.

 

Investment margin is a component of gross margin.  Investment margin represents the excess of net investment income and periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments over interest credited to contractholder funds and the implied interest on life contingent immediate annuities included in Allstate Financial’s reserve for life-contingent contract benefits.  Amortization of DSI is excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating investment margin.  We use investment margin to evaluate Allstate Financial’s profitability related to the difference between investment returns on assets supporting certain products and the amounts credited to customers (“spread”) during a fiscal period.

 

Benefit margin is a component of gross margin.  Benefit margin represents life and life-contingent immediate annuity premiums, cost of insurance contract charges and variable annuity fees for contract guarantees less contract benefits.  Benefit margin excludes the implied interest on life-contingent immediate annuities, which is included in the calculation of investment margin.  We use benefit margin to evaluate Allstate Financial’s underwriting performance, as it reflects the profitability of our products with respect to mortality or morbidity risk during a fiscal period.

 

28



 

The components of gross margin are reconciled to the corresponding financial statement line items in the following tables.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

Investment
Margin

 

Benefit
Margin

 

Contract Charges
and Fees

 

Gross
Margin

 

(in millions)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004  (2)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004  (2)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004  (2)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Life and annuity premiums

 

$

 

$

 

$

218

 

$

247

 

$

 

$

 

$

218

 

$

247

 

Contract charges

 

 

 

158

 

147

 

129

 

114

 

287

 

261

 

Net investment income

 

974

 

866

 

 

 

 

 

974

 

866

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

14

 

15

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

15

 

Contract benefits

 

(135

)

(133

)

(260

)

(268

)

 

 

(395

)

(401

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds(1)

 

(597

)

(501

)

 

 

 

 

(597

)

(501

)

 

 

$

256

 

$

247

 

$

116

 

$

126

 

$

129

 

$

114

 

$

501

 

$

487

 

 


(1)                    Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin.  Amortization of DSI totaled $11 million in the third quarter of 2005 and $4 million in the third quarter of 2004.

(2)                    Prior periods have been restated to conform to current period presentations.  In connection therewith, fees related to guaranteed minimum death, accumulation, withdrawal and income benefits on variable annuities have been reclassified to benefit margin from maintenance charges.  Additionally, amounts previously presented as maintenance charges and surrender charges are now presented in the aggregate as contract charges and fees.  Further, the Allstate Workplace Division margins were conformed.  These reclassifications did not result in a change in gross margin.

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

Investment
Margin

 

Benefit
Margin

 

Contract Charges
and Fees

 

Gross
Margin

 

(in millions)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004  (2)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004  (2)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004  (2)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Life and annuity premiums

 

$

 

$

 

$

689

 

$

745

 

$

 

$

 

$

689

 

$

745

 

Contract charges

 

 

 

465

 

420

 

371

 

343

 

836

 

763

 

Net investment income

 

2,838

 

2,520

 

 

 

 

 

2,838

 

2,520

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

49

 

33

 

 

 

 

 

49

 

33

 

Contract benefits

 

(398

)

(391

)

(811

)

(783

)

 

 

(1,209

)

(1,174

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds(1)

 

(1,719

)

(1,430

)

 

 

 

 

(1,719

)

(1,430

)

 

 

$

770

 

$

732

 

$

343

 

$

382

 

$

371

 

$

343

 

$

1,484

 

$

1,457

 

 


(1)                                  Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin.  Amortization of DSI totaled $65 million in the first nine months of 2005 and $25 million in the first nine months of 2004.

(2)                                  Prior periods have been restated to conform to current period presentations.  In connection therewith, fees related to guaranteed minimum death, accumulation, withdrawal and income benefits on variable annuities have been reclassified to benefit margin from maintenance charges.  Additionally, amounts previously presented as maintenance charges and surrender charges are now presented in the aggregate as contract charges and fees.  Further, the Allstate Workplace Division margins were conformed.  These reclassifications did not result in a change in gross margin.

 

Operating Measures

 

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following operating financial measures.  Our method of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

 

29



 

Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period.  Premiums earned is a GAAP measure.  Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period.  The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following table.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Premiums written

 

$

7,158

 

$

6,958

 

$

20,733

 

$

20,032

 

Change in Property-Liability unearned premiums

 

(393

)

(450

)

(548

)

(696

)

Other

 

16

 

43

 

16

 

46

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,781

 

$

6,551

 

$

20,201

 

$

19,382

 

 

Premiums and deposits is an operating measure that we use to analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales.  It includes premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all deposits and other funds received from customers on deposit-type products including the net new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we account for under GAAP as increases to liabilities rather than as revenue.

 

The following table illustrates where premiums and deposits are reflected in the consolidated financial statements.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Est.
2005

 

2004

 

Total Premiums and deposits

 

$

2,377

 

$

4,017

 

$

10,388

 

$

11,756

 

Deposits to contractholder funds

 

(1,783

)

(3,520

)

(8,614

)

(10,080

)

Deposits to separate accounts

 

(379

)

(259

)

(1,101

)

(949

)

Change in unearned premiums and other adjustments

 

3

 

9

 

16

 

18

 

Life and annuity premiums(1)

 

$

218

 

$

247

 

$

689

 

$

745

 

 


(1)                                  Life and annuity contract charges in the amount of est. $287 million and $261 million for the three months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively, and est. $836 million and $763 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component of the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations line item life and annuity premiums and contract charges.

 

New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of financial products by the Allstate Agency proprietary distribution channel.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies includes annual premiums on new life insurance policies, initial premiums and deposits on annuities, net new deposits in the Allstate Bank, sales of other companies’ mutual funds, and excludes renewal premiums.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the third quarter of 2005 and third quarter of 2004 totaled est. $546 million and $520 million, respectively.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004 totaled est. $1.65 billion and $1.53 billion, respectively.

 

Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors

 

This press release contains forward-looking statements about our operating income for 2005 and about Allstate’s ability to pay dividends, service debt, and repurchase stock in the future.  These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management’s estimates, assumptions and projections.  Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements based on the risk factors described below.

 

30



 

In addition to the normal risk of business, we are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, including those listed below, which apply to us as an insurer and a provider of financial services.

 

      Management believes the estimated impacts of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, including net loss reserves, are appropriately established and recorded based on available facts, information, laws and regulations.  However, actual results may differ materially from the amounts recorded for a variety of reasons, including the following:

      These hurricanes occurred near the end of the quarter, with Rita following relatively soon after Katrina.

      Our policyholders’ ability to report and our ability to adjust claims have been impeded by the extent of the devastation, the size of the area affected and the fact that some communities were hit by both storms.

      Extensive and widespread floods in the New Orleans area and related government restrictions on access to the area have lengthened the claims adjusting process, complicating our ability to estimate losses.

      It is particularly difficult to assess the extent of damage in the initial stages of adjusting residential property losses.

      Our estimate for the ultimate costs of repairs may not prove to be correct because of increased demand for services and supplies in the areas affected by a hurricane.

      The number of IBNR claims may be greater or less than anticipated.

      The large number and nature of the claims and the need to have more claims adjusters to handle claims has increased pressure on our catastrophe claims settlement management process.

      Litigation has been filed by several parties including policyholders and state attorneys general, which if ultimately decided against us, could lead to a material increase in our catastrophe claims and claims expense estimate.

 

      We are currently monitoring developments with respect to various state facilities such as guaranty funds, LA Citizens, the Mississippi Windstorm Underwriting Association, the Mississippi Residential Underwriting Association, the Alabama Insurance Underwriting Association, the Texas FAIR Plan Association and the Texas Windstorm Insurance Association.  The ultimate impact of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita on these facilities is currently uncertain, but could result in the facilities recognizing a financial deficit or a financial deficit greater than the level currently estimated.  They may, in turn, have the ability to assess participating insurers when financial deficits occur, adversely affecting our results of operations. These facilities are generally designed so that the ultimate cost is borne by policyholders, however the exposure to assessments and the availability of recoupments or premium rate increases may not offset each other in our financial statements.  Moreover, even if they do offset each other, they may not offset each other in the financial statements for the same fiscal period due to the ultimate timing of the assessments and recoupments or premium rate increases, as well as the possibility that affected policies will not be renewed in subsequent years.

 

      We expect the productivity of our Allstate agents and independent agents in portions of the states of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Texas, to be severely affected by the catastrophes that occurred in the quarter.

 

      Financial strength ratings are important factors in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and generally have an effect on an insurance company’s business.  On an ongoing basis, rating agencies review the financial performance and condition of insurers and could downgrade or change the outlook on an insurer’s ratings due to, for example, a change in an insurer’s statutory capital; a change in a rating agency’s determination of the amount of risk-adjusted capital required to maintain a particular rating; an increase in the perceived risk of an insurer’s investment portfolio; a reduced confidence in management or a host of other considerations that may or may not be under the insurer’s control.  In September 2005, Standard and Poor’s placed the ratings of The Allstate Corporation, AIC, ALIC and all rated affiliates on “CreditWatch Negative” as a result of Hurricane Katrina.  The insurance financial strength ratings of both AIC and ALIC are A+, AA and Aa2 from A.M. Best, Standard

 

31



 

and Poor’s and Moody’s, respectively.  Several other affiliates have been assigned their own financial strength ratings by one or more rating agencies.  Because all of these ratings are subject to continuous review, the retention of these ratings cannot be assured.  A multiple level downgrade in any of these ratings could have a material adverse effect on our sales, our competitiveness, the marketability of our product offerings, and our liquidity, operating results and financial condition.

 

      We may continue to incur catastrophe losses in our homeowners insurance business in amounts in excess of those experienced this year, in excess of those that management projects would be incurred based on hurricane and earthquake losses which have a one percent probability of occurring on an annual aggregate countrywide basis, and in excess of those that modelers estimate would be incurred based on other levels of probability.  In addition, while we believe that the actions we are taking to support continued growth in the homeowners business in a profitable and prudent manner will be successful over the long term, it is possible that they will have a negative impact on near-term growth and earnings.  Homeowners premium growth rates and retention could be adversely impacted by adjustments to our business structure, size and underwriting practices in markets with significant catastrophe risk exposure.  In addition, due to the elimination of cross-selling opportunities, new business growth in our auto lines could be lower than expected.

 

      Loss costs in our Property-Liability business, including losses due to catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes in the fourth quarter of 2005, may exceed management’s projections.  In particular, losses due to catastrophes may exceed the average expected level used in pricing.

 

      Lower than projected interest rates and equity market returns could decrease consolidated net investment income, increase DAC amortization and reduce contract charges, investment margins and the profitability of the Allstate Financial segment.

 

      Higher than projected interest rates could increase surrenders and withdrawals, increase DAC amortization and reduce the competitive position and profitability of the Allstate Financial segment.

 

      Results from the management and review of our investment portfolios could cause lower than expected net investment income.

 

      The declaration of dividends, the completion of the $4 billion stock repurchase program that we announced in November 2004, and our ability to service debt are subject to the risks identified above and their impact on net income and cash flows.  In addition, the declaration of dividends is subject to the discretion of our board of directors and its assessment of alternative uses of available funds.  The completion of the stock repurchase program is subject to management discretion and assessment of alternative uses of funds and the market price of Allstate’s common stock from time to time.

 

We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements.  This press release contains unaudited financial information.

 

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation’s largest publicly held personal lines insurer.  Widely known through the “You’re In Good Hands With Allstate®” slogan, Allstate helps individuals in approximately 17 million households protect what they have today and better prepare for tomorrow through nearly 13,600 exclusive agencies and financial professionals in the U.S. and Canada.  Customers can access Allstate products and services such as auto insurance and homeowners insurance through Allstate agencies, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800-Allstate®. EncompassSM and Deerbrook® Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agencies.  Allstate Financial Group provides life insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, annuity, banking and retirement products designed for individual, institutional and worksite customers that are distributed through Allstate agencies, independent agencies, financial institutions and broker-dealers.

 

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We post an investor supplement on our web site. You can access it by going to allstate.com and clicking on “Investor Relations.” From there, go to the “Quarterly Investor Info” button.  We will post additional information to the supplement over the next 30 days as it becomes available.

 

Contact:

Michael Trevino

Media Relations

(847) 402-5600

 

Robert Block, Larry Moews, Phil Dorn

Investor Relations

(847) 402-2800

 

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