UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C.
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) October 15, 2003
The Allstate Corporation
(Exact name of registrant as specified in charter)
Delaware |
1-11840 |
36-3871531 |
||
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
(Commission file number) |
(IRS employer identification number) |
||
2775 Sanders Road, Northbrook, Illinois |
60062 |
|||
(Address of principal executive offices) | (Zip code) |
Registrant's telephone number, including area code (847) 402-5000
Item 7. Financial Statements and Exhibits
Item 9. Regulation FD Disclosure
The registrant is furnishing the information required by Item 12 of Form 8-K, "Results of Operations and Financial Condition," under this Item 9.
2
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION (registrant) |
||
By |
/s/ SAMUEL H. PILCH |
|
Name: Samuel H. Pilch Title: Controller |
October 15, 2003
3
Exhibit Number |
Description |
|
---|---|---|
99 | Registrant's press release dated October 15, 2003 |
4
For Immediate Release
Allstate Reports 2003 Third Quarter Net Income of $691 Million,
177% Increase in Net Income EPS,
25% Increase in Operating Income EPS
NORTHBROOK, Ill., October 15, 2003The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported for the third quarter of 2003:
Consolidated Highlights1
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Change |
|||||||
(in millions, except per share amounts and ratios) |
|
|
||||||||
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
$ Amt |
% |
|||||||
Consolidated revenues | $ | 8,127 | $ | 7,239 | 888 | 12.3 | ||||
Net income | 691 | 248 | 443 | 178.6 | ||||||
Net income per diluted share | 0.97 | 0.35 | 0.62 | 177.1 | ||||||
Operating income1 | 638 | 516 | 122 | 23.6 | ||||||
Operating income per diluted share1 | 0.91 | 0.73 | 0.18 | 24.7 | ||||||
Property-Liability combined ratio | 95.9 | 98.1 | | (2.2) pts | ||||||
Book value per diluted share | 27.45 | 25.17 | 2.28 | 9.1 |
"This has been an outstanding quarter for Allstate," said Chairman, President and CEO Edward M. Liddy. "Our goal has been to drive consistent top line and bottom line growth, and we have clearly demonstrated our ability to do just that. This quarter marks the second in a row that we have shown stronger unit growth in our core businesses and each passing quarter yields additional evidence that we are strongly
1
positioned for long-term sustainable profitability and growth. In particular, our core Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners insurance lines policies in force showed overall positive unit growth compared to the second quarter, and new business growth in these two lines was especially strong. Standard auto and homeowners new business premiums written increased 33% and 55%, respectively over the third quarter of last year. The increase for standard auto is due in part to our new standard auto rating plan in the state of California, which is allowing us to be more competitive and to offer insurance to more consumers in the state. Our homeowners new business written premium reflects increases across the country. For both lines, in most markets we are competitively priced and have improving growth trends, which we expect to continue as we fully execute our marketing and advertising strategies.
"We remain disciplined about running our business as efficiently as possible and continue to pay close attention to expenses. Our strategy of better aligning our agency force with the goals of the company is proving effective and as we improve our profitability we will continue to reward our agents and share our success with them.
"We have been successful in seeking and gaining approvals for rate increases that support our projected loss cost trends and return targets and we remain committed to growing without sacrificing profitability. In September, we announced an agreement with the Texas Department of Insurance to take a rate decrease for homeowners insurance. We believe this to be an isolated situation that is largely driven by the uniqueness of that state's regulatory environment.
"During the quarter, Allstate Protection continued to benefit from better than expected auto and homeowners loss frequency and severity trends. Catastrophe losses were much higher this quarter, largely a result of losses suffered by our policyholders in the path of Hurricane Isabel in September and the severe weather in the Midwest in July. This is the nature of our business and thousands of Allstate agents and claim adjusters have been committed to restoring the lives of our customers during the quarter.
"As is our practice in the third quarter, we completed our annual comprehensive "ground up" review of Discontinued Lines and Coverages, resulting in strengthened reserves for our asbestos liabilities. We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of all pertinent factors and assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. These reserve actions significantly improved our survival ratio to a level we consider a strong asbestos reserve position.
"Allstate Financial achieved record levels for premiums and deposits, reaching $4 billion in the quarter. Allstate Financial launched a new suite of registered fixed annuities, including an innovative equity indexed annuity, late in the third quarter. As with Allstate Protection, Allstate Financial is committed to growing the business while maintaining pricing and risk management discipline. Allstate Financial operating income, compared to third quarter of 2002, was up 21% to $135 million. The third quarter of 2002, however, included a charge for acceleration of deferred acquisition costs for certain investment and retirement products.
"We are very optimistic about the future of the business. Our strategy of becoming better and bigger in our protection business and broader in our ability to provide a range of financial services to middle America remains sound and we continue to successfully execute the strategy. Simply putwe very much like our competitive position in all our businesses and remain very focused on delivering sustainable results. We are confident in our ability to do just that."
2
Summary of Consolidated Results
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Discussion of Results for the Three Months Ended September 30 |
|||||||||||
($ in millions, except per share amounts) |
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Consolidated revenues |
$ |
8,127 |
$ |
7,239 |
$ |
23,887 |
$ |
21,992 |
< |
Realized capital gains and higher Premiums earned in Property-Liability. |
||||||
Operating income |
638 |
516 |
1,910 |
1,457 |
< |
Increased Property-Liability Underwriting income, after-tax of $93 and Allstate Financial Operating income of $23. |
||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
62 |
(266 |
) |
46 |
(437 |
) |
< |
See the Components of realized capital gains and losses (pretax) table. |
||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
(1 |
) |
|
(1 |
) |
(331 |
) |
< |
Adoption of FIN No. 46 for variable interest entities in 2003 and SFAS No. 142 for goodwill impairment in 2002. |
|||||||
Net income |
691 |
248 |
1,944 |
687 |
< |
Realized capital gains and higher operating income. |
||||||||||
Net income per share (diluted) |
0.97 |
0.35 |
2.75 |
0.97 |
||||||||||||
Operating income per share (diluted) |
0.91 |
0.73 |
2.71 |
2.05 |
< |
Compared to First Call mean estimate of $0.88, with a range of $0.74 to $1.01. |
||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding (diluted) |
706.0 |
708.1 |
705.9 |
711.3 |
< |
During the first nine months of 2003, Allstate purchased 3.26 million shares of its stock for $111.12 million, or an average cost per share of $34.03. |
||||||||||
Return on equity |
12.9 |
5.4 |
12.9 |
5.4 |
< |
See the return on equity calculation in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document. |
||||||||||
Operating income return on equity1 |
16.0 |
11.5 |
16.0 |
11.5 |
< |
See the return on equity calculation in the Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures section of this document. |
||||||||||
Book value per diluted share |
27.45 |
25.17 |
27.45 |
25.17 |
< |
At September 30, 2003 and 2002 unrealized gains and losses on fixed income securities, after-tax, totaling est. $2,478 and $2,307, respectively, represented $3.51 and $3.27, respectively, of book value per diluted share. |
3
Property-Liability Highlights
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Discussion of Results for the Three Months Ended September 30 |
|||||||||||
($ in millions, except ratios) |
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Property-Liability Premiums written |
$ |
6,629 |
$ |
6,305 |
$ |
18,988 |
$ |
18,063 |
< |
See the Property-Liability Premiums written by market segment table and the Property-Liability net rate changes approved table. |
||||||
Property-Liability revenues |
6,756 |
6,082 |
19,794 |
18,287 |
< |
Premiums earned up $326 or 5.5% in the third quarter. |
||||||||||
Underwriting income |
255 |
111 |
849 |
133 |
< |
Higher Premiums earned, continued favorable auto and homeowners frequencies and severities and favorable Allstate Protection prior year reserve reestimates, partially offset by higher Discontinued Lines and Coverages prior year reserve strengthening and catastrophes. See the Effect of pretax prior year reserve reestimates on the combined ratio table and the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section of this document. |
||||||||||
Net investment income |
417 |
429 |
1,242 |
1,256 |
< |
Higher portfolio balances due to positive cash flows from operations, offset by lower yields and lower income from partnerships. |
||||||||||
Operating income |
533 |
430 |
1,647 |
1,139 |
< |
Underwriting income after-tax up $93. |
||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
70 |
(160 |
) |
120 |
(240 |
) |
< |
See the Components of realized capital gains and losses (pretax) table. |
||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
(1 |
) |
|
(1 |
) |
(48 |
) |
< |
Adoption of FIN No. 46 for variable interest entities in 2003 and SFAS No. 142 for goodwill impairment in 2002. |
|||||||
Net income |
603 |
270 |
1,769 |
856 |
< |
Realized capital gains and higher operating income. |
||||||||||
Catastrophe losses |
378 |
96 |
1,077 |
494 |
< |
Higher losses due to Hurricane Isabel in September and severe weather in the Midwest in July. |
||||||||||
Ratios: |
||||||||||||||||
Property-Liability combined ratio |
95.9 |
98.1 |
95.4 |
99.2 |
||||||||||||
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages |
7.6 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
0.9 |
||||||||||||
Allstate Protection combined ratio |
88.3 |
95.4 |
92.3 |
98.3 |
||||||||||||
Effect of catastrophe losses |
6.1 |
1.6 |
5.9 |
2.8 |
4
Allstate Financial Highlights
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Discussion of Results for the Three Months Ended September 30 |
|||||||||||
($ in millions) |
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Premiums and deposits |
$ |
4,000 |
$ |
2,958 |
$ |
9,792 |
$ |
9,073 |
< |
Strong sales across all products, with significant increases in institutional products and fixed annuities. See the Allstate Financial Premiums and deposits table. |
||||||
Allstate Financial Revenues |
1,358 |
1,142 |
4,051 |
3,657 |
< |
Lower realized capital losses, higher net investment income and higher premiums and contract charges. |
||||||||||
Operating income |
135 |
112 |
348 |
398 |
< |
DAC unlocking in 2002 and increased investment margin partially offset by lower mortality margin in 2003. |
||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax |
(7 |
) |
(103 |
) |
(72 |
) |
(192 |
) |
< |
See the Components of realized capital gains and losses (pretax) table. |
||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax |
|
|
|
(283 |
) |
< |
Adoption of SFAS No. 142 for goodwill impairment in 2002. |
|||||||||
Net income |
119 |
9 |
267 |
(77 |
) |
< |
Lower realized capital losses and higher operating income. |
GMDB values in excess of contractholders' account values, payable if all contractholders were to have died at September 30, 2003, were estimated to be $3.13 billion net of reinsurance, compared to $3.33 billion at June 30, 2003 and $4.07 billion at December 31, 2002.
5
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions, except per share data) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
||||||||||||
Revenues | ||||||||||||||||||
Property-liability insurance premiums | $ | 6,230 | $ | 5,904 | 5.5 | $ | 18,375 | $ | 17,411 | 5.5 | ||||||||
Life and annuity premiums and contract charges | 538 | 512 | 5.1 | 1,710 | 1,632 | 4.8 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income | 1,256 | 1,242 | 1.1 | 3,712 | 3,624 | 2.4 | ||||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses | 103 | (419 | ) | (124.6 | ) | 90 | (675 | ) | (113.3 | ) | ||||||||
Total revenues | 8,127 | 7,239 | 12.3 | 23,887 | 21,992 | 8.6 | ||||||||||||
Costs and expenses | ||||||||||||||||||
Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense | 4,506 | 4,391 | 2.6 | 13,184 | 13,253 | (0.5 | ) | |||||||||||
Life and annuity contract benefits | 424 | 388 | 9.3 | 1,380 | 1,213 | 13.8 | ||||||||||||
Interest credited to contractholder funds | 467 | 464 | 0.6 | 1,380 | 1,316 | 4.9 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 1,015 | 966 | 5.1 | 2,989 | 2,777 | 7.6 | ||||||||||||
Operating costs and expenses | 716 | 710 | 0.8 | 2,197 | 2,008 | 9.4 | ||||||||||||
Restructuring and related charges | 19 | 40 | (52.5 | ) | 56 | 95 | (41.1 | ) | ||||||||||
Interest expense | 70 | 67 | 4.5 | 204 | 204 | | ||||||||||||
Total costs and expenses | 7,217 | 7,026 | 2.7 | 21,390 | 20,866 | 2.5 | ||||||||||||
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations | (12 | ) | | | (9 | ) | 7 | | ||||||||||
Income from operations before income tax expense (benefit), dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after tax | 898 | 213 | | 2,488 | 1,133 | 119.6 | ||||||||||||
Income tax expense (benefit) | 206 | (37 | ) | | 538 | 108 | | |||||||||||
Income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after tax | 692 | 250 | 176.8 | 1,950 | 1,025 | 90.2 | ||||||||||||
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust | | (2 | ) | (100.0 | ) | (5 | ) | (7 | ) | (28.6 | ) | |||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after tax | (1 | ) | | | (1 | ) | (331 | ) | (99.7 | ) | ||||||||
Net income | $ | 691 | $ | 248 | 178.6 | $ | 1,944 | $ | 687 | 183.0 | ||||||||
Net income per share Basic | $ | 0.98 | $ | 0.35 | $ | 2.76 | $ | 0.97 | ||||||||||
Weighted average shares Basic | 703.3 | 705.4 | 703.5 | 708.6 | ||||||||||||||
Net income per share Diluted | $ | 0.97 | $ | 0.35 | $ | 2.75 | $ | 0.97 | ||||||||||
Weighted average shares Diluted | 706.0 | 708.1 | 705.9 | 711.3 | ||||||||||||||
6
CONTRIBUTION TO INCOME
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions, except per share data) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
|||||||||||
Contribution to income | |||||||||||||||||
Operating income before the impact of restructuring and related charges | $ | 650 | $ | 542 | 19.9 | $ | 1,946 | $ | 1,519 | 28.1 | |||||||
Restructuring and related charges, after-tax | 12 | 26 | (53.8 | ) | 36 | 62 | (41.9 | ) | |||||||||
Operating income | 638 | 516 | 23.6 | 1,910 | 1,457 | 31.1 | |||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses |
62 |
(266 |
) |
(123.3 |
) |
46 |
(437 |
) |
(110.5 |
) |
|||||||
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations | (8 | ) | | | (6 | ) | 5 | | |||||||||
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust | | (2 | ) | (100.0 | ) | (5 | ) | (7 | ) | (28.6 | ) | ||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle | (1 | ) | | | (1 | ) | (331 | ) | (99.7 | ) | |||||||
Net income | $ | 691 | $ | 248 | 178.6 | $ | 1,944 | $ | 687 | 183.0 | |||||||
Income per share (Diluted) | |||||||||||||||||
Operating income before the impact of restructuring and related charges |
$ |
0.93 |
$ |
0.77 |
20.8 |
$ |
2.76 |
$ |
2.14 |
29.0 |
|||||||
Restructuring and related charges, after-tax |
0.02 |
0.04 |
(50.0 |
) |
0.05 |
0.09 |
(44.4 |
) |
|||||||||
Operating income | 0.91 | 0.73 | 24.7 | 2.71 | 2.05 | 32.2 | |||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses |
0.08 |
(0.38 |
) |
(121.1 |
) |
0.06 |
(0.62 |
) |
(109.7 |
) |
|||||||
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations | (0.01 | ) | | | (0.01 | ) | 0.01 | | |||||||||
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust | | | | | (0.01 | ) | (100.0 | ) | |||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle | (0.01 | ) | | | (0.01 | ) | (0.46 | ) | (97.8 | ) | |||||||
Net income | $ | 0.97 | $ | 0.35 | 177.1 | $ | 2.75 | $ | 0.97 | 183.5 | |||||||
Book value per share Diluted | $ | 27.45 | $ | 25.17 | 9.1 | $ | 27.45 | $ | 25.17 | 9.1 | |||||||
7
COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRETAX)
|
Three Months Ended September 30, 2003 (Est.) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Property- Liability |
Allstate Financial |
Corporate and Other |
Total |
||||||||||
Valuation of derivative instruments | $ | 1 | $ | 33 | $ | | $ | 34 | ||||||
Settlements of derivative instruments | (10 | ) | 6 | | (4 | ) | ||||||||
Sales | 126 | (16 | ) | (2 | ) | 108 | ||||||||
Investment write-downs | (8 | ) | (26 | ) | (1 | ) | (35 | ) | ||||||
Total | $ | 109 | $ | (3 | ) | $ | (3 | ) | $ | 103 | ||||
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003 (Est.) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Property- Liability |
Allstate Financial |
Corporate and Other |
Total |
||||||||||
Valuation of derivative instruments | $ | 6 | $ | 11 | $ | | $ | 17 | ||||||
Settlements of derivative instruments | (2 | ) | 4 | | 2 | |||||||||
Sales | 254 | 48 | (3 | ) | 299 | |||||||||
Investment write-downs | (81 | ) | (146 | ) | (1 | ) | (228 | ) | ||||||
Total | $ | 177 | $ | (83 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | 90 | ||||
Three Months Ended September 30, 2002 |
||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Property- Liability |
Allstate Financial |
Corporate and Other |
Total |
||||||||||
Valuation of derivative instruments | $ | (8 | ) | $ | 3 | $ | | $ | (5 | ) | ||||
Settlements of derivative instruments | (97 | ) | (9 | ) | | (106 | ) | |||||||
Sales | (115 | ) | (51 | ) | 1 | (165 | ) | |||||||
Investment write-downs | (31 | ) | (107 | ) | (5 | ) | (143 | ) | ||||||
Total | $ | (251 | ) | $ | (164 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | (419 | ) | ||
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2002 |
||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Property- Liability |
Allstate Financial |
Corporate and Other |
Total |
||||||||||
Valuation of derivative instruments | $ | (32 | ) | $ | (23 | ) | $ | | $ | (55 | ) | |||
Settlements of derivative instruments | (163 | ) | (6 | ) | | (169 | ) | |||||||
Sales | (109 | ) | (94 | ) | | (203 | ) | |||||||
Investment write-downs | (76 | ) | (165 | ) | (7 | ) | (248 | ) | ||||||
Total | $ | (380 | ) | $ | (288 | ) | $ | (7 | ) | $ | (675 | ) | ||
8
SEGMENT RESULTS
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
|||||||||||
Property-Liability | |||||||||||||||
Premiums written | $ | 6,629 | $ | 6,305 | $ | 18,988 | $ | 18,063 | |||||||
Premiums earned | $ | 6,230 | $ | 5,904 | $ | 18,375 | $ | 17,411 | |||||||
Claims and claims expense | 4,506 | 4,391 | 13,184 | 13,253 | |||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 905 | 814 | 2,590 | 2,399 | |||||||||||
Operating costs and expenses | 546 | 548 | 1,697 | 1,532 | |||||||||||
Restructuring and related charges | 18 | 40 | 55 | 94 | |||||||||||
Underwriting income | 255 | 111 | 849 | 133 | |||||||||||
Net investment income | 417 | 429 | 1,242 | 1,256 | |||||||||||
Income tax expense on operations | 139 | 110 | 444 | 250 | |||||||||||
Operating income | 533 | 430 | 1,647 | 1,139 | |||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax | 70 | (160 | ) | 120 | (240 | ) | |||||||||
Gain on disposition of operations, after-tax | 1 | | 3 | 5 | |||||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax | (1 | ) | | (1 | ) | (48 | ) | ||||||||
Net income | $ | 603 | $ | 270 | $ | 1,769 | $ | 856 | |||||||
Catastrophe losses | $ | 378 | $ | 96 | $ | 1,077 | $ | 494 | |||||||
Operating ratios | |||||||||||||||
Claims and claims expense ratio | 72.3 | 74.4 | 71.8 | 76.1 | |||||||||||
Expense ratio | 23.6 | 23.7 | 23.6 | 23.1 | |||||||||||
Combined ratio | 95.9 | 98.1 | 95.4 | 99.2 | |||||||||||
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio | 6.1 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 2.8 | |||||||||||
Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | |||||||||||
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio | 7.6 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | |||||||||||
Allstate Financial | |||||||||||||||
Premiums and deposits | $ | 4,000 | $ | 2,958 | $ | 9,792 | $ | 9,073 | |||||||
Investments including Separate Accounts assets | $ | 74,890 | $ | 65,082 | $ | 74,890 | $ | 65,082 | |||||||
Premiums and contract charges | $ | 538 | $ | 512 | $ | 1,710 | $ | 1,632 | |||||||
Net investment income | 823 | 794 | 2,424 | 2,313 | |||||||||||
Contract benefits | 424 | 388 | 1,380 | 1,213 | |||||||||||
Interest credited to contractholder funds | 467 | 464 | 1,380 | 1,316 | |||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 104 | 158 | 368 | 380 | |||||||||||
Operating costs and expenses | 169 | 159 | 498 | 472 | |||||||||||
Restructuring and related charges | 1 | | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||
Income tax expense on operations | 61 | 25 | 159 | 165 | |||||||||||
Operating income | 135 | 112 | 348 | 398 | |||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax | (7 | ) | (103 | ) | (72 | ) | (192 | ) | |||||||
Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax | (9 | ) | | (9 | ) | | |||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax | | | | (283 | ) | ||||||||||
Net income (loss) | $ | 119 | $ | 9 | $ | 267 | $ | (77 | ) | ||||||
Corporate and Other | |||||||||||||||
Net investment income | $ | 16 | $ | 19 | $ | 46 | $ | 55 | |||||||
Operating costs and expenses | 71 | 69 | 206 | 208 | |||||||||||
Income tax benefit on operations | (25 | ) | (24 | ) | (75 | ) | (73 | ) | |||||||
Operating loss | (30 | ) | (26 | ) | (85 | ) | (80 | ) | |||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax | (1 | ) | (3 | ) | (2 | ) | (5 | ) | |||||||
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust | | (2 | ) | (5 | ) | (7 | ) | ||||||||
Net loss | $ | (31 | ) | $ | (31 | ) | $ | (92 | ) | $ | (92 | ) | |||
Consolidated net income | $ | 691 | $ | 248 | $ | 1,944 | $ | 687 | |||||||
9
UNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA OF BUSINESS
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
|||||||||||||
Consolidated Underwriting Summary | |||||||||||||||||||
Allstate Protection | $ | 726 | $ | 269 | 169.9 | $ | 1,411 | $ | 301 | | |||||||||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages | (471 | ) | (158 | ) | 198.1 | (562 | ) | (168 | ) | | |||||||||
Underwriting income | $ | 255 | $ | 111 | 129.7 | $ | 849 | $ | 133 | | |||||||||
Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary | |||||||||||||||||||
Premiums written | $ | 6,627 | $ | 6,303 | 5.1 | $ | 18,978 | $ | 18,056 | 5.1 | |||||||||
Premiums earned | $ | 6,228 | $ | 5,902 | 5.5 | $ | 18,364 | $ | 17,403 | 5.5 | |||||||||
Claims and claims expense | 4,036 | 4,232 | (4.6 | ) | 12,618 | 13,082 | (3.5 | ) | |||||||||||
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 905 | 814 | 11.2 | 2,590 | 2,399 | 8.0 | |||||||||||||
Other costs and expenses | 543 | 547 | (0.7 | ) | 1,690 | 1,527 | 10.7 | ||||||||||||
Restructuring and related charges | 18 | 40 | (55.0 | ) | 55 | 94 | (41.5 | ) | |||||||||||
Underwriting income | $ | 726 | $ | 269 | 169.9 | $ | 1,411 | $ | 301 | | |||||||||
Catastrophe losses | $ | 378 | $ | 96 | | $ | 1,077 | $ | 494 | 118.0 | |||||||||
Operating ratios | |||||||||||||||||||
Claims and claims expense ratio | 64.8 | 71.7 | 68.7 | 75.2 | |||||||||||||||
Expense ratio | 23.5 | 23.7 | 23.6 | 23.1 | |||||||||||||||
Combined ratio | 88.3 | 95.4 | 92.3 | 98.3 | |||||||||||||||
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio | 6.1 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||
Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages Underwriting Summary |
|||||||||||||||||||
Premiums written | $ | 2 | $ | 2 | | $ | 10 | $ | 7 | 42.9 | |||||||||
Premiums earned | $ | 2 | $ | 2 | | $ | 11 | $ | 8 | 37.5 | |||||||||
Claims and claims expense | 470 | 159 | 195.6 | 566 | 171 | | |||||||||||||
Other costs and expenses | 3 | 1 | | 7 | 5 | 40.0 | |||||||||||||
Underwriting loss | $ | (471 | ) | $ | (158 | ) | 198.1 | $ | (562 | ) | $ | (168 | ) | | |||||
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the Property-Liability combined ratio | 7.6 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | |||||||||||||||
10
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
PROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
||||||||||||
ALLSTATE BRAND | ||||||||||||||||||
Standard auto | $ | 3,515 | $ | 3,314 | 6.1 | $ | 10,216 | $ | 9,650 | 5.9 | ||||||||
Non-standard auto | 491 | 584 | (15.9 | ) | 1,520 | 1,813 | (16.2 | ) | ||||||||||
Involuntary auto | 60 | 54 | 11.1 | 179 | 151 | 18.5 | ||||||||||||
Commercial lines | 210 | 191 | 9.9 | 639 | 580 | 10.2 | ||||||||||||
Homeowners | 1,467 | 1,327 | 10.6 | 3,874 | 3,480 | 11.3 | ||||||||||||
Other personal lines | 350 | 330 | 6.1 | 1,005 | 942 | 6.7 | ||||||||||||
6,093 | 5,800 | 5.1 | 17,433 | 16,616 | 4.9 | |||||||||||||
IVANTAGE |
||||||||||||||||||
Standard auto | 315 | 314 | 0.3 | 925 | 919 | 0.7 | ||||||||||||
Non-standard auto | 42 | 36 | 16.7 | 128 | 80 | 60.0 | ||||||||||||
Involuntary auto | 10 | 3 | | 30 | 5 | | ||||||||||||
Homeowners | 139 | 128 | 8.6 | 387 | 368 | 5.2 | ||||||||||||
Other personal lines | 28 | 22 | 27.3 | 75 | 68 | 10.3 | ||||||||||||
534 | 503 | 6.2 | 1,545 | 1,440 | 7.3 | |||||||||||||
ALLSTATE PROTECTION |
6,627 |
6,303 |
5.1 |
18,978 |
18,056 |
5.1 |
||||||||||||
DISCONTINUED LINES AND COVERAGES |
2 |
2 |
|
10 |
7 |
42.9 |
||||||||||||
PROPERTY-LIABILITY | $ | 6,629 | $ | 6,305 | 5.1 | $ | 18,988 | $ | 18,063 | 5.1 | ||||||||
11
PROPERTY-LIABILITY NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED
|
Three Months Ended September 30, 2003 |
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003 |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
# of States |
Weighted Average Rate Change (%) |
# of States |
Weighted Average Rate Change (%) |
|||||
ALLSTATE BRAND | |||||||||
Standard auto | 6 | 4.0 | 23 | 6.0 | |||||
Non-standard auto | 8 | 11.2 | 13 | 8.4 | |||||
Homeowners | 8 | (1.2 | ) | 19 | 1.5 | ||||
IVANTAGE |
|||||||||
Standard auto (Encompass) | 13 | 8.4 | 40 | 8.1 | |||||
Non-standard auto (Deerbrook) | 5 | 1.8 | 12 | 6.8 | |||||
Homeowners (Encompass) | 16 | 9.8 | 40 | 11.7 |
12
ALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET SEGMENT ANALYSIS
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
||||||||||||
|
Premiums Earned |
Loss Ratio |
Loss Ratio Excluding the Effect of Catastrophe Losses |
Expense Ratio |
||||||||||||||||
ALLSTATE BRAND | ||||||||||||||||||||
Standard auto | $ | 3,392 | $ | 3,203 | 65.7 | 72.8 | 64.8 | 72.7 | ||||||||||||
Non-standard auto | 507 | 599 | 55.0 | 68.3 | 54.2 | 68.1 | ||||||||||||||
Homeowners | 1,242 | 1,091 | 59.7 | 71.1 | 37.4 | 64.4 | ||||||||||||||
Other | 586 | 543 | 71.2 | 66.1 | 65.4 | 63.9 | ||||||||||||||
Total Allstate brand |
5,727 |
5,436 |
64.0 |
71.3 |
58.0 |
69.7 |
23.2 |
22.9 |
||||||||||||
IVANTAGE |
||||||||||||||||||||
Standard auto | 299 | 298 | 68.6 | 74.8 | 67.6 | 74.5 | ||||||||||||||
Non-standard auto | 44 | 26 | 84.1 | 130.8 | 84.1 | 130.8 | ||||||||||||||
Homeowners | 124 | 118 | 83.9 | 73.7 | 58.1 | 67.8 | ||||||||||||||
Other | 34 | 24 | 73.5 | 54.2 | 73.5 | 54.2 | ||||||||||||||
Total Ivantage |
501 |
466 |
74.1 |
76.6 |
67.1 |
74.9 |
27.9 |
33.5 |
||||||||||||
ALLSTATE PROTECTION |
$ |
6,228 |
$ |
5,902 |
64.8 |
71.7 |
58.7 |
70.1 |
23.5 |
23.7 |
||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
||||||||||||
|
Premiums Earned |
Loss Ratio |
Loss Ratio Excluding the Effect of Catastrophe Losses |
Expense Ratio |
||||||||||||||||
ALLSTATE BRAND | ||||||||||||||||||||
Standard auto | $ | 9,960 | $ | 9,448 | 70.4 | 74.2 | 68.6 | 73.5 | ||||||||||||
Non-standard auto | 1,589 | 1,844 | 67.7 | 73.2 | 66.8 | 72.9 | ||||||||||||||
Homeowners | 3,623 | 3,139 | 61.7 | 80.6 | 42.4 | 70.1 | ||||||||||||||
Other | 1,721 | 1,595 | 70.3 | 70.5 | 64.4 | 67.6 | ||||||||||||||
Total Allstate brand |
16,893 |
16,026 |
68.3 |
74.9 |
62.4 |
72.2 |
23.1 |
22.3 |
||||||||||||
IVANTAGE |
||||||||||||||||||||
Standard auto | 894 | 896 | 72.0 | 76.1 | 71.1 | 75.3 | ||||||||||||||
Non-standard auto | 120 | 57 | 83.3 | 117.5 | 83.3 | 117.5 | ||||||||||||||
Homeowners | 367 | 350 | 77.9 | 85.7 | 57.8 | 73.4 | ||||||||||||||
Other | 90 | 74 | 61.1 | 29.7 | 57.8 | 27.0 | ||||||||||||||
Total Ivantage |
1,471 |
1,377 |
73.8 |
77.8 |
68.0 |
74.0 |
29.2 |
32.7 |
||||||||||||
ALLSTATE PROTECTION |
$ |
18,364 |
$ |
17,403 |
68.7 |
75.2 |
62.8 |
72.4 |
23.6 |
23.1 |
||||||||||
13
PROPERTY-LIABILITY
EFFECT OF PRETAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED RATIO
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Pretax Reserve Reestimates |
Effect of Pretax Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio |
|||||||||||
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
Change |
|||||||||
Auto | $ | (139 | ) | $ | (78 | ) | (2.3 | ) | (1.0 | ) | |||
Homeowners | (32 | ) | 106 | (0.5 | ) | (2.3 | ) | ||||||
Other | 31 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | |||||||||
Allstate Protection | (140 | ) | 34 | (2.3 | ) | (2.9 | ) | ||||||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages |
471 |
159 |
7.6 |
4.9 |
|||||||||
Property-Liability |
$ |
331 |
$ |
193 |
5.3 |
2.0 |
|||||||
Allstate Brand |
$ |
(138 |
) |
$ |
3 |
(2.2 |
) |
(2.3 |
) |
||||
Ivantage | (2 | ) | 31 | (0.1 | ) | (0.6 | ) | ||||||
Allstate Protection |
$ |
(140 |
) |
$ |
34 |
(2.3 |
) |
(2.9 |
) |
||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Pretax Reserve Reestimates |
Effect of Pretax Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio |
|||||||||||
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
Change |
|||||||||
Auto | $ | (177 | ) | $ | 9 | (1.0 | ) | (1.1 | ) | ||||
Homeowners | (17 | ) | 339 | (0.1 | ) | (2.0 | ) | ||||||
Other | 52 | 35 | 0.3 | 0.1 | |||||||||
Allstate Protection |
(142 |
) |
383 |
(0.8 |
) |
(3.0 |
) |
||||||
Discontinued Lines and Coverages |
566 |
171 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
|||||||||
Property-Liability |
$ |
424 |
$ |
554 |
2.3 |
(0.9 |
) |
||||||
Allstate Brand |
$ |
(164 |
) |
$ |
352 |
(0.9 |
) |
(2.9 |
) |
||||
Ivantage | 22 | 31 | 0.1 | (0.1 | ) | ||||||||
Allstate Protection |
$ |
(142 |
) |
$ |
383 |
(0.8 |
) |
(3.0 |
) |
||||
14
ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Percent Change |
|||||||||||||
Life Products | |||||||||||||||||||
Interest-sensitive life | $ | 272 | $ | 244 | 11.5 | $ | 767 | $ | 747 | 2.7 | |||||||||
Traditional | 105 | 100 | 5.0 | 284 | 288 | (1.4 | ) | ||||||||||||
Other | 166 | 149 | 11.4 | 470 | 427 | 10.1 | |||||||||||||
Subtotal | 543 | 493 | 10.1 | 1,521 | 1,462 | 4.0 | |||||||||||||
Annuities |
|||||||||||||||||||
Fixed annuities deferred | 1,471 | 1,395 | 5.4 | 3,751 | 3,170 | 18.3 | |||||||||||||
Fixed annuities immediate | 174 | 138 | 26.1 | 617 | 491 | 25.7 | |||||||||||||
Variable annuities | 621 | 609 | 2.0 | 1,555 | 1,805 | (13.9 | ) | ||||||||||||
Subtotal | 2,266 | 2,142 | 5.8 | 5,923 | 5,466 | 8.4 | |||||||||||||
Institutional Products |
|||||||||||||||||||
Indexed funding agreements | 125 | 100 | 25.0 | 390 | 275 | 41.8 | |||||||||||||
Funding agreements backing medium-term notes | 949 | 85 | | 1,667 | 1,462 | 14.0 | |||||||||||||
Other | 3 | | | 7 | 39 | (82.1 | ) | ||||||||||||
Subtotal | 1,077 | 185 | | 2,064 | 1,776 | 16.2 | |||||||||||||
Bank Deposits |
114 |
138 |
(17.4 |
) |
284 |
369 |
(23.0 |
) |
|||||||||||
Total |
$ |
4,000 |
$ |
2,958 |
35.2 |
$ |
9,792 |
$ |
9,073 |
7.9 |
|||||||||
15
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
(in millions, except par value data) |
September 30, 2003 (Est.) |
Dec. 31, 2002 |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Assets | |||||||||
Investments | |||||||||
Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $79,634 and $72,123) | $ | 85,222 | $ | 77,152 | |||||
Equity securities, at fair value (cost $3,886 and $3,223) | 4,744 | 3,683 | |||||||
Mortgage loans | 6,426 | 6,092 | |||||||
Short-term | 3,526 | 2,215 | |||||||
Other | 1,581 | 1,508 | |||||||
Total investments | 101,499 | 90,650 | |||||||
Cash |
247 |
462 |
|||||||
Premium installment receivables, net | 4,455 | 4,075 | |||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 4,610 | 4,385 | |||||||
Reinsurance recoverables, net | 3,113 | 2,883 | |||||||
Accrued investment income | 1,033 | 946 | |||||||
Property and equipment, net | 1,049 | 989 | |||||||
Goodwill | 930 | 927 | |||||||
Other assets | 1,149 | 984 | |||||||
Separate Accounts | 12,177 | 11,125 | |||||||
Total assets | $ | 130,262 | $ | 117,426 | |||||
Liabilities |
|||||||||
Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense | $ | 17,681 | $ | 16,690 | |||||
Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits | 10,903 | 10,256 | |||||||
Contractholder funds | 45,522 | 40,751 | |||||||
Unearned premiums | 9,260 | 8,578 | |||||||
Claim payments outstanding | 685 | 739 | |||||||
Other liabilities and accrued expenses | 9,640 | 7,150 | |||||||
Deferred income taxes | 656 | 259 | |||||||
Short-term debt | | 279 | |||||||
Long-term debt | 4,378 | 3,961 | |||||||
Separate Accounts | 12,177 | 11,125 | |||||||
Total liabilities | 110,902 | 99,788 | |||||||
Mandatorily Redeemable Preferred Securities of Subsidiary Trust |
|
200 |
|||||||
Shareholders' equity |
|||||||||
Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued | | | |||||||
Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 703 million and 702 million shares outstanding | 9 | 9 | |||||||
Additional capital paid-in | 2,612 | 2,599 | |||||||
Retained income | 21,043 | 19,584 | |||||||
Deferred compensation expense | (214 | ) | (178 | ) | |||||
Treasury stock, at cost (197 million and 198 million shares) | (6,291 | ) | (6,309 | ) | |||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income: | |||||||||
Unrealized net capital gains and losses and net gains and losses on derivative financial instruments | 3,037 | 2,602 | |||||||
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments | (16 | ) | (49 | ) | |||||
Minimum pension liability adjustment | (820 | ) | (820 | ) | |||||
Total accumulated other comprehensive income | 2,201 | 1,733 | |||||||
Total shareholders' equity | 19,360 | 17,438 | |||||||
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | $ | 130,262 | $ | 117,426 | |||||
16
Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves
During the third quarter, we completed our annual comprehensive "ground up" review of reserves for the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment. Reserve reestimates are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined. This review employed established industry and actuarial best practices within the context of the legal, legislative and economic environment.
Our net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions by quarter and year-to-date are shown in the following table.
|
September 30, 2003 |
December 31, 2002 |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Number of Active Policyholders |
Est. Net Asbestos Reserves |
% of Asbestos Reserves |
Number of Active Policyholders |
Net Asbestos Reserves** |
% of Asbestos Reserves** |
|||||||||
Direct policyholders | |||||||||||||||
-Primary | 49 | $ | 30 | 3 | % | 40 | $ | 16 | 2 | % | |||||
-Excess | 274 | 208 | 19 | 240 | 87 | 14 | |||||||||
Total direct policyholders | 323 | 238 | 22 | % | 280 | 103 | 16 | % | |||||||
Assumed reinsurance | 191 | 17 | 173 | 27 | |||||||||||
Incurred but not reported claims ("IBNR") | 673 | 61 | 359 | 57 | |||||||||||
Total net reserves | $ | 1,102 | 100 | % | $ | 635 | 100 | % | |||||||
Reserve additions |
|||||||||||||||
First Quarter | $ | 34 | $ | | |||||||||||
Second Quarter | 38 | | |||||||||||||
Third Quarter | 442 | 121 | |||||||||||||
Nine months ended September 30 | $ | 514 | $ | 121 | |||||||||||
Survival ratio excluding commutations, policy buy-backs and settlement agreements as of December 31, 2002 |
|||||||||||||||
Current year | 19.1 | * | 10.3 | ||||||||||||
Three year average | 23.3 | * | 12.5 |
During the first nine months of 2003, 65 direct primary and excess policyholders reported new claims, and claims of 22 policyholders' were closed, so that the number of direct policyholders with active claims increased by 43.
Reserve additions for asbestos in the third quarter of 2003, totaling est. $442 million, were primarily for products-related coverage. This increase essentially was a result of more claimants being reported by excess insurance policyholders with existing active claims and new claims being reported in our assumed reinsurance business. This trend is consistent with the trends of other carriers in the industry. We believe it is related to increased publicity and awareness of coverage, ongoing litigation, potential congressional activity and bankruptcy actions. Reserve additions for asbestos for the nine-months ended September 30, 2003, totaled est. $514 million.
17
|
Nine months ended September 30, 2003 |
Year ended December 31, 2002 |
Year ended December 31, 2001 |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Claims* | 206 | 197 | 182 |
Our exposure to non-products-related losses represents approximately 5% of total reserves. We do not anticipate significant changes in this percentage as insureds' retentions associated with excess insurance programs, which are our principal direct insurance, and assumed reinsurance exposure are seldom exceeded. We did not write direct primary insurance on policyholders with the potential for significant non-products-related loss exposure.
Liability for actual and potential asbestos losses has caused a number of companies to file for bankruptcy protection. Of 63 companies with significant asbestos exposure, all but one of which are in bankruptcy, on a direct basis, we:
Although we do not believe a greater exposure is probable for the remaining 3, our maximum additional exposure to full policy limits for the remaining 3 in the aggregate is est. $26 million after-tax.
Reserves related to asbestos manufacturers in bankruptcy, whose claims are still in the process of resolution, are established based on claims that have occurred and other related information. We also establish reserves for assumed reinsurance written by another carrier on these manufacturers in proportion to our participation share in the reinsurance agreements. The claim resolution process in these bankruptcies is lengthy and involves, among other factors, filing notices of claim by all current claimants, evaluating pre-petition and post-petition claims, negotiations among the various creditor groups and the debtors and, if necessary, evidentiary hearings by the bankruptcy court. Management will continue to monitor the relevant bankruptcies.
18
Our pending, new, total closed and closed without payment claims for asbestos since December 31, 2002 are summarized in the following table:
Number of Asbestos Claims
Pending as of December 31, 2002 | 6,900 | |
New | 1,973 | |
Total closed | 852 | |
Pending as of September 30, 2003 | 8,021 | |
Closed without payment | 556 | |
The changes in claim counts may not correlate directly to the change in recorded reserves because estimated net loss reserves for asbestos are subject to uncertainties that are greater than those presented by other types of claims as described in the Company's Form 10-K dated December 31, 2002.
To further limit our asbestos exposure, we have purchased significant reinsurance, primarily to reduce our exposure to loss in our direct excess insurance business. Our reserves recoverable from reinsurers are estimated to be approximately 32.1% of our gross estimated losses, after a reduction for known reinsurer insolvencies.
Our three-year average survival ratio, as updated above, is viewed to be a more representative prospective measure of current reserve adequacy than other survival ratio calculations. Now at 23.3 years as of December 31, 2002, our survival ratio is at a level we consider a strong asbestos reserve position. A one-year increase in the three-year average asbestos survival ratio at December 31, 2002 would require an after-tax increase in reserves of approximately $31 million.
In addition to asbestos reserve actions taken in the quarter, we also increased the allowance for future uncollectible reinsurance by est. $14.1 million, reserves for environmental exposure by est. $0.4 million and other discontinued lines and coverages reserves by est. $8.4 million.
We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment. Another comprehensive "ground up" review will be completed in the third quarter next year, as well as assessments each quarter to determine if any intervening significant events or developments require an interim adjustment to reserves.
Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures
We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measures. Our method of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.
Operating income is Income before dividends on preferred securities and the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax, excluding the effects of Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, and (Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax. Upon the adoption of Financial Accounting Standards Board Interpretation No. 46 on July 1, 2003, Operating income is defined as Income before the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax, excluding the effects of Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, and (Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax. In our operating income computation, the net effect of Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, includes Allstate Financial's DAC amortization only to the extent that it resulted from the recognition of Realized capital gains and losses. Net income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
19
We use this measure to evaluate our results of operations and as an integral component for incentive compensation. It reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of Realized capital gains and losses and (Loss) gain on disposition of operations. These items may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for Net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.
The following tables reconcile Operating income and Net income for the third quarter and first nine months of 2003 and 2002.
For the three months ended September 30,
|
Property-Liability |
Allstate Financial |
Consolidated |
Per diluted share |
|||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions, except per share data) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
|||||||||||||||||
Operating income | $ | 533 | $ | 430 | $ | 135 | $ | 112 | $ | 638 | $ | 516 | $ | 0.91 | $ | 0.73 | |||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses |
109 |
(251 |
) |
(3 |
) |
(164 |
) |
103 |
(419 |
) |
|||||||||||||||
Reclassification of DAC amortization | | | (6 | ) | 5 | (6 | ) | 5 | |||||||||||||||||
Income tax benefit (expense) | (39 | ) | 91 | 2 | 56 | (35 | ) | 148 | |||||||||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax | 70 | (160 | ) | (7 | ) | (103 | ) | 62 | (266 | ) | 0.08 | (0.38 | ) | ||||||||||||
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax | 1 | | (9 | ) | | (8 | ) | | (0.01 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
Income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax | 604 | 270 | 119 | 9 | 692 | 250 | 0.98 | 0.35 | |||||||||||||||||
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust(s), after-tax | | | | | | (2 | ) | | | ||||||||||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax | (1 | ) | | | | (1 | ) | | (0.01 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) | $ | 603 | $ | 270 | $ | 119 | $ | 9 | $ | 691 | $ | 248 | $ | 0.97 | $ | 0.35 | |||||||||
For the nine months ended September 30,
|
Property-Liability |
Allstate Financial |
Consolidated |
Per diluted share |
|||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions, except per share data) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
|||||||||||||||||
Operating income | $ | 1,647 | $ | 1,139 | $ | 348 | $ | 398 | $ | 1,910 | $ | 1,457 | $ | 2.71 | $ | 2.05 | |||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses |
177 |
(380 |
) |
(83 |
) |
(288 |
) |
90 |
(675 |
) |
|||||||||||||||
Reclassification of DAC amortization | | | (31 | ) | 2 | (31 | ) | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
Income tax benefit (expense) | (57 | ) | 140 | 42 | 94 | (13 | ) | 236 | |||||||||||||||||
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax | 120 | (240 | ) | (72 | ) | (192 | ) | 46 | (437 | ) | 0.06 | (0.62 | ) | ||||||||||||
(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax | 3 | 5 | (9 | ) | | (6 | ) | 5 | (0.01 | ) | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||
Income before dividends on preferred securities and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax | 1,770 | 904 | 267 | 206 | 1,950 | 1,025 | 2.76 | 1.44 | |||||||||||||||||
Dividends on preferred securities of subsidiary trust(s), after-tax | | | | | (5 | ) | (7 | ) | | (0.01 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax | (1 | ) | (48 | ) | | (283 | ) | (1 | ) | (331 | ) | (0.01 | ) | (0.46 | ) | ||||||||||
Net income (loss) | $ | 1,769 | $ | 856 | $ | 267 | $ | (77 | ) | $ | 1,944 | $ | 687 | $ | 2.75 | $ | 0.97 | ||||||||
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In this press release, we provide guidance on operating income per diluted share for 2003 (excluding restructuring and related charges and assuming a level of average expected catastrophe losses used in pricing for the remainder of the year). A reconciliation of this measure to Net income is not accessible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of Realized capital gains and losses, which can vary substantially from one period to another and may have a significant impact on Net income. Because a forecast of Realized capital gains and losses is not accessible, neither is a forecast of the effects of Realized capital gains and losses on DAC amortization and income taxes. We estimate that the year-end 2003 restructuring and related charges will be $0.05 per diluted share. The other reconciling items between Operating income and Net income on a forward-looking basis are (Loss) gain on disposition of operations after-tax and Cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle, which we assume to be zero for the remainder of 2003.
Underwriting income (loss) is Premiums earned, less Claims and claims expense ("losses"), Amortization of DAC, Operating costs and expenses and Restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP. Management uses this measure in its evaluation of results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive compensation. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. Underwriting income (loss) should not be considered as a substitute for Net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business. Net income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. A reconciliation of Property-Liability Underwriting income to Net income is provided in the Segment Results table.
Operating income return on equity is a ratio found useful by investors that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of the beginning and end of the 12-month period shareholders' equity after excluding the after-tax effect of unrealized net capital gains. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity and because investors often use this measure when evaluating the performance of insurers. Moreover, it enhances investor understanding by eliminating the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized capital gains and losses and the cumulative effect of changes in accounting, which can fluctuate significantly. Return on Equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. The following table shows the two computations.
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|
For the twelve months ended September 30, |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
|||||
Return on equity | |||||||
Numerator: | |||||||
Net income | $ | 2,391 | $ | 951 | |||
Denominator: | |||||||
Beginning shareholders' equity | 17,766 | 17,293 | |||||
Ending shareholders' equity | 19,360 | 17,766 | |||||
Average shareholders' equity | $ | 18,563 | $ | 17,530 | |||
ROE | 12.9 | 5.4 | |||||
Operating income return on equity | |||||||
Numerator: | |||||||
Operating income | $ | 2,528 | $ | 1,766 | |||
Denominator: | |||||||
Beginning shareholders' equity | 17,766 | 17,293 | |||||
Unrealized net capital gains | 2,446 | 1,905 | |||||
Adjusted beginning shareholders' equity | 15,320 | 15,388 | |||||
Ending shareholders' equity | 19,360 | 17,766 | |||||
Unrealized net capital gains | 3,037 | 2,446 | |||||
Adjusted ending shareholders' equity | 16,323 | 15,320 | |||||
Average shareholders' equity | $ | 15,822 | $ | 15,354 | |||
Operating income ROE | 16.0 | 11.5 | |||||
Operating Measures
We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following operating financial measures. Our method of calculating these measures may differ from that used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.
Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums earned is a GAAP measure. Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as Unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.
The following table presents a reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned.
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
|||||||||
Premiums written | $ | 6,629 | $ | 6,305 | $ | 18,988 | $ | 18,063 | |||||
(Increase) decrease in Unearned Premiums | (421 | ) | (397 | ) | (669 | ) | (654 | ) | |||||
Other | 22 | (4 | ) | 56 | 2 | ||||||||
Premiums earned | $ | 6,230 | $ | 5,904 | $ | 18,375 | $ | 17,411 | |||||
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Premiums and deposits is an operating measure that we use to analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales. It includes premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all deposits and other funds received from customers on deposit-type products including the net new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we account for under GAAP as increases to liabilities rather than as revenue.
The following table illustrates where Premiums and deposits are reflected in the consolidated financial statements.
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ in millions) |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
Est. 2003 |
2002 |
||||||||
GAAP premiums* | $ | 309 | $ | 284 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 940 | ||||
Deposits to contractholder funds, separate accounts and other | 3,691 | 2,674 | 8,774 | 8,133 | ||||||||
Total Premiums and deposits | $ | 4,000 | $ | 2,958 | $ | 9,792 | $ | 9,073 | ||||
New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of financial products by the Allstate proprietary distribution channel. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies includes annual premiums on new insurance policies, initial premiums and deposits on annuities, net new deposits in the Allstate Bank, sales of other company's mutual funds, and excludes renewal premiums. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002 totaled est. $1.22 billion and $1.15 billion, respectively.
This press release contains forward-looking statements about our operating income for 2003. These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management's estimates, assumptions and projections. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons. Projected weighted average rate changes in our Property-Liability business may be lower than projected due to a decrease in PIF. Loss costs in our Property-Liability business, including losses due to catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes, may exceed management's projections. Competitive pressures could lead to sales of Property-Liability products, including private passenger auto and homeowners insurance, that are lower than we have projected, due to our increased prices and our modified underwriting practices. Investment income may not meet management's projections due to poor stock market performance or lower returns on the fixed income portfolio. Significantly lower interest rates and equity markets could increase deferred acquisition cost amortization, reduce contract charges, investment margins and the profitability of the Allstate Financial segment. We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements. This press release contains unaudited financial information.
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation's largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the "You're In Good Hands With Allstate®" slogan, Allstate provides insurance products to more than 16 million households and has approximately 12,300 exclusive agents and financial specialists in the U.S. and Canada. Customers can access Allstate products and services through Allstate agents, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800-Allstate®. EncompassSM and Deerbrook® Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agents. Allstate Financial Group includes the businesses that provide life and supplemental insurance, retirement, banking and investment products through distribution channels that include Allstate agents, independent agents, and banks and securities firms.
23
We post an interim investor supplement on our web site. You can access it by going to allstate.com and clicking on "Investor Relations." From there, go to the "Quarterly Investor Info" button. We will post additional information to the supplement over the next 30 days as it becomes available.
Contact:
Michael
Trevino
Media Relations
(847) 402-5600
Robert
Block, Larry Moews, Phil Dorn
Investor Relations
(847) 402-2800
###
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