1. | It is apparent that the prior period development as well as the incurred and paid claims presented in your three claims development tables beginning on page 171 are significantly different from those amounts recorded on your financial statements as presented in your rollforward of the claims reserve on page 169. This appears to be the case even when adjusting for amounts disclosed or derived from your Management's Discussion and Analysis for the lines of business that you exclude from your claims development tables (i.e., other personal lines, commercial lines, Service Businesses segment and Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment). |
• | Claims development for years before 2013 - Pursuant to paragraph 944-40-50-4B of the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") Accounting Standards Codification (“ASC”) Topic 944 Financial Services - Insurance, disclosures about claims development by accident year should present information for the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, but need not exceed 10 years including the most recent reporting period presented. The Company has provided five year loss development tables for auto insurance - liability and physical damage coverages and homeowners insurance as claims are substantially settled in five years. Providing five years of development is meaningful information for our users as reserve reestimates beyond five years represent approximately 0.1% of our 2017 incurred losses. Derived from pages 171 - 173 of the 2017 Form 10-K, the percentage of incurred claims to be paid out after five years for auto insurance - liability coverage, auto insurance - physical damage coverage and homeowners insurance is approximately 7%, zero and 2%, respectively. Claims development for years not included in the loss development tables typically represent reserve adjustments for claims subject to litigation, claims associated with auto unlimited personal injury protection or claims associated with homeowners bodily injury coverage. |
• | Unallocated loss adjustment expenses (“ULAE”) - Pursuant to the illustrations in ASC 944-40-55-9E, allocated loss adjustment expenses (“ALAE”) are included in the loss development tables, whereas ULAE are included as a reconciling item in the reserve reconciliation table on page 174 of the 2017 Form 10-K. While the FASB did not define the components of ALAE and ULAE, ALAE represent claims handling expenses that have been assigned to an individual claim file and ULAE represent all other claims handling expenses that have not been assigned to a claim file. |
• | Why your claims development tables for your auto liability and damages coverages appear to depict favorable prior year claims development of $594 million in 2017 when you disclose only $490 million of favorable development on page 66; |
Auto - prior period development - (favorable)/unfavorable | December 31, 2017 | |||
Note 8 - Prior period development (2017 10-K pages 171-172) | ||||
Liability coverage | $ | (505 | ) | |
Physical damage coverage | (89 | ) | ||
Total | (594 | ) | ||
Reconciling items | ||||
Prior year reserve reestimates for pre-2013 accident years (1) | 15 | |||
Prior year reserve reestimates for ULAE | ||||
ULAE reserve reestimates | (43 | ) | ||
ULAE for house counsel (2) | 135 | |||
Other | (3 | ) | ||
MD&A - prior period development (page 66 of 2017 10-K) | $ | (490 | ) |
(1) | Represents 0.2% of the average accident year auto insurance incurred losses. |
(2) | Represents a portion of ULAE for house counsel included in the incurred development tables. Prospectively, we will remove all ULAE house counsel impacts from the development tables as they are included in the ULAE reconciliation table on page 174. |
• | Why your claims development tables for your homeowners' line depicts favorable prior year claims development of $86 million in 2017 when you disclose $131 million of favorable development on page 66; |
Homeowners - prior period development - (favorable)/unfavorable | December 31, 2017 | |||
Note 8 - Prior period development (2017 10-K page 173) | ||||
Homeowners insurance | $ | (86 | ) | |
Reconciling items | ||||
Prior year reserve reestimates for pre-2013 accident years (1) | (36 | ) | ||
Prior year reserve reestimates for ULAE | (8 | ) | ||
Other | (1 | ) | ||
MD&A - prior period development (page 66 of 2017 10-K) | $ | (131 | ) |
(1) | Represents 1.0% of the average accident year homeowners insurance incurred losses. The favorable change primarily relates to reestimates of homeowners bodily injury reserves as severity trends developed better than anticipated. |
• | Why your auto and homeowners lines appear to have significantly higher levels of claims and claims expense in 2017 (derived from your earned premium information on page 42 and your loss ratio information on page 43) than that depicted in your claims development tables; |
Claims and claims expense | December 31, 2017 | |||||||
Auto | Homeowners | |||||||
Earned premium (2017 10-K page 42) | $ | 21,878 | $ | 7,310 | ||||
Loss ratio (2017 10-K page 43) | 68.9 | 67.2 | ||||||
Derived loss incurred | 15,066 | 4,910 | ||||||
Incurred claims and allocated claims adjustment expenses (2017 10-K pages 171 - 173) | 13,158 | 4,404 | ||||||
Prior year reserve reestimates for pre-2013 accident years | 15 | (36 | ) | |||||
ULAE incurred | 1,914 | 546 | ||||||
Other (1) | (21 | ) | (4 | ) | ||||
Loss incurred | $ | 15,066 | $ | 4,910 |
(1) | Primarily relates to foreign currency translation adjustments on incurred losses for our Canadian operations. |
• | Why your claims development tables present only approximately $16.5 billion of your approximately $21.2 billion of net claims payments in 2017 as depicted in the rollforward on page 169; and |
Current year claims and claims expense paid | December 31, 2017 | |||
Note 8 - Paid claims (derived from 2017 10-K pages 171 - 173) | $ | 16,491 | ||
2017 claim payments for | ||||
Other lines not included in incurred and paid claims development tables | ||||
Other personal lines claims (1) | 991 | |||
Commercial lines claims | 336 | |||
Service businesses | 289 | |||
Discontinued lines and coverages claims | 129 | |||
Claims paid for accident years before 2013 | 397 | |||
ULAE paid | 2,634 | |||
Other | (109 | ) | ||
Note 8 - Paid claims (2017 10-K page 169) | $ | 21,158 |
(1) | Other Personal Lines represents an accumulation of twenty-two separate coverages, including renter, condominium, landlord and other personal lines products, that have different development characteristics. No product separately accounts for more than 4% of total net reserves. |
• | Your consideration for disclosing the information in response to the previous bullets along with clarifying information related to your lines not included in the claims development tables in an effort to provide meaningful information to investors to facilitate analyses of the amount, timing and uncertainty of cash flows and the related development of claims reserve estimates consistent with the objective outlined in paragraph BC2 of ASU 2015-09. |
Rollforward of reserve for property and casualty insurance claims and claims expense | ||||||||||||
($ in millions) | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||
Balance as of January 1 | $ | 25,250 | $ | 23,869 | $ | 22,923 | ||||||
Less reinsurance recoverables | 6,184 | 5,892 | 5,694 | |||||||||
Net balance as of January 1 | 19,066 | 17,977 | 17,229 | |||||||||
SquareTrade acquisition as of January 3, 2017 | 17 | — | — | |||||||||
Incurred claims and claims expense related to: | ||||||||||||
Current year | 22,432 | 22,238 | 20,953 | |||||||||
Prior years | (503 | ) | (17 | ) | 81 | |||||||
Total incurred | 21,929 | 22,221 | 21,034 | |||||||||
Claims and claims expense paid related to: | ||||||||||||
Current year | 14,194 | 14,222 | 13,660 | |||||||||
Prior years | 6,964 | 6,910 | 6,626 | |||||||||
Total paid | 21,158 | 21,132 | 20,286 | |||||||||
Net balance as of December 31 | 19,854 | 19,066 | 17,977 | |||||||||
Plus reinsurance recoverables | 6,471 | 6,184 | 5,892 | |||||||||
Balance as of December 31 | $ | 26,325 | $ | 25,250 | $ | 23,869 |
Total claims and claims expense incurred and paid | December 31, 2017 | |||||||
($ in millions) | Incurred | Paid | ||||||
Allstate Protection | ||||||||
Auto insurance - Liability coverage | $ | 8,116 | $ | 7,369 | ||||
Auto insurance - Physical damage coverage | 5,042 | 4,980 | ||||||
Homeowners insurance | 4,404 | 4,142 | ||||||
Total auto and homeowners insurance | 17,562 | 16,491 | ||||||
Other personal lines | 988 | 991 | ||||||
Commercial lines | 333 | 336 | ||||||
Service Businesses | 336 | 129 | ||||||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages | 80 | 289 | ||||||
ULAE | 2,676 | 2,634 | ||||||
Claims incurred and paid from before 2013 | (21 | ) | 397 | |||||
Other | (25 | ) | (109 | ) | ||||
Total | $ | 21,929 | $ | 21,158 |
($ in millions, except number of reported claims) | Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance | IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported claims | Cumulative number of reported claims | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
For the years ended December 31, | As of December 31, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Accident year | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | Prior year reserve reestimates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | $ | 7,461 | $ | 7,429 | $ | 7,446 | $ | 7,387 | $ | 7,317 | $ | (70 | ) | $ | 513 | 2,114,149 | |||||||||||||||
2014 | — | 7,889 | 7,955 | 7,882 | 7,785 | (97 | ) | 951 | 2,194,476 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2015 | — | — | 8,896 | 8,816 | 8,721 | (95 | ) | 1,828 | 2,380,096 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | — | — | — | 9,169 | 8,926 | (243 | ) | 3,149 | 2,387,023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2017 | — | — | — | — | 8,621 | 5,465 | 2,112,379 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 41,370 | $ | (505 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reconciliation to total prior year reserve reestimates recognized by line | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior year reserve reestimates for pre-2013 accident years | 15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior year reserve reestimates for ULAE | 104 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | (3 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total prior year reserve reestimates | $ | (389 | ) |
($ in millions, except number of reported claims) | Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance | IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported claims | Cumulative number of reported claims | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
For the years ended December 31, | As of December 31, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Accident year | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | Prior year reserve reestimates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | $ | 3,894 | $ | 3,866 | $ | 3,854 | $ | 3,844 | $ | 3,842 | $ | (2 | ) | $ | 513 | 2,114,149 | |||||||||||||||
2014 | — | 4,308 | 4,296 | 4,270 | 4,273 | 3 | 951 | 2,194,476 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2015 | — | — | 4,663 | 4,688 | 4,676 | (12 | ) | 1,828 | 2,380,096 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | — | — | — | 5,136 | 5,058 | (78 | ) | 3,149 | 2,387,023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2017 | — | — | — | — | 5,131 | 5,465 | 2,112,379 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 22,980 | $ | (89 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reconciliation to total prior year reserve reestimates recognized by line | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior year reserve reestimates for ULAE | (12 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total prior year reserve reestimates | $ | (101 | ) |
($ in millions, except number of reported claims) | Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance | IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported claims | Cumulative number of reported claims | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
For the years ended December 31, | As of December 31, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Accident year | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | (unaudited) | Prior year reserve reestimates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | $ | 3,098 | $ | 3,170 | $ | 3,163 | $ | 3,142 | $ | 3,121 | $ | (21 | ) | $ | 513 | 2,114,149 | |||||||||||||||
2014 | — | 3,608 | 3,651 | 3,653 | 3,621 | (32 | ) | 951 | 2,194,476 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2015 | — | — | 3,572 | 3,622 | 3,560 | (62 | ) | 1,828 | 2,380,096 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | — | — | — | 3,972 | 4,001 | 29 | 3,149 | 2,387,023 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2017 | — | — | — | — | 4,490 | 5,465 | 2,112,379 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 18,793 | $ | (86 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reconciliation to total prior year reserve reestimates recognized by line | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior year reserve reestimates for pre-2013 accident years | (36 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior year reserve reestimates for ULAE | (8 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total prior year reserve reestimates | $ | (131 | ) |
• | the company is responsible for the adequacy and accuracy of the disclosures in the filing; |
• | staff comments or changes to disclosure in response to staff comments do not foreclose the Commission from taking any action with respect to the filing; and |
• | the company may not assert staff comments as a defense in any proceeding initiated by the Commission or any person under the federal securities laws of the United States. |